Just a quick note to let you know I have a piece in The National about yesterday's JL Partners poll, which showed the pro-independence vote at an all-time high (in online polling) of 56%. You can read the article HERE.
Saturday, October 31, 2020
Friday, October 30, 2020
Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions:
Scottish Parliament regional list voting intentions:
Thursday, October 29, 2020
It seems a very long time ago now that the Labour leadership contest was underway and Paul Mason was describing Sir Keir Starmer, seemingly with a straight face, as one of the "left" candidates. That looked a bit of a stretch even at the time, but it's true that Starmer was presenting himself as reasonably equidistant between Corbynism and Blairism, and as someone who wouldn't trash either period of the party's history and who could bring different factions together. Today that pretence has been cast to the wind. There has clearly been a pre-planned drive, straight out of the Blair play-book, to demonstrate to the public by some theatrical means that Labour has "changed". The sacking of Rebecca Long Bailey and the suspension of Jeremy Corbyn wouldn't have been precisely mapped out in advance, but there can be little doubt that the new leadership were just waiting for even the slenderest of opportunities.
In my view this is a terrible strategic misjudgement from Starmer. You don't suspend the person who was leader of your party only six months ago (and at the general election less than a year ago) on such feeble grounds, or if you do, you can expect to reap the consequences. This is how you entrench intra-party warfare, and the electorate generally punish parties perceived to be divided. Blair got away with it in the 1990s because the left had essentially already been vanquished by Neil Kinnock and John Smith. That is not the situation just now - Corbynism remains a strong force within Labour, and research shows that a large proportion of the Labour membership regard Corbyn as having been one of their party's best ever leaders. One extreme outcome could be a Corbynite exodus to a new party, which would be a lose/lose for all concerned - a new left-wing force would be highly unlikely to win any seats at the next election, but it could well knock a few percentage points off Labour's own vote and help keep the Tories in power.
With the current witch-hunt mentality, some would probably say this is grounds for suspension. Which begs the fascinating question: is Leonard a branch office manager or something more? Can the "leader of Scottish Labour" be suspended by UK Labour?https://t.co/GWJlDQFERS— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) October 29, 2020
"Replace Jeremy Corbyn as MP for Islington North with Luciana Berger." This is the kind of zealotry that could rip Labour apart. Do please carry on, guys.https://t.co/lNPOajY9f4— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) October 29, 2020
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
Apologies to everyone for switching pre-moderation on, then off, then back on again. I'm afraid this Hokey Cokey routine may be the pattern of things to come, because I'm simply no longer willing to tolerate our resident troll, and he just doesn't seem to have got the memo. I know people will say "oh but you put up with GWC for years", but this latest character is much darker - he's profoundly racist (against Scots and others), homophobic, and just about every other facet of bigotry you can think of. A fair proportion of the Jockbashing trolling is directed at me personally ("Hey Scotty the Scrounger, Get Bedxit Done", etc, etc) and I make no apology for saying that has played a part in my decision.
Of course there are also troll comments from other directions, and I was particularly bemused by a lengthy anonymous comment yesterday from a chap who pompously informed me that he was going to stop reading the blog because I had failed to apply any critical thought to the story about my sister's phone being found under twenty feet of sand on Gullane beach. Honestly, if you feel the need for a self-important rant of that sort, take it elsewhere. I simply related the story as I had picked it up, and no, I didn't stop to consider whether the twenty feet thing was feasible. I now gather it was actually twenty centimetres. A shout-out to Latvia, by the way, because at least one of the couple who found the phone is Latvian. They go metal detecting in different locations every weekend and are hoping one day they might find a Roman coin.
Turning to another subject, the fundraiser for the next Scot Goes Pop poll has reached its target - in fact as things stand it's exceeded the target by precisely £1! A million thanks to everyone who donated - both large and small donations were absolutely crucial to getting us there. I had a real blast from the past earlier today - my old 'friend' from the 2014 indyref, Lap Gong Leong, contacted me from Hong Kong with a couple of suggestions for poll questions. In fairness they were perfectly reasonable suggestions, and I'll consider them with all the other great suggestions that you've left in the comments section. Hopefully we'll get some more good results from the poll - but, as always, remember there are no guarantees.