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With less than two months of the year left to go, the 2025 Scot Goes Pop fundraiser is still short of its target figure. If you'd like to help keep the lights on during the several months it will take me to find out whether an alternative funding model is viable (realistically it could be a wait of around four months or more), card donations are welcome HERE. Or, if you prefer, direct donations can be made via PayPal. My PayPal email address is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
Many thanks to everyone who has donated so far.
Welsh sub-samples from YouGov, and Find Out Now, average weighted for relative population sample (total population sample 179).
ReplyDeleteCon 12.4%, Lab 8.8%, LibDem 5.5%, RefUK 30.6%, Plaid Cymru 33.8%, Green 6.6%.
Plugged into the Senedd Election Simulator (Cardiff University).
Seat projection:
Plaid Cymru 41, RefUK 36, Labour 7, Tories 7, LibDem 3, Green 2.
48 seats required for a majority.
Labour have taken an almighty fall, and there’s still scope for a further drop.
How's Corbyn's party doing in Wales? Aren't they even in the prompt?
DeleteI had expected their emergence to be a huge problem for the greens. Apparently, I overestimated them! How can you spoil a brand like Corbyn? (A brand the MSM was mad for when he was Labour leader, ofc, making him 100% synonymous with the left.)
Well, with enough work, evidently yes you can snatch irrelevance from the jaws of success. Impressive!
still sad that reform is 2nd. Tends to show that many tories were even more right wing than first thought. Anti immigration yet many don't have the perception that they are the immigrants to Cymru. I think they like the term expats.
ReplyDeleteWould the tories enter a pact with Reform or overnight discover they were always Farage stooges? Would labour support Plaid or are they to stubborn?
ReplyDeleteYour Party on it's bahookie tonight as a Muslim founding member of the pro Palestinian party quits because of 'infighting and a toxic culture towards Muslim men'.
ReplyDeleteMost shambolic political project since?
Alba and Your Party could play a Shambles-off. There can only be one winner.
DeleteThe Salvo / Liberation project looks like it's doing more harm than good to me.
DeleteThese micro movements don't register outside the Yes bubble until they inevitably fail or make headlines for being politically naïve, as Salvo's own lawyers labelled them.
Hotheads, cranks and chancers won't win us our independence. It will take a steady, sustained effort which is why I am backing John Swinney's strategy and voting SNP 1 and 2.
Anon at 6.18pm - what harm exactly are they doing. Then try comparing that to the harm done by the SNP over the last 11 years.
DeleteCraig Murray: been in more parties than Frank Sinatra.
DeleteWhen he's been in more than Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh, then it'll be time to worry.
DeleteThe independent republican socialist party of Baurheid must be in with a chance?
ReplyDeleteIndependent republican socialist party of Baurheid c/o Catalunya.
DeleteThe fallout between JTPI and Liberation Scotland/Salvo has certainly crystallised a fundamental fact in the whole Scottish Independence debate.
ReplyDeleteWhatever political, quasi-political or social organisation or party which seeks to lead the drive to self determination must be able to clearly demonstrate that they are 'speaking for the Scottish people' and not just a small fringe group of activists talking only to themselves.
That automatically rules out the above mentioned groupings who have absolutely no public mandate to do anything whatsoever in that regard.
At present, the only pro-indepence entity which can genuinely claim title to that epithet, is the democratically elected ruling party of the Scottish Government, the SNP.
And as others have pointed out elsewhere, expecting a pretty toothless UN who have proved completely ineffectual in preventing many recent atrocities like the Gaza Genocide and similar events elsewhere, to do anything meaningful in relation to either pressurising the UK government to recognise the existing democratic mandate for Scottish Independence or any which follow, is almost definitely a forlorn hope unless WM agrees to play ball.
As many have also stated time and again, there is absolutely no 'quick fix or easy route' to independence, given the constitutional and legal impediments set up by the British State.
It is long past time that the most vocal of the Yes Movements fragmented and very small fringe elements just accepted these realities and that the only way to get what all Yessers desire, is to consistently convince the majority of our fellow Scots that Independence is the best course for our country.
There is no other option.
These small parties only plot anti-SNP full-time amongst themselves and why they assume to be the voice of the people of Scotland when they're never elected is bizarre. I see it's Craig Murray pushing the narrative that the SNP government is a puppet government for the colonial Westminster govt (!) - and the poor Welsh chap from YesCwry (interview shown on Bella Caledonia), initially looking happy about Plaid's showing in Wales, had his enthusiasm sucked out of him by Lesley Riddoch lecturing him on what they must do; that 'the problem the SNP has got is they're a very British party'; waxing lyrical about how great Alex Salmond was and lecturing the poor man about how great Scandanavia is and basically telling him what he should be doing. Poor man had all the joy dragged out of him and rarely had a chance to speak. She loaded all of her personal gripes on him and by the end of it, he looked as if he'd been through the ringer of negativity. Sad indictment of what certain cliques in the supposed yes movement have become. Doesn't look as if independence is their aim - it seems to all be about Alex and therefore the necessity to trash the SNP. Deja vu the good old days in the Labour Party - and pretty much what the Labour Party is doing to itself again now. The supposed yes movement are the barrier to independence. They just don't want the SNP to achieve it so they'll play around until they do as much destruction to the SNP as they can achieve.
DeleteYou are correct that the common sense way forward is to engage with the majority of our fellow Scots - but the movement don't seem at all interested in the country at large - just having multiple yes bubble events with the same people saying the same things - as if just killing time and getting some bucks in from those content to listen to the same people saying the same things ad nauseum.
5.40pm Not like you KC to post so many words.
DeleteThere will always be small cabals of people under the spell of witches/wizards. For nationalists they are the ghost of Alex Salmon and Sara Slayers. Their disciples have been colonised.
Delete11.32pm - no it is not all “ about Alex “. It is about the SNP not using any of its mandates for an independence referendum over the 11 years and counting. The counting looks like it is going to go on for a very long time. It’s about the 50,000 lost SNP members and the massive drop in the polls by the SNP. This was not done by the “ yes movement “ as you claim but by the SNP leadership. Your moan about small parties, the yes movement and Salmond etc is just a poor attempt at deflection from the real issues.
DeleteToo fringe. Too radical. And yet they’re the ones to blame for the big old SNP's stifling stasis.
DeleteWe're not exactly blessed with a "broad political alliance" for independence, the way we're told Catalonia has. But we certainly are shackled with a single point of failure: if the first minister wants no action on independence, then no action we shall get.
Does anyone really believe in Swinney's secret plan? Has anyone just woken up from a coma they've been in since 2014?
Your comments may be relevant in the context of Westminster elections but Holyrood elections, are a better example of democracy and better reflect the wishes of the electorate. The Holyrood system does not exclude all other parties as you seek to do. Thank goodness the leader of SNP has not introduced a bar that allows only SNP votes to be taken into account when determining the wishes of the Scottish electorate. Oh wait! He, and it seems you, have seriously damaged Indy prospects.
DeleteI can assure you that nobody in the SNP waxes lyrical about Alex Salmond, the very opposite is the case
Delete"falling out with your lawyers because of overcharging and they are not following instructions" ... !!
DeleteI'm shocked, SHOCKED - because these things never happen
ifs complains about the last 11 years. And? Nowt can be done about it. If only AS won the referendum for Scotland but he didn't. Move on.
DeleteSilly poster at 5.41pm says “ nowt can be done about it and “ move on “.
DeleteSigh. The SNP have not moved on. Swinney is in charge. That is not moving on. What can be done about it is for the SNP to change its leadership from devolutionists to independence leaders.
I remember a Britnat called KC who used to impersonate independence supporters and he kept telling me to “ move on “.
You wouldn't be talking about KC in the past tense if you saw the state of my inbox. He still attempts to comment here multiple times a day. "Nessie", "what's a de facto referendum", all the fan favourites.
DeleteCan’t believe KC is still around. You’d think he’d have better things to do with his time.
DeleteJames, I wonder if he slips through your net every so often.
DeleteI'm sure you do.
DeleteLiving abroad proves you are a patriot like bathesta. Engerlund
ReplyDeleteGreat news that Samir Zitouni, a Muslim Immigrant from Algeria, left hospital yesterday, 2 weeks after being the railway employee and first person to try stop the terrifying Huntingdon train attack.
ReplyDeleteSamir is a national hero on these islands and should be praised as such.
Complete silence from the racists in Reform UK.
Racists will always be racists, no matter what.
Correct, Reform and their support are choc full of racists.
DeleteSome are quiet racists, some are blatant racists.
Racists all the same.
And as the recent result in Wales showed, voters are now seeing Reform as the racist slime they really are.
It's not even a matter of racism, in England more homeless people are being advised by social services to come to Scotland where they can get better treatment because immigrants aren't allowed to be homeless and live in hotels in England
DeleteLook around you, there are more English homeless on the streets of Scotland than Scots now
Aren't they immigrants? apparently not, they're homeless expats
It is a matter of blatant despicable racism, as far as Reform are concerned.
DeleteFirst and foremost they are a racist party to their very core.
Farage is racist to his very core.
Reform are racists.
Fact.
If labour are proposing to exclude individuals for 20 years to become “subjects” I presume using the same analogy individuals arriving in Scotland from other jurisdictions should not be allowed to vote in elections or referendums here.
ReplyDeleteSo the BBC is to be sued by Trump. Anybody wanting to put into a crowdfunder to save the BBC from going into administration?
ReplyDeleteAnybody?
...
Anybody?
Trump wont win- using it as a distraction from the Epstein files
DeleteTrump's next distraction trick for Epstein files will be to attack Venezuela.
DeleteI detest the BBC for its totally blinkered, colonialist and anti-democratic stance on the subject of Scottish Independence and want it totally eradicated and replaced with a genuine SCOTTISH national broadcaster after Indy.
ReplyDeleteHowever, what we are witnessing now, is a political assault on it by the far right in the UK aided by that obese orange fascist dictator in the White House
Their very obvious plan is to install even more of their placemen stooges, like Robbie Gibb, at all levels of senior management, so that the narrative swings even more to their liking and which will also play right into the hands of mini-me-Trump Farage and his fascist racist clowns
Everyone now knows that Trump is a total imbecile, but an imbecile who wields his power like a banana republic general and who has not only destroyed the notion of 'facts and truth' but has actively tried to shut down any media which incurs his displeasure simply by using them..
If he and his UK helpers succeed with the BBC, all that will happen is it will morph into an even more anti-Scottish anti-democratic piece of crap than it already is.
There will be no upside to this.
Reality check.
ReplyDeleteDoes any real Scottish independence supporter really believe that those shouting the loudest for that racist genocide funding paedo-blimp in the White House to sue the BBC for 5 Billion bucks ( Reform/Tories ) want to replace it with another so-called national broadcaster which will be more even handed and sympathetic to our cause?
Don't be so stupid.
They would change it into or replace it with a Fox News clone which would be a hundred times worse for us that even the hopelessly biased Beeb.
Anyone who tries to persuade or convince you differently is knowingly lying through their teeth and have a separate agenda which is definitely not in alignment with the yes movement.
Beware those 'yessers' jumping on this particular bandwagon.
STV is a foreign broadcaster, it's not Scottish so what's the difference between any of them
DeleteThe BBC is foreign too, it emanates from the mythical land of Britain
DeleteCall me a crazy cat, but how can the BBC be a "national broadcaster"?
DeleteIsn't a "national broadcaster" a broadcaster that broadcasts to a nation?
You're a crazy cat.
DeleteThe phrase used was 'so-called national broadcaster'.
Delete