So I believe today may be the day (or at the latest tomorrow) - if you were registered as a delegate for the Alba conference, you'll have an online vote in the election of ordinary NEC members, and I'll be one of the candidates unless I've been elected as Membership Support Convener. If you'd like to see the party fully democratised, with the entire NEC elected by the whole membership, and likewise for all the other national committees, and if you've seen my views and my commitment to independence over the last fifteen years, please consider voting for me with your first preference vote.
A pro-independence blog by James Kelly - one of Scotland's three most-read political blogs.
Saturday, December 2, 2023
Friday, December 1, 2023
EXCLUSIVE: Alba NEC hustings - Watch Part 1 Now!
The delayed elections for ordinary members of of the Alba NEC will take place over the weekend, and I believe anyone who registered as a conference delegate will be able to vote. (One of my reasons for standing as a candidate is that I want to make the case that the system should change - all members should have a vote whether they registered for conference or not.) There's been a lot of frustration that members haven't been provided with a full list of candidates in advance of the elections, and also that no hustings have taken place. I decided to try to remedy that by organising some online hustings myself as episodes of the Scot Goes Popcast. You can watch Part 1 of the hustings below, in which two NEC candidates - myself (James Kelly) and Trish McPherson - answer some excellent and thoughtful questions from Alba members. Please note that I was using a family member's Zoom account, so it's definitely James Kelly who is standing as a candidate, not Ann Kelly!
All NEC candidates and Alba members are welcome to take part in Part 2 of the hustings, which will be recorded over Zoom at 9pm tonight. If you don't already have the link, just contact me on Twitter or at: icehouse.250@gmail.com
URGENT: You have just half an hour left to vote James Kelly #1 as Alba Membership Support Convener
There was a small family emergency last night, and as a result I thought I'd forgotten to put out a reminder that today was the last chance to vote for me as Alba's Membership Support Convener. However, I've just checked and it looks like the vote doesn't close until 3, so you have thirty minutes left!
Thursday, November 30, 2023
See the pandas, get a Severin Carrell for free
This is just a public service announcement (although I'm sure you'll have seen this on the news) that if you want to see the giant pandas before they return to China, you literally only have a couple of hours left. I went along yesterday, because I wrongly got the impression that was the last day. Weirdly, as I was watching the pandas, it suddenly dawned on me that I was standing right next to Severin Carrell of the Guardian, who was conducting a very earnest ten or fifteen minute interview with a panda enthusiast he had randomly waylaid. In fact I accidentally recorded about half of it as I was videoing the main attraction.
As a poll had just come out, it reminded me that the angriest I've ever seen Severin on social media was when he was complaining about the truthful reporting of an independence poll, which he regarded as deliberately misleading because it stripped out the Don't Knows. Of course he wasn't worried about the No vote being inflated, just about the Yes vote, because he wanted to imply that the No vote and the Don't Knows combined amounted to the real opposition to independence - a trick also beloved of Michael White. We seem to be heading back to those bad old days - it's becoming harder and harder to locate independence polling numbers that exclude Don't Knows, even though that's the only metric by which a direct comparison with the indyref can be made.
Thank you to the Edinburgh Zoo employee who took the first of these pictures, although the reflection on the glass does its best to obscure the panda! The visibility was far better in reality.
Scot Goes Popcast Episode 19: Calton Jock, blogger and Alba founder member, discusses the Alba internal elections with me
First things first - I have an analysis piece on The National's website about the two new Scottish polls (one from Ipsos and one from Redfield & Wilton) - you can read it HERE.
I've heard quite a bit of frustration about the upcoming Alba NEC elections, in which I will be a candidate (depending on whether or not I'm elected as Membership Support Convener). In particular, I've heard dismay that there isn't a publicly available and exhaustive list of who is actually standing. To the best of my knowledge, there has also been precious little engagement between the candidates - the whole thing is a bit atomised. I've been hoping to make a small contribution to changing that by arranging a small series of podcasts/videocasts in which I informally debate and discuss with other candidates - not necessarily just the ones I'll be standing against, but just anyone standing in any of the internal elections. Time is now getting very short if that's going to happen, which is my own fault because I was too tentative about reaching out to too many candidates in case too many said "yes" and I became snowed under. I now realise the danger was firmly in the opposite direction! So I'll now blitz the candidates that I know of and see if I can get two or three to agree - it would have to be over the next couple of days, but we'll see what pans out.
I did have a guest tentatively arranged for tonight, but through no fault of that person it didn't work out - that's the danger of me trying to sort things out too hurriedly. So having already set up the Zoom link, I decided to try something a bit different. I posted the link publicly on Twitter and just invited anyone to join me. It took quite a bit of persistence, but after a while I'm delighted to say I was joined by the renowned blogger and Alba founder member Calton Jock. As you'll see, we didn't recognise each other at first but after the introductions it all became clear. For the first thirty minutes or so, Calton Jock holds forth on a matter he's blogged about extensively and I just allowed him to speak more or less uninterrupted. From thirty minutes on, we started discussing the Alba internal elections, and so that's the point to scroll to if you want to hear more about my pitch - in particular my proposal for the entire NEC to be directly elected by the whole membership, and what I think Alba's general election strategy should be.
It was a magical mystery tour tonight but it worked! It probably wouldn't work a second time, though, so I'll see if I can make some firm arrangements with other candidates.
Wednesday, November 29, 2023
Staggering sensation as UK's "gold standard" polling company shows big majority for independence - and a settled will
Ipsos poll:
Sunday, November 19, 2023
VIDEO: Vote James Kelly #1 for Alba's Membership Support Convener - at this moment of maximum opportunity for Alba, let's nip factionalism and cliquishness in the bud
Thursday, November 16, 2023
Take 2! Vote James Kelly for Alba's Membership Support Convener for radical democratisation of the party
In just a few hours' time, the vote will open again for Membership Support Convener and all Alba members will be eligible to vote (or all who joined before a very recent cut-off date). Please note this is a complete re-run of the election, so if you voted for me or any other candidate a few weeks ago, that vote no longer counts and you'll need to vote again to make sure your voice is heard.
I haven't been entirely sure what I am and am not allowed to say about the decision to nullify and re-run the Alba internal elections, because presumably the explanation was made in closed session for a reason. However, the email that went out today contained more detail than has previously been publicly available, and it's also now possible for members and the wider public to read an account - and I make no comment on its accuracy - from an anonymous source quoted in The National. As one of the claims is that various NEC candidates were engaged in "vicious attacks" on each other on private group chats, I want to make abundantly clear that I was not involved in that in any way. I haven't been on any Alba-related Whatsapp groups since I left the NEC chat just over a year ago after I failed in my bid to be re-elected, and I certainly didn't have any proxies fighting my corner on any chats (chance would be a fine thing!). I can honestly say that every single point I made during the campaign, whether you agreed with my pitch or not, was made entirely openly and transparently via this blog, my Twitter account, and one short YouTube video.
I was particularly shocked and saddened to hear a few days ago that Jacqueline Bijster, the incumbent in the election I'm running in (Membership Support Convener) has decided to withdraw as a candidate in the interests of her mental health. I can only imagine how grim things must have been to trigger a decision like that, and it's a dilemma she should never have had to face. Whoever is now elected, whether it's me or one of the other two remaining candidates, will have an important part to play in ensuring members have somewhere to turn if they fall victim to bullying, regardless of whether it's low-level stuff or something much worse.
One specific example of alleged bitchiness cited by The National piece is the suggestion that one of the NEC candidates would "prop up the SNP". That reminded me of the reaction of an Alba member (I can't remember who it was) to my election to the NEC in 2021 - she said something like "I was gutted when I saw he'd been elected, I don't trust him at all". Normally personal attacks are water off a duck's back, but that one did sting a bit, because she clearly meant it - and yet I know I can be trusted. There are lots of things I probably wouldn't trust myself to do, but I know for certain I can be trusted to always act in the way that I think will maximise the chances of independence. If I occasionally get it wrong, it'll be through honest miscalculation rather than malice. The same is undoubtedly true of other candidates in the internal elections who may be the objects of suspicion and scorn for not being "ultra" enough.
Because Alba is the most radical party of significant size on the question of independence, it's perhaps inevitable that it's attracted a few trenchant folk who sincerely believe there is only one true path to independence, and who thus try to hold other party members to purity tests. Essentially what we're all supposed to believe is that the SNP must be totally destroyed and replaced. Well, that's a point of view, but there is an alternative view which can be held in good faith by those who are just as passionate and sincere about independence.
Basically the problem is that replacing the SNP would take a long time, and Scotland needs independence quicker than that. There are two very clear methods by which electoral success for Alba could lead directly to independence within a few years without the SNP having to be completely overhauled. Firstly, if Alba win a good few list seats at the 2026 Holyrood election (say between five and eight) and as a result hold the balance of power, the SNP could be forced into a formal or informal deal (probably the latter, for reasons we all understand) involving a more realistic and much more urgent strategy for independence. Think the SNP wouldn't deal with Alba in those circumstances, even informally? Think again. The fury of SNP members if their leadership went down the alternative route of an accommodation with Labour, kicking independence even deeper into the long grass, is not hard to predict.
Alternatively, if the SNP realise they are shedding votes to Alba, they might voluntarily radicalise on independence to get those votes back. And even if they succeed in doing so, that would be a win for us, because the objective is independence and it doesn't really matter how we get there. Nothing that actually works, and especially that works quickly, can or should be regarded as a sell-out, and I'd just ask people to bear that in mind. The reality is, though, that the method will take care of itself. We just campaign for as many Alba votes as we can possibly get and see where it takes us. If we replace the SNP as the leading party, great. If we don't replace the SNP but do secure enough leverage with them to put independence firmly back on the agenda, also great.
These are exciting times for Alba - we now have credibility as never before due to our new presence at Holyrood via Ash Regan, plus representation at all three tiers of government for the first time. So it seems strange to say we need a fresh start at a moment like this, and yet in some ways we plainly do. When internal elections are scrapped, apparently due to vicious factional infighting and plots and counter-plots, it's a statement of the obvious that not everything in the garden is rosy. I'd respectfully suggest that part of the remedy is to elect someone who has had nothing to do with the factionalism and who has no time for it whatsoever. Let's put our house in order speedily to take full advantage of this moment of maximum opportunity.
And I don't think we should lose sight of the fact that the best way to entice SNP members to follow Ash Regan's example is with the promise that the party they join will be one that they as members are in full control of. That means that every member of the NEC, and indeed every member of other national committees, should be directly elected by the whole Alba membership. At present only National Office Bearers are elected by one-member-one-vote, while ordinary NEC members are elected only by conference delegates, and members of other committees are elected only by National Council delegates. An additional reason for putting myself forward for Membership Support Convener is to give members an opportunity, if they wish, to express support for the view that we should move to one-member-one-vote across the board in future.
Incidentally, I was heartened earlier today to see someone challenging other NEC candidates to match what I'm saying on party democratisation, and getting a positive response from at least one candidate. It just goes to show that sometimes simply standing in an election is sufficient to move the conversation forwards. (But I do also want to win, guys!)
Thursday, November 2, 2023
Polling respectability for Alba after the Ash Regan defection
Someone made a sarcastic comment on my previous post about the new opinion polls, along the lines of "Alba cooking with gas, James?" No idea what that was all about, because the numbers are actually perfectly decent for Alba in the wake of Ash Regan's defection -
Scottish Parliament constituency ballot (Redfield & Wilton) :
Wednesday, November 1, 2023
Two more post-Rutherglen polls: one has the SNP six points behind, the other has them level
The evidence is now beginning to suggest that the SNP did not get away with their Rutherglen defeat, and at least in the short-term it was never particularly likely that they would. In terms of seats, at least, they are clearly heading for defeat next year, and it seems likely that only drastic action will avert that outcome. Perversely, though, the SNP leadership are in steady as she goes mode.
Scottish voting intentions for the next UK general election (YouGov / Scottish Election Study, 20th-25th October 2023):


