Saturday, January 11, 2020
The certainty of Brexit ensures the casus belli for an indyref
I'm going to update the blog properly quite soon - honestly. I just got a bit out of habit over the festive period. In the meantime, though, a quick note to let you know that I'm quoted in Alasdair Soussi's new piece for the Al Jazeera website, entitled 'UK Parliament approves Boris Johnson's Brexit deal'. You can read it HERE.
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Why do you think Brexit justifies war James?
ReplyDeleteWhy do you eat wallpaper, GWC?
DeleteOch it's good for us all tae hae a wee holiday from oor blogheid rammy James.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, the latest on the 'golden age'.
Now that the really easy part of brexit is done, the UK is about to start the hard bit. That and the constitutional crisis everyone warned about will begin. That hasn't actually started yet as devolution - the unionist alternative to independence - only comes under direct attack by England when the UK leaves the EU.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51035672
Worst year for retail in 25 years, says trade body
Retail sales fell for the first time in 25 years last year, according to the leading UK retail industry body.
The British Retail Consortium (BRC) said total sales fell 0.1%, marking the first annual sales decline since 1995.
You can understand therefore, why Scot's MPs of all parties just rejected the first English EVEL government power grab on Holyrood of the 'golden age' by 92 to 29. Economy is heading straight for the rocks. Retail sales are one of the best straws in the wind for a recession.
Brexit is all about racist hatred of the foreigner, which includes Scots. It's the only way you can explain the direct assault on devolution / English power grab. English people thinking they are superior to Scots hence can make better decisions for Scotland than the latter is the very dictionary definition of racism.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51026014
92 to 29. Scotland united against London rule more than it has ever been. The union crumbling.
Happy new year James
ReplyDeleteHappy New Year too.
ReplyDeleteI was quite surprised with this endorsement of your very good self:
"The academic, also deputy director of the UK in a Changing Europe think-tank..."
Have you been hiding you light under a bushel? Or were we just too thick to notice?
Anyway, lang may yer lum reek!
ReplyDeleteScottish nationalism needs Johnson to negotiate a great trade deal. The worse it is, the harder it is to sell the idea of an independent Scotland, in the EU, trying to trade with by far it's most important trading partner either side of any new barriers that are created.
ReplyDeleteAnd if a hard border is required you can forget the whole idea.
Scottish independence needs Brexit to be a success. Good luck with that.
Trade goes both ways, when Independence happens International borders return to their original point with England meaning the maritime border returns to Berwick on Tweed from Arbroath where Tory Blair moved it to meaning no oil whatsoever for England from the 6000 square miles section they stole and claimed as English oil and gas, there rest of the stuff was designated *extra regia territory* shared British oil and gas again leaving England without legal access to any revenues
DeleteEngland will do a deal because commerce is in their interests just as much with Scotland as any other country
One more thing should be noted Scotland's acceptance as a member of the EU is almost certainly going to be very speedy
and is voted on by majority of member states not as some claim by all 27 so no so called veto by a member state applies and that being so means that if the rUK wishes to trade with the EU they cannot refuse to continue to trade with Scotland or they're shut out as seen in the EU defence of Ireland
England will bluff and bluster and threaten but they'll give in just as they were told to do over Northern Ireland or no deal
England are not the power in the world they pretend they are
already noises coming from Whitehall are threats to refuse to recognise Scottish Passports, now why would they even suggest that if they didn't believe Scotland wasn't about to become Independent
There will be much beating of chests, threats and fearmongering coming Scotlands way using the honest and unbiased English controlled media but this time it won't work, the only people left who object to Independence now are sectarian bigots and English settlers who still see England as their Empire and their numbers are insufficient now
If Johnson negotiates a shite deal, trashing the Scottish economy, what happens then?
DeleteAnd to be honest, polling-wise, it's not clear if the nationalists 'need' anything to happen at all. We only have polls pre-brexit / the GE, and on average they were 49% Yes. However, they all consistently underestimated SNP/Green by 3-4%, so it would not be a surprise if they had Yes too low by the same amount. Ergo, there was already a natural majority for indy before Johnson won and brexit was confirmed.
DeleteIn that case, it'd be the unionists that 'need' something to get them (back) over the line.
Anyway, if Johnson gets a shit deal with the EU, yet N. Ireland remains closely aligned with it as per the backstop, the UK will be breaking up by this route anyway. Once one domino falls, the result will tumble very quickly, just like e.g. the last days of the USSR (which, incidentally, refused Section 30's to no avail).
You've totally missed the point.
ReplyDeleteIf the sales pitch for an independent Scotland is to be an EU member state, then trade between Scotland and England would be conducted under whatever terms are agreed between the EU and the UK. There would be no trade deal with Scotland.
Please keep posting this. It should be far more widely known and acknowledged.
DeleteSo the royal family is falling apart along with the UK.
ReplyDeleteReally is all coming tumbling down at once.
Bing Bong Big Ben 31 January 2020 and freedom from the EU and its Scottish erse licking crawlers. The Scottish EU crawlers are beneath contempt for attempting to sell out Scotland. Flag waving Nuremburg Nazi tossers they are.
ReplyDeleteThe Nazis consistently failed to win majorities in German elections, so they just overruled the 1933 election result, refused the German people a Section 30, and forced Germany out of Europe into the 3rd Breich against the will of its people.
Delete