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More in Common, Westminster voting intention, field work 12 - 15 Sept.
ReplyDeleteUK headline; RefUK 9% lead, -2% on last week.
Scottish sub-sample (unweighted 116)
Con 11%, Lab 22%, LibDem 13%, RefUK 24%, Green 3%, SNP 27%.
The same sampling exercise for Westminster voting intention gives:
ReplyDeleteRefUK 29% (+5%), Plaid Cymru 23% (-1%), Labour 18% (-2%).
Under the vagaries of FPTP, Wales would be all but a sea of RefUK turquoise.
As it stands (Wiki, Westminster best fit curves) RefUK are 400 seat adjacent, Tories are in the 30’s, and Labour may be as low as the 80 something seats.
The electoral map is stunning close to the Brexit pictorial. England & Wales is an almost solid mass of RefUK turquoise (with patches of red in central London & the Manchester / Liverpool corridor). There are zero RefUK seats in Scotland, and every seat some distance south of the Tweed / Solway line is turquoise.
Perhaps even Mayor Swinney could capitalise on that? History suggests otherwise.
Stick to Liberate Scotland !
DeleteDeputy Accounts Manager, John would see the £1m plus in British State, Short money that came with having 40+ seats, and issue a sigh of relief. The Gravy Train would be fully reestablished. Champagne and caviar is now being served in the Buffet car.
DeleteThe biggest favour PM Farage could do us would be to eliminate Short money on the basis that it’s a taxpayer subsidy to an unrepresentative clique of middle-class Politics graduates (which it undoubtedly is).*
Perhaps then, Swinney would do something?
* A press report stated that the six figure compensation package made to the victim of predatory pederast, Patrick Grady, came from Short money. Not much evidence of “policy development” there.
Anon @ 11:11.
DeleteThank you for addressing the substantive points raised, and not just descending into petty accusations, name calling, and whataboutary.
With rhetorical intellect like yours on side, Scottish independence must be an imminent formality.
I’m sure if the much promised but never delivered (a recurring theme when it comes to SNP HQ) rebuttal unit is established in Jackson’s Entry, your employment is all but guaranteed.
Anon 936- where are you? Don’t you know we don’t have mayor’s in Scotland.
DeleteAnon @ 15:46.
DeleteThe sobriquet “Mayor Swinney” is a reference to the aforementioned individual getting his photie took during a gathering of “UK regions” called by Keir Starmer. Swinney was all too happy to pose next to the Mayor of Greater Peterborough (thereby inferring an equivalence between the ancient Kingdom of Scotland and, and a provincial English Mayor).
Less pedantry, more humour, and less false and desperate attack lines. And yes, for the avoidance of doubt, I do know Local Government high heid yins in Scotland are Provosts.
Some are even Lord and Lady Provosts
DeleteIf a rangers and Celtic supporter were photographed together at a wedding you would deduce they support Queen of the South!
DeleteAnon at 2.42. What substantive points?
DeleteOr neither. Fnarr fnarr!
DeleteMr. Swinney's complacent conformity is making it less and less likely that Scotland will avoid the coming right wing debacle in England.
ReplyDeletePerhaps he'll then go for tea with Farage to be 'grown up' 'realistic' and 'keep channels open'?
In the name of something or other - even Neville Chamberlain saw the folly of this eventually.
Stop playing John Swinney for the right wing debacle as you describe it. Blame it in on the bbc with their Farage obsession, the brexiters, the compliant Tory and labour parties, musk, newspapers and radio outlets and of course some of the public particularly in England who blame innocents for their sad lives. The boat people they should be attacked is the baroness mone’s of the world ( whatever happen to her ) with their million pound boats drifting offshore.
DeleteAch, there's always Liberate Scotland !
DeleteI think John should have taken Patrick Grady and Deek MccKay in support
DeleteAbsolutely pathetic comments regarding John Swinney's inability to do something about what other political parties plan to do
DeleteIt's cowardly weak and so typical of the deadbeat Alba leftovers to criticize politicians for not inventing time machines to go back and prevent events from happening outwith their control
well good on John Swinney or anyone taking politics up as a hobby.Farage led a party that won an EU election in Scotland and had a Sinn Feign-stye insurrection of not turning up to the parliament. It worked well. But Sinn Feign didnt win mant elections. where is the campaign?
ReplyDeleteDo you honestly think it's spelled Sinn Feign or is that intended as some sort of satire?
DeleteI think it was meant to be side-splittingly humorous.
DeleteFarage never won an EU election in Scotland, his man, David Coburn ( aka Coco the clown) got a percentage of PR vote to take him to Strasbourg.
DeleteAt 9:39 pm. Remember how Margaret 'Realpolitik' Curran and the Labour crowd cheered Coburn's win over the SNP? Allies supporting each other.
DeleteGood to see John Swinney heading to London for Trump’s state banquet.
ReplyDeleteSome will disagree, but I don’t think there was anything to be gained by turning down the invitation.
I don’t quite get this thing that anyone attending the banquet was in effect supporting genocide in Gaza.
DeleteAt least the MSP who criticised Swinney for attending deleted his comment on X.
I wonder if Trump got the chance to grab any pussies and pay out large amounts of money to his victims during his State Visit to England.
DeleteIt makes no difference whether Plaid or the SNP win the elections next year
ReplyDeleteTory Labour and despite what they say Lib Dems will all link hands with Reform to keep Plaid and the SNP hamstrung
England will unite with itself to maintain ownership of their colonies
This is about as much as I can take. I've had it up to here.
DeleteAs usual with the image of the poll figures, the red PLAY arrow obscures the second line. In future, can you please reproduce these figures in the brief text that accompanies the link to the podcast?
ReplyDelete7.38 Or you could just watch it!!!
ReplyDeleteGosh. You must be very clever. Such a witty riposte.
DeleteAs Donald said to Melania, "Shut your legs theirs a draft in here"
DeleteI wasn’t trying to be witty. Merely stating a fact that the big red button means press and watch….jesus Christ can’t believe somebody tried to put me down for that!!!
DeleteYou were trying to be a smart Alec. Now that you've been called out, you're backtracking and playing victim. Don't dish it out if you can't take it.
DeleteSultana Party already imploded & it's not even launched yet (or got a proper name).
ReplyDeleteI do watch them (and they're excellent), but it's good to be able to see the figures afterwards quickly without having to trawl through the video to where he mentions them.
ReplyDeleteFind Out Now, Westminster voting intention, field work 17 - 18 Sept.
ReplyDeleteUK headline: RefUK lead 18%, +3% on last week.
An all time record, but it’s Find Out Now we’re talking about.
Scottish sub-sample (unusually high 241)
Con 10%, Lab 13%, LibDem 11%, RefUK 27%, Green 6%, SNP 30%.
A preposterously high result for RefUK, but at least they’re consistently biased.
Average of last week’s polls, with average of last three YouGov, Scottish sub-samples, plugged into Electoral Calculus model.
ReplyDeleteSeats: RefUK 403, Lab 85, LibDem 63, SNP 44, Con 27, Plaid Cymru 5, Green 2, Others 3.
SNP prediction is on low side. Labour appear to be holding onto three or four seats (when it’s probably just one). Tories holding onto three seats (imagine 1 in 10 Tories in HoC being from Scottish constituencies). LibDems holding four or five seats, which with the SNP performing in the very low 30’s percentage wise, is quite possible.
That's horrifying. What a prospect. If there's any consolation to be gleaned from this morass of horror, it is that the shysters from the ConLabLibRef Party aren't! I remember Sir Starmer's patronising words, ' Whenever I see Cate Blanchett or Kylie Minogue on TV I just smile. They're Australian.' What a cheek.
DeleteJust when you think the stupidity and incompetence of the current SNP leadership cannot get any worse, up pops Hepburn, to be outsmarted by the lying little arsehole this is dross Boy. WTAF?
ReplyDeleteJeezy peeps! If Dross wins we'll have to watch him and Krystle waltzing around like heifers to Andre Rieu's shite versions of Boston Pops hits. For fiddling Fidelma's sake!
DeleteAs a workplace Holyrood should be setting an example to the rest of Scotland. Many companies would have either outright sacked Hepburn, or given him an official warning - and sent him on an anger management course - which the SPCB or whoever is responsible for the welfare of all employees, including MSPs, should do - especially with a view to preventing any bullying whatsoever by anyone.
DeletePartisan opinions on Ross or Hepburn are irrelevant to this standard and legal requirement for a safe workplace for all.
Just to add to that, if Ross had been a John Prescott in his instinctive reaction hedyay, it could be him facing the possibility of charges, provoked by the loss of control by Hepburn. That's not acceptable either. That could be some of us in that position.
DeleteWhat happened to Dave Francis. He was hard, didn’t mess about.
ReplyDeleteYouGov, support for Palestinian state (excluding don’t knows). Field work 17 - 18 Sept.
ReplyDeleteUK net +42%, Scotland net +43%, England net +40%, England excluding London net +37%.
Labour voters net +72%. Starmer will recognise Palestine (within which boundaries?) at the UN General Assembly. At the press conference at the end of Trump’s State visit, Trump said they agreed to differ.
Stupidity is those that voted for Ross.
ReplyDeleteHullo from Skopje where I am on holiday. I didn't vote for Dross but an aunt who lives near Kinloss did. And so did her neighbours. They felt sorry for him.
Delete