Sunday, February 2, 2025

*SETTLED WILL KLAXON* - Yet another Find Out Now poll shows a pro-independence majority

Many thanks to Paul Kirkwood for pointing out to me that the independence numbers from the Find Out Now poll have been published in the print edition of the Herald on Sunday, where they're presented almost as an afterthought.  I don't know whether they've been published online - I certainly didn't see them on the Herald website last night.

Should Scotland be an independent country? (Find Out Now / Herald, 15th-20th January 2025)

Yes 51% (-1)
No 49% (+1)

So it remains the case that all but one of the Find Out Now polls on independence that have ever been published have shown a Yes majority.  In other words, if Find Out Now's methodology is accurate, Scotland has a settled will that it wishes to become an independent country.  The same can more or less be said of the UK's 'gold standard' pollster Ipsos.

It's also technically the case that the last three polls to have been published across all polling firms have shown a Yes lead.  However, that's a slightly artificial point, because as far as I know the independence numbers from the recent Survation poll were never published, but from the data tables it looked to me like there was a No lead in that one.

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