Saturday, July 26, 2025

What Mhairi Black's departure from the SNP reveals about the "broad church" paradox

A few people have been asking me for my thoughts on Mhairi Black's decision to leave the SNP, so that's the subject of today's YouTube commentary.  You can listen via the embedded player below, or via the direct YouTube link, or on Soundcloud, or on Spotify.

If you have a few seconds after listening, I'd be grateful if you'd subscribe to my YouTube channel, because I'm trying to build it up.

 

After I recorded the above, I spotted a monumentally stupid reader's letter in the Scotsman, accusing Mhairi Black of "inconsistency" because of her stance on Palestine and in favour of LGBTQ rights.  The guy then proceeded to basically do the whole "but what if you were gay in Gaza?" meme, although he presumably was blissfully unaware that he was doing a meme, and also blissfully unaware of what memes are.  The answer, of course, to the question "but what if you were gay in Gaza?" is "you would be murdered by Israel, just like heterosexual people in Gaza".  That's actually a form of equality, I suppose.  

Mhairi Black should know, the Scotsman reader prattled further, that Hamas opposes decriminalisation of homosexual acts.  OK, and?  Mhairi Black has never, to the best of my knowledge, expressed any support for Hamas, so where's the inconsistency?  Do you mean that she has to drop her opposition to genocide in order to look sufficiently condemnatory of anti-gay laws that by all accounts are rarely enforced anyway?  

Nothing ever changes.  The Scotsman readers' page remains whacko central.

They didn't tell us about THAT one! The "secret" YouGov poll showing a surge in support for independence

Thanks to Paul Kirkwood on Twitter for directing me towards YouGov polling data from June that I wasn't previously aware of.  That's the subject of tonight's audio commentary - you can listen via the embedded player below, or via the direct YouTube link, or on Soundcloud.  You can also find all of the audio files I've been uploading in podcast form on Spotify.

After listening, I'd be grateful if you'd subscribe to my YouTube channel if you haven't already done so - that helps build its visibility.  

Bear in mind that I'm keeping the fundraising post pinned to the top of the blog for a while, so when you visit the site in the coming days, please scroll down to find the newest content.

Friday, July 25, 2025

The new Jeremy Corbyn / Zarah Sultana party: what will it be called, how popular will it be, and will it help to deliver Scottish independence?

For tonight's audio commentary, I turn my attention to the 'soft launch' of the new Jeremy Corbyn / Zarah Sultana radical left party.  You can listen via the embedded player below, or at the direct YouTube link, or at Soundcloud.  

After you've finished listening, I'd be very grateful if you hit the 'subscribe' button and the 'like' button on YouTube, because I'm trying to build my channel up.

Also, just a reminder that the fundraising post will be staying pinned to the top of the blog for a prolonged spell, so whenever you visit over the coming days please remember to scroll down for the newest content.

Thursday, July 24, 2025

Astonishing poll shows big support in England for Scottish independence - plus Labour is totally at odds with its own voters on Gaza

I said in my fundraising post earlier that I was planning to start posting regular audio content, as a kind of transitional step to allow me to try to gradually build up my YouTube channel, with a view to moving on to posting regular video content if I can ever get to grips with the technical challenges.  So I thought I'd start as I mean to go on, and below you can find some audio commentary on no fewer than three new YouGov polls - one showing that Labour is at odds with its own voters on the Gaza issue, one showing surprisingly high levels of support for Scottish independence among English voters, and one showing how Scottish voters differ from English voters in their attitudes to votes at 16.  

If you can't use the embedded player for whatever reason, the direct link to the YouTube file is HERE, and it can also be found on Soundcloud HERE.  I'd be grateful if you subscribe to my YouTube channel after listening, because that's part of the point of the exercise!

Incidentally, I'm planning to keep the fundraising post pinned to the top of the blog for an extended period (or however long it takes), so remember to scroll down in future to look for the newest posts.

Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Make that a double: both SNP and Plaid Cymru lead the seismic subsamples in latest YouGov poll

Another week, another very solid result for the SNP in the Scottish subsample from YouGov.

GB-wide voting intentions (YouGov / Sky News, 20th-21st July 2025):

Reform UK 27% (-1)
Labour 23% (+1)
Conservatives 17% (-)
Liberal Democrats 15% (-1)
Greens 11% (-1)
SNP 3% (-)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)

Scottish subsample: SNP 34%, Reform UK 21%, Labour 17%, Conservatives 11%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Greens 6%

Welsh subsample: Plaid Cymru 27%, Reform UK 26%, Labour 22%, Greens 14%, Conservatives 6%, Liberal Democrats 2%

YouGov's Scottish subsamples are of course unusual in that they are correctly structured and weighted, but I'm not totally sure whether the same is true of their Welsh subsamples.  When they first introduced Scotland-specific weighting a few years ago, they gave the impression that the same wasn't being done in any other geographic subsample, but it wouldn't surprise me if they've introduced Welsh weighting since then in the interests of greater consistency.  Either way, it's great to see both the SNP and Plaid Cymru in the lead with less than a year to go until the devolved elections.

Believe it or not, the Tories' showing in the Scottish subsample is actually unusually good for them - it's not all that often these days that they're in double figures or ahead of the Liberal Democrats.  But they're probably just being flattered by normal sampling variation.

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3115, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Stop giving "release 23 Israeli hostages" parity of esteem with "the genocide must end"

The fabled international community, including even Ursula von der Leyen, Kaja Kallas and David Lammy, seem to have finally reached the point of "twenty-one months of genocide were fine, but we draw the line at twenty-two", and yet they still can't bring themselves to just directly demand that Israel stop what they're doing without the "Hamas must release all hostages" qualification.  This was Lammy trotting out the standard formulation a couple of days ago - 

"We need an immediate ceasefire now, the release of all hostages and a surge in aid."

It would of course be a good thing if the remaining hostages were freed, but insisting on always giving that objective joint top billing is highly problematical in a number of ways - 

* It sounds very much like a condition or a prerequisite for a ceasefire, ie. Israel can say "you were only calling on us to stop mass-killing people if Hamas released the hostages, and they haven't, so we're good to continue".

* The subtext feeds into the narrative of "this all started on 7th October", thus giving some succour to the idea that Israel's genocide was semi-justified in response to the Hamas attacks.  Why not add in a further clause to make it "We need an immediate ceasefire now, the release of all hostages, an end to the illegal Israeli occupation of the Palestinian territories, and a surge in aid"?  Lammy would probably say that the end of the occupation is a completely separate issue - in other words he doesn't want to admit that the problem can be directly traced back to 1967 (and ultimately to 1948), rather than to October 2023. 

* It effectively accords far less proportionate worth to each Palestinian slaughtered than it does to each Israeli hostage.  There are thought to be around 23 remaining hostages, compared to at least tens of thousands of Palestinian dead (and it would be a brave person who doubts that the true death toll is way, way over 100,000).  To give parity of esteem to those two issues seems almost obscene.  It used to be said that one Israeli life was deemed to have the same worth as 1000 Palestinian lives, but now it's even worse than that - simply denying liberty to one Israeli citizen seems to be considered a graver crime than massacring 1000 Palestinian women and children.

* By implication, it denies the hostage status of the Palestinian "administrative detainees" held captive by Israel without charge, and it certainly accords less urgency to their freedom than it does to the far smaller number of Israelis still held by Hamas.  "Only Israelis can be hostages, Palestinians can only be prisoners or detainees."

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3115, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Tuesday, July 22, 2025

Here I am, Stew-ck in the middle with you

He's controversial.  He's increasingly far-right.  And he's in Somerset.  Yes, you've guessed it, it's our old friend "Stew".  

I was duly tickled yesterday when three of his most devoted groupies left comments on this blog (although I suspect at least one of them was the great man himself doing a spot of astroturfing - something he's openly confessed to in the past).  The narrative they were trying to weave was the familiar one  of "how can he be stalking you, he barely even mentions you, James! Two words on Twitter per decade at most!" I mean, come on, chaps, even you must have enough self-awareness to realise you couldn't have chosen a worse moment to trot out that schtick.  Last week Stew posted a single furious tweet about me that was full article length and contained several hundred words - something that's only even possible if you pay Elon Musk a whopping subscription every month.  Mere mortals are stuck with a tight character limit.  Within the last 24 hours, Stew has been so incensed by my reply to his abusive language yesterday morning that he's pumped out several more tweets and has even left multiple comments on this blog under his own name (see the previous thread).  Whatever else might be said about him, it's an objective fact that this guy is not Mr Olympian Disinterest.  He in fact devotes a considerable amount of time and energy to his relentless stalking operation, which is driven by raw anger, bitterness, and arguably hatred.

For the avoidance of doubt, that's not something I welcome, but his apparent continued optimism - even after all this time - that he can somehow gaslight me into responding with respectful silence to his endless torrent of lies and foul-mouthed abuse is, I'm afraid, catastrophically ill-founded.  Like the proverbial forgetful goldfish, that seems to be a lesson he'll just have to learn over and over and over again.  You'd think by now the penny would at least have dropped that the "I don't stalk you, you stalk me" gaslighting had failed forever as soon as he jumped the shark by installing the little shrine to me in the sidebar of Wings Over Scotland (see screenshot below), but I suppose he's willfully stuck in an echo chamber and he can't exactly rely on his devotees to give him honest feedback these days.  



Does he think people who are stalked tend to set up little online shrines to their stalkers, rather than the other way around?  Perhaps he genuinely does think that.  Perhaps it all makes sense in the Stew mind.

A creepy dude.

Anyway, let's get to the substance of his prolonged complaints about me on Twitter earlier today - which as per usual didn't mention me by name, but referenced me only by implication and by screenshot.  This is of course an ongoing and deliberate tactic so he can "prove" to his disciples at a later date that he's not stalking me by inviting them to search his Twitter account - but only for tweets actually containing my name.


Hilariously, that "pretty darn flat red line" does not actually appear in the What Scotland Thinks site.  Stew has superimposed it himself!  You couldn't make this stuff up...oh wait, he already has.

But none of this is actually the point.  He's frantically trying to evade the fact that the lies I identified from him about polling were specific and not generalised.  Those lies were: a) that Yes support was in the high 40s in May 2025, when an average of the two polls that month actually showed Yes on around 51% or 52%, and b) that Yes support was at around 25% in 2007, when in fact no binary-choice independence poll published at any time in the 21st century has shown Yes support anything like that low after the exclusion of Don't Knows.

As I've already said to him directly, if he would simply admit to those lies and to the sheer cynicism with which he so casually and repeatedly misleads his readers, it would then be possible to have a fact-based discussion about independence polling trends over the last two decades.  But that discussion would inevitably have to start with the elephant in the room, namely the massive methodological change that polling companies introduced immediately after the referendum in September 2014.  They recognised that polls during the campaign had systemically overestimated Yes support by around three or four percentage points, so they corrected for that by bringing in weighting by recalled referendum vote.

That means pre-referendum polls and post-referendum polls are simply not comparable.  A post-referendum Yes showing of 50% is roughly equivalent to a pre-referendum poll showing Yes on 53% or 54%.  In other words, the comparison Stew is drawing is a bogus one that disguises the extent of the real increase in Yes support that has occurred.

Furthermore, most of the polling companies have stubbornly persevered with weighting by recalled 2014 vote for longer than is really sensible, and that's increasing the risk of false recall and of artificially skewed results.  It's possible - and I only say possible - that a present-day poll weighted by 2014 vote and showing Yes on 50% is equivalent to a pre-referendum poll showing Yes on well *over* 54%.

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3115, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Monday, July 21, 2025

A response to Stew's latest abusive attack (yes, it's Monday AGAIN)


The controversial and increasingly far-right Somerset blogger "Stew" seems to have been more than a tad triggered by my blogpost of last night, in which I pointed out that the catastrophic failures and errors of judgement of the people behind Alba and Liberate Scotland have ended any chance of a non-SNP route to independence, and that therefore John Swinney has to at least be given a limited window of opportunity to make his own strategy (which I made clear that I do think is flawed) work.  I suspect the reason Stew is so touchy about this is that he knows perfectly well that he personally bears partial responsibility for the failure of Alba in particular, and therefore for ending any realistic hope that next year's Holyrood election will be used as a de facto referendum.  To some extent that's a feature not a bug - Stew doesn't even want the election to be about independence, and instead wants it to be about a breakthrough for the soft-fascist and ultra-unionist Reform UK, and by extension some sort of 'cleansing destruction' of the independence movement as we know it.  "To win independence we must first kill independence" is the preposterous, if thus far unspoken, Stew motto de jour.

It's all very well for anyone to say that Alba are right to propose that independence parties should use the Holyrood election to seek an outright mandate for independence, and that the SNP leadership are wrong to reject that idea.  But in circumstances where the self-appointed elite of Alba (and the true elite centred around Ahmed-Sheikh, Wilson, Donoghue, Cullen, etc, are very much appointed and not elected) have idiotically squandered any chance of taking a leadership role in the independence movement by behaving like a poundshop Mafia for the last four years, it's a bit redundant for them to complain about being on the losing side in the battle of ideas over strategy.  When you've left the pitch clear for the SNP to monopolise the leadership role, it's a statement of the obvious that the SNP leader will have the discretion and space to make his own strategic calls, however dubious the rest of us might be about them.  "It shouldn't be like this, it should be like that" is the plaintive wail of Stew, which a) constitutes a loss of contact with the real world, and b) evades his own partial responsibility for creating this situation in the first place.  

No, Stew, if you don't get your own way on strategy and policy, the answer is not to "destroy everything and start again", because there'll be nothing left to start again with.  Even if Swinney turns out to be wrong in his strategic choices, and he may well do, we have to conserve and protect the strengths we have as a movement if independence is ever to be won, and to a large extent that does mean preserving the SNP in the here and now.  "I have been spurned, so the movement must be purified in flames" is narcissistic twaddle that we should have no time for at all.

Stew is on particularly weak ground in his "Build Indy Support (FAILED)" point, because it was only yesterday that I set out in detail how his graph showing the evolution of indy support under different SNP leaders was totally fraudulent.  You're entitled to your own opinions, Stew, but not to your own facts.  The first step is to admit the graph was a lie, and then by all means a discussion can be had based on the actual facts.

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3115, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Sunday, July 20, 2025

Alba have blown it, "Liberate Scotland" are a bad joke, so however sceptical anyone may be about John Swinney's independence plan, he has to be given his chance to make it work - that's the only game left in town

For the last few weeks (probably months, actually), I've been receiving Mike Small's Substack email newsletter - which is basically Bella-style articles in email form.  I presume my details must have been imported from the old Bella mailing list, because I didn't specifically sign up for it.  However, I found today's article really helpful, because it quotes extensively from John Swinney's new independence plan, so I'm now much clearer in my mind what it actually is - and yes, there's a big plot hole in the middle of it, but the good news is the SNP are at least talking about independence and talking about putting it at the forefront of their election campaign.

One thing I actually agree with John Swinney about is that the SNP need a big statement win at next year's Holyrood election if independence is to be achieved.  I've found it quite curious that the SNP's critics have been making exactly the same demands of the party after last year's general election result as they did before it, thus taking no account of the fact that as far as many people were concerned, the SNP's defeat last year took independence off the agenda for an indefinite period - or "until further notice" might be a better way of putting it.  It should be a statement of the obvious that there has to be a clear demonstrative moment of "independence is back in business", achieved in a major election, before anything can actually be progressed.  That's not to say that you can't also seek a more specific mandate next year, because more than one objective can be pursued simultaneously, but the reality is that independence is currently tucked away in a box and can only break out of that box with a good election result - which means the SNP remaining the largest party and remaining the party of government, and the SNP and Greens between them retaining a pro-independence majority.  The latter bit is going to be tough, although polls suggest it's certainly not unachievable.

A complicating factor is that even if all of the above happens, the SNP are likely to lose seats simply because they had such a stonking landslide last time around.  That will obviously detract from any statement win, but perhaps the problem can be offset if the combined SNP/Green seat haul exceeds the 2021 result.  Again, that's a very tall order, but it's not totally impossible that Green gains could make up for any SNP losses.  (And no, the clusterbourachs that are the Alba Party and "Liberate Scotland" have no role to play in any of this, because they're not going to win any seats at all.)

So absolutely, John Swinney is correct that if you want independence, you need the SNP to do really well next year.  That will be an unalloyed Good Thing in its own right.  Where I part company from his independence plan is in its insistence that only an agreed referendum can win independence, on the grounds that there needs to be "international legitimacy" and "recognition".  That's a form of sophistry, because Scotland will automatically acquire legitimacy and recognition as soon as it concludes an independence agreement with the UK government.  It doesn't actually matter a damn how you get to that agreement.  Yes, one way of doing it would be to win a pre-agreed referendum, but there are several other possibilities.  You could use a scheduled election as a de facto referendum and then pressurise the UK to accept the legitimacy of the outcome retrospectively - that's exactly how Ireland achieved independence and international recognition.  (And who knows, if Ireland hadn't forced the issue in that way, and had instead waited forever and a day for an "agreed referendum", perhaps it would never have become independent and would have become trapped within a devolved framework.). A third possibility, which I think is the most likely, is that a majority vote in a de facto referendum could be used as leverage to bring the UK government kicking and screaming to the negotiating table, and to coax a compromise from them on holding a confirmatory referendum.

So given that a pre-agreed referendum is self-evidently not a prerequisite for legitimacy or international recognition, it can only be concluded that we're not being told the genuine reason for the SNP leadership insisting independence can only be done that way.  Cynics might suggest that the main attraction is that it's the only option that actually requires permission in advance from London, permission that everyone knows will not be granted, thus neatly getting the leadership off the hook of ever having to do anything about independence, and allowing them to get on with their alleged true love of running a devolved government in peace and quiet.  But it might not be that.  It might just be a form of strategic timidity, and a craving for the goal to just fall into our laps rather than us having to force the issue by doing anything too noisy.  Alas, the world doesn't work that way.  Not usually, anyway.

On the other hand, we do live in a world where the likes of Alba and Liberate Scotland have completely screwed up and thrown away any conceivable chance of bringing about independence from outside the SNP, which means that however sceptical we may be about John Swinney's plan, he has to be given his chance to make it work. That's realistically the only game in town, and at the end of the day nobody actually gives a monkey's whether a plan seems to work in theory, only in whether it works in practice.  

The big plot hole I was referring to is Mr Swinney's insistence that a great election result for the SNP will force the UK government to grant a referendum, when we all know that great election results for the SNP in 2016, 2017, 2019 and 2021 did not impress London in the slightest.  But if he defies the odds by converting an election win into a 'gold standard' referendum, no-one will be complaining.  He'll be judged on the results he's promised, and it's only if and when he fails to produce those results that SNP members will perhaps tap him on the shoulder and say: "John, you've done us a tremendous service by steadying the ship after the Yousaf era and winning a key election that has re-established the credibility of the independence cause.  But you've now taken us as far as you can, and the time has come for you to hand over the reins to someone with the skills and ideas to actually take us to independence itself."

By the way, I couldn't help but raise a smile when Mike Small interjected to say "I don't really know what that actually means?" about one of John Swinney's remarks.  Now you know, Mike, how the rest of us feel when we read Bella Caledonia articles about postmodern cacophonic spaces nurtured by surrealist hyper-ideological anarchic gender-capitalism, or whatever.

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3100, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Exploding the myth that Alex Salmond "doubled independence support when he was First Minister"

One of the most obvious signs of the contempt that Stuart "Stew" Campbell has for his own readers was the way he kept using his fraudulent "independence support is flatlining" graph for years on end, even after it had been debunked umpteen times.  Basically he had cherry-picked a tiny number of polls from the hundreds of independence polls that had been conducted since 2014 to make it look as if support for Yes had remained absolutely static at 47%, thus completely misrepresenting the fact that an average of all polls showed a steady year-on-year increase for Yes until 2020, and that even in 2021 and 2022 support remained higher than in any year up to and including 2019.  

At some point, however, he finally got bored with that graph and replaced it with a new one, which has now had several outings.  I can't even call the new one misleading - it's a downright lie in most respects.  It claims the following -

* That support for independence stood at around 25% at roughly the time Alex Salmond became First Minister in May 2007.  (No exact number is given, but it appears to be halfway between 20% and 30%.)

* That support had doubled to 50% by the time Salmond was replaced by Nicola Sturgeon in November 2014.

* That the Yes vote had dipped slightly to the high 40s when Sturgeon was replaced by Humza Yousaf in May 2023.

* That the Yes vote remained unchanged in the high 40s when Yousaf was replaced by John Swinney in May 2024.

* That the Yes vote remained unchanged in the high 40s in May of this year.

The idea, of course, is supposed to be that Alex Salmond dramatically increased support for independence but that all of his successors have failed to build on that golden legacy.  And it's not hard to see why Wings readers find that narrative so seductive, but there's just one little snag - there's not actually a shred of truth in it.

The claim about May 2025 is the easiest to deal with because it's so recent.  There were exactly two independence polls in that month: one from Survation that had Yes on 49% and one from Norstat showing Yes on 54%.  So what has Stew done to produce his high 40s figure for the month?  He certainly hasn't used an average of the two polls, because that would have got him to around 51% or 52%.  So has he just used one and ignored the other?  If so, what possible justification does he have for doing that?  Before anyone suggests that maybe he's been sticking to Survation polls throughout the graph for the sake of consistency - nope, Survation didn't even exist in 2007.

And it's that 2007 figure which is by far the most problematical.  Unsurprisingly Stew doesn't give any source for it at all, but unlike the figures for the other years it clearly doesn't come from a straight Yes/No poll on independence with Don't Knows excluded, because that would imply the numbers were around Yes 25%, No 75%.  No poll even remotely like that has been published at any point in the 21st century.  By far the most likely explanation is that he is instead using the Scottish Social Attitudes Survey for that year, which had a complex multi-option format and did not exclude Don't Knows.  To say that he's made an apples-and-oranges comparison does not adequately convey the absurdity and fraudulence of what he's done - it's more like an apples-with-tractors comparison.

So what were the directly comparable Yes/No polls on independence showing in 2007?  There weren't very many independence polls being conducted back then, and most that did take place were conducted by TNS / System Three (last heard of under the branding Kantar).  It looks like there were two polls from the firm in 2007 - one showed Yes and No level on 50% apiece, and the other had No ahead by around 57% to 43% if Don't Knows were excluded.  So if we're ultra-generous and use the more favourable poll for No as the baseline, Alex Salmond increased support for independence by around seven percentage points during his tenure as First Minister - light-years short of the 25-point increase implied by Stew.  If we're not generous, and if we use the more favourable poll for Yes as the baseline, Salmond as FM did not increase support for independence at all.

Some people may be genuinely astonished to learn of this, because the mythology of Salmond doubling independence support has been so deeply ingrained into them.  But that's mainly because Salmond himself was such an effective propagandist, and it wasn't in his own interests to draw attention to the existence of several polls showing an outright Yes lead before he even became First Minister.  During the period of Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition rule from 1999 to 2007, it was in fact reasonably common for TNS / System Three to show a majority for independence.

What actually happened was that Yes support remained high until it became clear that the referendum was really going to happen, and then it was as if reality hit home for a lot of people and the Yes vote dropped like a stone, falling to as low as 33% at one point in 2012-13 (although never going close to Stew's fictional 25% mark).  Over the course of the referendum campaign there was an impressive recovery, but that essentially just got us back to where we started.  The best that can be said is that the 50% Yes vote in late 2014 had a lot more depth and substance to it than the 50% Yes vote of 2007, because people had properly thought about the issues by then.

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The running total in the Scot Goes Pop 2025 fundraiser currently stands at £3100, meaning it is 46% of the way towards the target figure of £6800.  If you'd like to help the blog keep going, donations by card are welcome HERE, or alternatively you can cut out fees altogether (depending on which option you select from the menu) by making a direct donation via PayPal.  My PayPal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk