Just a gentle reminder that Ballot Box Scotland is run by a (very talented) member of the Green party, which in previous elections has been a list-only party and has touted for the list votes of SNP supporters in much the same way that Alba are doing now.https://t.co/Qhe6PjxjQC
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) March 29, 2021
I'm not that fussed about the whole 'supermajority' thing, but if it was successful it's pushing a bit to say that it wouldn't have any psychological impact at all. People look at both seats and the popular vote.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) March 29, 2021
I think if I was genuinely going to be risking the reputation of my project in the name of boosting my own party's chances I'd be rather less transparent about it than this, but it's good to hear that people can read my about page.
— Ballot Box Scotland (@BallotBoxScot) March 29, 2021
I think he doth protest too much, quite honestly. I hadn't actually accused him of bias - that was a straw man designed to deflect from the substance of my point, and nor had I suggested that a partisan stance would tarnish the reputation of his blessed "project". However, bias can come in the form of omission - if other parties are criticised but the Greens are not, that's a subtle form of bias. That's exactly the point that is sometimes made about RT, for example - that Russia is the only country they'll never criticise.OK, all you've got is a snide answer. Disappointing, but suit yourself. I was actually making a serious point.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) March 29, 2021
From what I can tell voting for Alba (if people so wish) can cause no real harm based on what we have been told over recent months.
ReplyDelete*) What ever happens there is going to be a SNP Government, therefore the referendum bill will be put in front of the Scottish Parliament
*) There is going to be a pro indy majority in the next parliament, therefore the bill will pass
*) Once it has passed Boris (no matter what he is saying now) will accept the there should be a second ref and grant a section 30 (we have been repeatedly told this by SNP MP's MSPs)
*) Due to Brexit /Boris / English Nationalism / population age makeup second ref would lead to a Yes majority.
I fully understand why people might not want to vote for Alba, but can't honestly see where the narative that the Alba party is putting independence at risk being peddled by some adds up.
I’m pro Alba myself, but I understand the concern is that Salmond being in the limelight highlights the splits in the Yes movement and undecided voters don’t much like the sight of that. He puts a lot of voters off, just personally. I remember this from conversations myself with No voters back in 2014. He’s Marmite.
DeleteAnd until recently, he was off the radar. Some people liked that.
I get that, but can't see it really stopping a pro indy majority. Even in the polls earlier in month when the SNP consituancy vote had fallen there was still a pro indy majority of 10-15. Now that Nicola has been fully cleared etc etc you would expect the SNP vote to rise back up again helping increase the pro indy majority which would counteract any slippage due to people not liking Salmond etc.
DeleteMaybe I'm well off the mark but can't see the Alba party forming stopping a pro indy majority (which is the only requirement needed to pass the bill)
Bear in mind the point of a supermajority, besides an immense shift in the atmosphere of Holyrood and the independence narrative, is procedural. I believe you need 2/3rd of the chamber to vote to hold a snap election (there are other ways but they're messy). And that's exactly what a plebiscitary election would be.
DeleteThis does all come back to Plan B in case that section 30 is not forthcoming. There's every reason to be prepared. Issuing a section 30 and losing Scotland from the union would be a resigning offence for the prime minister, and an enormous upset for the UK as a whole. They will do what they feel they can to stop us.
There is no such thing as a plan B. The Westminster Government has already conceded that the Scottish people are sovereign, NOT POLITICAL PARTIES OR GOVERNMENTS. The Scottish voting system is not the D'Hondt one. The parties MUST stand for first past the post. The other parties
ReplyDeletethen get seats according to the amount of votes they have received. This could be the future Scottish government could use.
Are Soar Alba setting out a manifesto for government so that people will know what they are voting for.