Sunday, September 28, 2025

53% back independence in BOMBSHELL poll: panic grips Westminster as Norstat knock up another natty number

Incredibly, after a summer of practically no Scottish polls, we've now had four in the last week, and three have had voting intentions numbers.  The latest is from the regular Norstat series for the Sunday Times.

Should Scotland be an independent country?

Yes 53% (-1)
No 47% (+1)

This run of Yes-majority polls from Norstat is now far too sustained to be coincidental, and it's really strange in a way, because Norstat's predecessor Panelbase was for many years one of the more No-friendly companies, and to the best of my knowledge they haven't changed their methodology - they haven't abandoned 2014 weighting or anything like that (even though in my opinion they probably should).  The most logical explanation is therefore that Yes support has indeed risen markedly - and yet most other polling firms haven't really picked up that trend.

One of the problems with this switching-to-video-blogging malarkey is that there are some times of day when it's not really feasible to drop everything and make a video, which means I'm not reacting quite as quickly to new polls as I was with conventional blogging.  I'll need to have a think about how to square that circle in the future, but with a bit of luck I'll have a video about the Norstat poll within the next 12-24 hours.  In the meantime, here are a few of my tweets from yesterday.  I've said it before and I'll say it again - there is NOTHING that triggers the Brit Nat hordes quite like a tweet about curling.
Posted by James Kelly at 9:29 AM

6 comments:

  1. Alt ClutSeptember 28, 2025 at 9:54 AM

    The Confederate dollars remind us of who many of the Scottish wealth elite supported. The Confederacy had a ship buying commission based at Bridge of Allan and Jefferson Davis later came over for a stay with his Glasgow chums.

    Moral ? Economic elites are driven by love of money, their fellow humans come well down the list.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousSeptember 28, 2025 at 1:35 PM

      Yes, because Glasgow's main industry at the time was cotton, prevalent in the southern states. Clyde Shipbuilding got a kickstart by the American Civil War too. Before the Clyde was further deepened, Glasgow shipbuilders originally specialised in ships with a shallow draught which were perfect for navigating the Confederate rivers. As always, money talks.

      Delete
  2. AnonymousSeptember 28, 2025 at 10:32 AM

    James, these polls change nothing on the constitutional question. We all know that next year will be a SNP win but not for democracy. After the election once again Scotland and its people will be the loser in the election even though we have just voted for the SNP on the constitutional question but nothing will change on the ground or in the debate.

    Then it'll be the same in the next Westminster election, the only way to make change is to remove the idea that Westminster holds the power on the constitutional question and that's something the SNP will never do because its the SNP gold standard for Staying in power and staying in the Union.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Diamond GeezerSeptember 28, 2025 at 10:45 AM

    Until recently, the audio from your videos would appear in the SGP podcast feed. Could you reinstate that please as I find it much easier to listen to your content that way than watching it on YT.

    ReplyDelete
  4. AnonymousSeptember 28, 2025 at 11:37 AM

    And labour give £1.5 billion of our money to help out Jaguar Land Rover because it is in Englands national interest. Grangemouth? Ignore.

    ReplyDelete
  5. yesindyref2September 28, 2025 at 12:03 PM

    OT but not really.

    I'm happy to criticise the National when it's needed, but I've been meaning to say for weeks, months, that it is doing a great job of selling Scotland itself - and that can help create a feel good factor which will help support for Independence.

    Articles like this from today for instance in its "Our Scotland":

    "This deserted Scottish island littered with WWII relics is a spooky site"

    "The Scottish loch 'like no other' where a 'rare' and 'punky' bird can be found"

    "This Scottish pub dating back to 1790 is one of the UK's best for a seaside pint"

    "Why this Michelin-listed bar in Scotland is one of the best in the world"

    "These strange hedges near Edinburgh have been cultivated for over 20 years"

    "This 'magical' and 'hidden' glen could be the best to visit in all of Scotland"

    "'Scrumptious' seaside fish and chip shop in Scotland named among the UK's best"

    "Why this Scottish city is one of the cheapest places in the UK to buy a home"

    Unlike the Hellish Herald which goes on and on about every single "fiasco" ferry cancellation and is hence directly responsible for a drop in tourism, not only to the Islands but the mainland as well.

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)