Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Anas Sarwar's hopes of becoming First Minister CRUMBLE TO DUST after crucial YouGov crossbreak
I said the other day that the Great Scot Goes Pop Video Experiment would recommence just as soon as I could commandeer the household webcam, but that's proving far from straightforward because for the time being our living room has been turned into a hotel room. (For those of you who were complaining about the guddle in the background of the videos, you should see what it looks like now.) Not to be deterred, though, I simply memorised the results of this week's YouTube subsample and took to the Great Outdoors to bring you the glad tidings.
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Encouraging for SNP -- Swinney doing well.
ReplyDeleteSettling into the chip roll.
DeleteGood news based on this sub poll is the SNP would gain 40 seats , Reform UK would take Douglas Alexander's East Lothian seat and the Tories would be reduced to 0. Lib/Dems lose Inverness Skye to SNP and Labour reduced to rubble, sorry 2 seats.
ReplyDeleteSad to hear that Labour will hold as many as two seats. Although I dare say they'll be delighted to have held on to the Tory vote in those two.
DeleteGood as far as it goes but the elephant in the room is the rising possibility of Starmer being swept away by Farage in the UK.
ReplyDeleteThat nice Mr. Swinney then , ever so politely, asks PM Farage for a Section 3O Order and Nige chuckles as he summons a constable.
We've all heard it a thousand times but it remains true - power is taken not granted. Every SNP member who can needs to be pressing for a fundamental change of party strategy and leadership direction at the upcoming conference.
Swinney is NOT "doing well". He is sleep walking up a very dark blind alley.
I think this is a little harsh on John Swinney who has been pretty effective in restoring the SNP's fortunes after an uncertain period.
DeleteJohn Swinney is a politician not a soldier, so he'll not likely be getting measured up for his bespoke war against England suit anytime soon
DeleteIf you want independence in the way you describe you have to convince the population of Scotland to do that, because that's the only way that'll ever happen
If you do though, I'm right behind you, until then all we've got is our vote, use it wisely, but don't undermine politicians because they won't pick up a weapon and demand they do what you're not doing
76 year old Dr Jim dreaming of going to war against England @ 6.53pm. It would be funny if he was charged using Humza’s Hate Crime law.
DeleteAs things stand, Graham Simpson is technically the second most likely next First Minister. We truly live in an era of political giants.
ReplyDeleteApologies, 7:19 should be headed 'Alt Clut'
ReplyDeleteA route to break the inertia?
ReplyDeleteThose YouGov numbers would see RefUK with a 20 seat majority. The Corbyn / Sultana entity will probably eat into the Likud, sorry, Labour vote and reduce them to double digits.
A super majority is a dangerous thing. You can get all sorts of things of a revolutionary nature done. Ref. Covert Human Intelligence Sources (Criminal Conduct) Act 2021.
What if Nige does away with the Policy Development Grant (Short money)? It’s the kind of populist move that would have his supporters cheering from the rafters.
Stripped of the revenue stream of Short money, (for all time) Jackson’s Entry might actually make some positive moves towards independence.
Boris Johnson is a Nicola fan. He thanks her for making the union safe.
ReplyDeleteHiding your identity again IFS?
DeleteAnon @6.55pm is classic stuff from an anonymous poster hiding its identity obsessed with IFS. Zero self awareness by it.
DeleteOk IFS
DeleteAnon at 7.52 has to be satire surely? No one is that stupid and unaware. Except IFSy and his wee pals.
DeleteJohnson is the epitome of everything I hate about the UK establishment but it's hard not to agree with him about Sturgeon keeping the Union safe for the foreseeable future.
DeleteYou only have to look at the desperate nonsense being peddled btl on The Dug's site to see that.
Skier was a sensible, measured commenter when indy was riding high but he's got nothing to work with these days, hence the laughable 'Union to collapse by teatime' guff he knocks out several times a day.
He's just the crank in the town square with 'The end is nigh' placard who shouts at pigeons with a crazed look in his eye. People shake their heads and cross the road to avoid him.
LIttle Nikki was made an offer she couldn't refuse
DeleteLeslie Evans was her "handler".
The day Sturgeon takes ermine and enters the HOL we will know.
- it will be too late then.
Zack Polanski has shown initial signs of his (understandably) limited ambition.
ReplyDeletePolanski described the arrest of Graham Linehan as “totally acceptable”, and “proportionate”.
That’s the kind of pragmatic calculation you make when you’re sitting on 10% in the polls. You have to weigh the temptation to expand your support into uncertain territory, through adopting a populist position, against the absolute necessity to mollify your base by maintaining a principle held by only a tiny minority of the overall population.
That reasoned logic doesn’t however apply when you’re garnering 40% in the polls. Sturgeon chose to champion an enormously unpopular policy not out of electoral necessity, but to maintain her Ceausescu like grip on the party machinery.
Nicola Sturgeon's support for LGBTQ+ -- some of the most marginalized in society -- deserves praise not criticism.
DeleteNo. It absolutely does not deserve praise. It was a personal indulgence bordering on obsession. It has trashed the SNP's reputation and done incalculable damage to the cause of independence.
DeleteIt was an act of political self harm for which Sturgeon will never be forgiven.
"Polanski described the arrest of Graham Linehan as “totally acceptable”, and “proportionate”."
DeleteStrange. I can't find a single source for him saying that it was "totally acceptable", which is an unlikely turn of phrase anyway. Do you have a link?
7.56 Daley voice “I am a robot, I am Anas Sarwar”!!!
DeleteWhere are the 'alphabet people' marginalised? They have exactly the same rights as everyone else and every second day of the year seems to be a Pride Day.
DeleteSpot the bigot.
DeleteThe sexual liberation juggernaut drives to one destination - the normalisation of paedophilia and a general "anything goes sexual utopia"
Delete(trannyism is a trojan horse - if a child can consent to have his dick cut off, why not "consent" to sex with a 45 year old?)
It is a form of colonialism. The way to stop it is to be inspired by the bravery of caribbean and west african countries - shut down PRIDE entirely.
PRIDE really means - WE'RE GONNA FUCK YOUR KIDS AND YOU WILL LET US OR YOU GO TO JAIL
who says moloch worship ever stopped.
Anon@11:01 Is it you?
DeleteCorrecting ridiculous misinformation elsewhere which does the YES movement no good at all, Norway does not build frigates or larger warships. Its last lot of frigates were built by Navantia in Spain and its subs in Germany.
ReplyDeleteI read what he wrote and you're misrepresenting it because you were blocked by Paul Cavanagh and have a grudge like IFS
DeleteHe never said Norway built frigates or warships, he only said they can build bigger ships which is correct, so you're the one spreading misinformation not him
DeleteSour grapes because you got booted off that blog
You got off lightly yesindyref2 as Dr Jim didn’t threaten to take an axe to you.
DeleteI'm not convinced Anon at 7pm and again at 7.20 pm quite understands the difference between a big ferry or tanker or even cruise ship, and a Fridtjof Nansen (a very fine frigate). Or for that matter between Skjolds which I'd still like for the Scottish Navy, and a T26 which in fairness might be too expensive and even too complex for Scotland's needs.
DeleteConsidering our position on the GIS gap and on what could be called the SND gap, iScotland could do worse than trying to specialise on a T-AGOS type fleet, where for £3 or £4 billion a real need could be addressed. They'd need a smaller crew to be cost efficient.
DeleteInstead of admitting you're a nob for deliberately misinterpreting the guy's post and been caught doing it you're doubling down on your nasty stupidity
DeleteThat's what WGD threw you off his blog for, constantly being a nob
If anyone is interesterd, as far as I'm aware there are no shipyards in Norway that build ships - they outfit hulls built elsewhere.
Delete"nob".
DeleteI'm not rich, nor do I have a title, but you can call me "sir".
Lineham gets arrested for a few tweets but every week for years Dr Jim incites violence on Wee Ginger Dug and it is ignored.
ReplyDeleteYou're behaving like a real nob IFS but you've got a friend in yesidyref2 he's as thick as you are
DeleteIfS.......yawn...
Delete.
6.57pm and 10.59pm are clearly missing IFS to vent their bile on so the poor deranged souls have to imagine he is there. If they had any family or friends they would have had an intervention by now.
DeleteIt is also worth noting that they just accept the violent words of Dr Jim. Or is it actually Dr Jim?
John Swinney finally taking action to stop supporting companies in Scotland that are sending parts to Israel that helps them carry out their genocide. IFS raised this a long time ago but the usual SNP bullies jumped on him.
ReplyDeleteSwinney has given the arms companies plenty of time to increase production so Israel can stockpile the components it needs before this belated boycott.
DeleteAbsolutely pathetic, weasly effort from the Scottish Government on this.
I think the Scottish government is subsidising no arms companies whatsoever in the first place. If they are, I want my money back.
DeleteRaytheon, Leonardo and Thales all produce components for weapons systems used by the IDF, including drones, missile guidance systems and the F35.
DeleteThe Scottish Government has given £2.75 million of taxpayers money to these companies since 2022 via Scottish Enterprise grants.
As you, and I and every other Scottish taxpayer have been funding genocide for at least a year we do deserve a refund and to know why the Scot Gov dragged their feet over this issue for so long.
That's as unpalatable as the Scottish government building a gigantic warehouse for Amazon for free, and flogging offshore windfarm acreage in a capped-price auction, and having a land reform policy dictated by the Duke of Buchleuch. I suggest we make the whole Scottish government unemployed.
DeleteWell done to the SNP Scottish Government for their actions against Israel today.
ReplyDeleteAlready praised by Oxfam, I am sure similar international aid agencies will follow.
In stark constrast to the unionists in power elsewhere on these islands.
9.50pm they could have carried out this action 18 months ago. But they didn’t. Is it the fact that there is an election in 9 months time? Comparing yourself with Westminster is using a very low bar.
DeleteFor all their faults (and there are many) the SNP have consistently voiced opposition to the murderous Israeli state and its army of murderers. SNP baaad is so tiresome. Try your luck on the Daily Fail or BBC. More your level.
Delete8.42am is a perfect example of the ignorant SNP supporter who just cannot accept any true facts that criticise the SNP. Instead of addressing the facts the poster comes up with the usual dross like away to the Daily Fail.
DeleteAnyways, on a more positive note than the eejits from elsewhere, the Norway T26 order perhaps with following Sweden and Denmark ones, with some concern they'll delay the delivery of the RN ones - it's exceedingly unlikely as Mr Kipling didn't say, that the "UK doesn't build warships in foreign countries" hence totally destroying any leverage they might have thought that had.
ReplyDeleteBad enough the UK reneged on its promise to build a frigate factory capable of building 2 T26 a year, and instead at the time, making that 1 T26 in TWO years. Can you imagine if they said to Norway "Ehh, you'll have to accept a 5 years delay while we move the complex warship manufacturing and as many workers as we can kidnap not having had adequate apprentices for a time, to somewhere else in the rUK"? Yes, that'll be some overripe banana skins.
Still going on about the same thing even when you've been caught lying?
DeleteGood to see the police in Aberdeen have now arrested seven of the scumbags protesting outside accomodation used for asylum seekers.
ReplyDeleteThey have been rightly charged with inciting racial hatred.
Probably bussed-in from England and very probably Reform voters.
Not all Reform voters will be racists, but it is looking increasingly likely that most racists will now vote Reform.
They could just as easily have been bussed up from a certain football supporters club.
Deletehow many?
Deletehow many is okay and how many is too much?
Scotland is a country of around 5 million with really bad infrastructure due to the needs of the London Oxford Cambridge "golden triangle".
Show your working and include for the fact that many of the incomers have children at far higher rates than the natives.
Beyond-Farage, Elon-backed "Advance UK" (AUK, but "Regress UK" would have been far more accurate....) makes it onto one of the most popular betting exchanges - with betting for next UK GE "Most Seats" at tighter odds than the Greens, around an implied (bit less than) 1% chance for AUK and half of that for the Greens. I don't give betting or financial advice, but for info this in my view is bonkers in the over-estimation of AUK's chances. No matter, what I think is significant is that if AUK picks up (thanks Elon!) any decent amount of votes at all then that harms Farage/ "Reform UK" (another ridiculous party name) in their fight for seats. How many Tory, Labour, LibDem and even SNP MPs will owe their seats to Farage/ Elon parties vote splitting? Can't wait to see that Farage vs Elon spat after the GE if Reform UK fails to breakthrough properly due to Elon AUK fantasy politics.
ReplyDelete"I don't give betting or financial advice, but for info this in my view is bonkers in the over-estimation of AUK's chances"
DeleteAgreed, although a bit difficult to get very far by laying at those odds.
Hauf pint poll fae Freshwater Strategy, sneaked in.
ReplyDeleteWestminster voting intention, field work 29 - 31 Aug. Population sample: headline 1,251 (weighted 686).
RefUK with 13% lead.
Micro, Scottish sub-sample (57)
Lab 21%, Con 9%, RefUK 17%, LibDem 10%, Green 3%, SNP 38%
Encouraging for SNP, who maintain a strong lead over the other parties.
Delete10.24 ....and what's the bloody point of that? I'm not going to vote SNP just to keep Mairi McAllan in a salary.
DeleteGood to see that Reform's vote in Scotland is on the decline.
DeleteLate entry to August polling, with meaninglessly long sampling period.
ReplyDeleteJ L Partners, Westminster voting intention, field work 19 Aug - 1 Sept, sample population 2,118.
RefUK with 10% lead. 4% higher than previous poll in mid July.
No detailed data tables available.
IFS appears to have gone to ground after being asked on several occasions by different posters, what’s the point of voting for parties like ISP?
ReplyDeleteIFS has nothing to do with ISP you ignorant silly billy.
DeleteI'm sick of the misrepresentations so casually used, by the likes of the Herald here:
ReplyDelete"Instead, it reaffirms existing routes such as seeking a Section 30 order"
Did they actually bother reading the damn thing? There's one single solitary reference in the whole document to a "Section 30", and that was to a Scottish Parliament motion, March 2017.
https://www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/research-and-analysis/2025/09/right-decide/documents/right-decide/right-decide/govscot%3Adocument/right-decide.pdf
Criticise Swinney for what he said by all means. DON'T criticise him for something he didn't say at all.