Crossbreak cornucopia as SNP stun rivals with epochal lead in Scottish subsample from Find Out Now

GB-wide voting intentions (Find Out Now, 25th June 2025):

Reform UK 30% (-1)

Labour 22% (-1)

Conservatives 18% (+2)

Liberal Democrats 13% (+1)

Greens 11% (-)

SNP 3% (-)

Plaid Cymru 1% (-)

Scottish subsample: SNP 37%, Reform UK 16%, Labour 14%, Liberal Democrats 11%, Conservatives 9%, Greens 8%

You know the drill by now: only YouGov are known to correctly structure and weight their Scottish subsamples correctly, so subsample numbers from Find Out Now and other firms have less credibility.  Nevertheless, there has been a lovely consistency to the SNP's commanding position in subsamples across multiple firms recently, including YouGov themselves, so I don't think it's too outlandish to hope that there may be more than a grain of truth in it.

At GB level, the impression that Labour may have been recovering a bit has been dented - they're back down closer to their post-election low once again. However, it remains to be seen what the effect of the climbdown on benefits cuts will be - that's too recent to be factored in yet.

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For those that have been asking, yes I'm aware that my devoted Somerset stalker has been tweeting about me relentlessly in recent days and seems desperate for a reply.  That's kind of what he does all the time anyway, but I promise, I AM NOT IGNORING YOU STEW, and you'll get some of the attention you've been craving in due course.

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