Hammerblow for Brit Nat propaganda outfit "Scotland In Union" as their regular pollsters Survation show a clear pro-independence majority, right in the middle of the Holyrood election campaign

As I said the other day, there's still more to come from the new Scot Goes Pop / Find Out Now poll - I had been planning to release another result on Friday, and then that slipped to yesterday, and somehow it didn't happen today either.  I think I probably just needed some downtime, because the mid-part of the week was a bit manic, but tomorrow may well be the day.  In the meantime, I had been expecting to be able to bring you the weekend polls that would usually come along at this stage of an election campaign, but amazingly there don't seem to be any.  It's probably just as well that I and a certain Green Belt "Project" went ahead and commissioned our own polls last week, otherwise there'd be no up-to-date information at all about the state of play in the Holyrood race, although unfortunately those two polls muddied the waters a bit, because despite having almost identical fieldwork dates, they contradicted each other in several respects.

The Survation poll was much less favourable for the Greens (somewhat ironically, given who commissioned it), and by implication it was also less good for the SNP, who didn't receive a boost on the constituency ballot in spite of the Greens being excluded as an option in the constituencies where they aren't standing.  But one sense in which the two polls are in complete accord is in showing a rosy picture for independence - and that's highly significant, because Survation, in total contrast to Find Out Now, do not have a long track record of showing Yes majorities.  Their previous poll at the start of the year was a dead heat, and prior to that they had produced several polls in a row showing a No lead.  They have now become the SEVENTH different pollster to show a Yes lead at some point in this calendar year so far, and it's only April.  So there's no point in our old friend KC droning on about how it's only ever Ipsos and Find Out Now who show a Yes lead - those days are over.  Of the sixteen independence polls in 2026, this is the TENTH to show a pro-indy majority.

Should Scotland be an independent country?  (Survation, 14th-21st April 2026)

Yes 51% (+1)

No 49% (-1)

It also shouldn't go unnoticed, incidentally, that Survation are the pollsters who conduct the regular series of propaganda polls for Scotland In Union, which replace the standard independence question with a leading question, and which always give the impression that opposition to independence is stronger than it actually is.  It's something of a blow for Scotland In Union, I'd have thought, that this of all moments is when Survation have suddenly shown a Yes majority in a credible poll with a credible question.

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My latest two constituency profiles for the national are the Orkney Islands and Paisley.

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