GB-wide voting intentions (28th April 2025):
Scottish subsample: SNP 35%, Labour 20%, Reform UK 17%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Greens 8%, Conservatives 8%
This means Labour remain stuck on their post-election low with YouGov of 23%, but are behind Reform by more than has previously been the case: since the general election all the previous Reform leads in YouGov polls have been either one point or two points. However, technically a three-point lead is not an all-time best for Reform, who are a legal continuation of the Brexit Party, which had a bigger lead with YouGov during their brief purple patch of mid-2019.
This week's Scottish subsample result looks a bit more realistic than last week's, which had Labour nine points behind Reform. But what does remain constant is the very poor Tory showing, and I'm wondering if that might be significant. Are the Tories suffering from the Reform surge even more in Scotland than they are elsewhere? Certainly there have been a string of atrocious by-election results for the Scottish Tories in recent months.
It is sad to see so many individuals wanting to vote for a party of the extreme right. Boris Johnson and the right wing cabal of the tory party have to shoulder much of the blame but in reality they don't care about the hungry, poor, disadvantaged, refugees. They are only interested in themselves , noses in the trough.
ReplyDeleteIt's the Great British way. Ever heard of the British Empire? Or their royal family?
DeleteThe D of E at 4.48 ... why can't you simply agree instead of having to add a smart-arse comment?
DeleteIndeed , and Labour are nae better. Their noses are richt doon in oor Scots troch... having taken oor oil for 50 years they're noo taking oor renewables. And to supply Englandshire they'll carve up oor mountains for pump storage.
ReplyDeleteLet's hope the Scots gov turn doon Berwick bank which will destroy bird life on a massive scale!
Alba gu brath!
Labour. Managing the staff on behalf of the Conservatives.
DeleteAnd the horror story goes on and on for IFS lol.
ReplyDeleteI thought it was always FFS.
DeleteDeclan your posts obsessing about IFS are certainly better than reading your fantasy forecasts.
DeleteApparently independence for Scotland was boasting about being unemployed in the British state last week.
Delete