Today's YouTube commentary is of course about the new Scottish poll from More In Common - the first full-scale Scottish poll from any company since June. The seats projection from the poll is pretty extraordinary, showing the SNP on 61 seats - just four short of a single-party overall majority. However, if anyone is tempted to think that this means John Swinney's plans to make an independence referendum conditional on the SNP winning an overall majority may not be quite so misjudged after all, I'm afraid that's not the case, and I explain why in the video. I also give my thoughts on the SNP event this morning, which doubled down on the Swinney plan.
Very encouraging poll for the SNP. It's great this implies they would have three times as many seats as the next party.
ReplyDeleteWhat are Alba's plans? Are they standing a couple in constituencies and the rest on regional? Not hearing anything about them these days. Have they sprung up more candidate numbers?
ReplyDelete"What are Alba's plans?"
DeleteAlba don't have plans, they barely even exist anymore. They won't be missed.
ALBA Failed Clique continues their repeatedly failed, unpopular strategy of propping up the traitors NuSNP instead of taking them on.
DeleteSNP1 ALBA2 2021
SNP1 ALBA2 2026
Why they poll so abysmally.
Ach, there's always the ISP !
DeleteWhy would they surrender that right to something? Em er, if one was not interested in something they would be happy to surrender the right, then nothing is lost if it ain’t achieved.
ReplyDeleteSwinney continues with his plan to ignore/reject the votes cast for parties supporting Independence other than his own. It’s almost as though he doesn’t want the mandate to push hard for Independence. Surely not?
ReplyDeleteDeffo. It's an evil conspiracy and everything is terrible. In fact, we're doomed.
DeleteSwinney wants people to vote SNP.
DeleteAye Alba and the ISP have massive support lol
DeleteCat woman at 7.14. Conspiracy? Who said anything about conspiracy? Oh it was you. Silly billy.
DeleteAnon at 7.56. Exactly the point being made but you seem unable to grasp it. Swinney wants what is best for SNP, not what is best for Indy Scotland. Farage U K awaits you. Unless half a million are wrong and you are right. That’s probably it. I’ve got an E U bolt hole. I feel sorry for the many who do not, except you. You deserve what’s coming. Byeeeee.
DeleteWho mentioned Alba and ISP? Oh the muppet at 9.58. It’s as though the point I made cannot be refuted. Instead, straw men abound. Conspiracy, Alba, ISP. Silence on the actual point made speaks volumes. Clearly it has struck a nerve.
DeleteIf Swinney accepted an amendment, the pro Independence majority including the Greens Is possibile
ReplyDeleteExactly. But the unthinking within SNP do what they are told without questioning. Swinney has set out a strategy that is almost certainly going to fail. No mandate. BBC on overdrive. Indy “dead” they will proclaim.
DeleteAre greens trustworthy?
DeleteExactly. The only course of action if SNP are serious about pushing hard for Indy is agreement over constituency vote for SNP, and list green vote for Green. It has worked in my constituency for the last three elections. It is a no brainer, despite all the rubbish being talked about it. SNP won’t entertain it. Why?
DeleteFind Out Now, Westminster voting intention, field work 3rd Sept.
ReplyDeleteUK wide result: RefUK lead 13%, down 3% on previous week.
Scottish sub-sample (113)
Con 10%, Lab 13%, LibDem 11%, RefUK 19%, Green 12%, SNP 31%.
Another improbably high result for the Scottish Greens.
ALBA 😂😂😂😂 Finished as a credible political party. Maybe turn up at the Fringe next year as a comedy act
ReplyDeleteIf not there already - join SNP and push for change. Like it or not it's the only party that might extract Scotland from the debacle of the UK. No guarantees but an opportunity if enough of us are grown up enough to try it.
ReplyDeleteAsh Regan just joined Reform UK according to Holyrood sources
ReplyDeleteSurprise, surprise !
DeleteThe Wiki page tracking Westminster voting intention has a clear 10% lead for RefUK on the best fit curves.
ReplyDeleteRefUK appear to be approaching a natural ceiling in the low thirties.
The Conservatives appear to be bound to their core vote of c. 17%, with little hope of rising above this. In any case, that only gets them around 40 MPs, so they are an irrelevance.
Labour are at 20%, and in the grips of a precipitous fall. How low can they go? Quite a bit further I should imagine.
RefUK are on schedule to get an outright majority at the next GE. The Security Services can live with this, but they have to plan for the future, after RefUK inevitably looses its “just out the box lustre”.
The Corbyn / Sultana entity must not be allowed to fill the void. Expect lots of dirty tricks from MI5.
Nonetheless, Thames House must offer an alternative. A merging of the rump Conservatives & Labour? An SDP for the 21st century? The LibDems (vestigial legacy of that particular debacle) should stay clear, and keep their brand untainted by Spook manipulation.