Reform UK 27% (-)
Labour 23% (-)
Conservatives 17% (-)
Liberal Democrats 16% (+1)
Greens 10% (-1)
SNP 3% (-)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)
Scottish subsample: SNP 39%, Reform UK 19%, Labour 17%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Greens 6%, Conservatives 6%
Oh, who will save the Scottish Tories now? The number of respondents in these subsamples is tiny, but there does seem to be a weird consistency to the SNP doing markedly better after their setback in the Hamilton by-election than before. That may seem counterintuitive but it's not impossible that it's a real trend.
I remember not long after the independence referendum the subsamples were hinting at a big boost for the SNP and a local by-election in Wick picked up on the apparent SNP surge. I'm beginning to think something similar is happening although not quite on the same scale.
ReplyDeleteThere is something amiss. The world’s worst forecaster Declan still hasn’t punched the air. Did he try, missed the air and knocked himself out.
ReplyDeleteThe Bath Baby's rattles will be all over the place.
ReplyDeleteDiddums.
John Swinney has done a good job to raise support for SNP.
ReplyDelete