Saturday, May 23, 2026

First Makerfield by-election poll shows Andy Burnham could be in TROUBLE


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Catch up with last Wednesday's award-winning blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

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If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com
* Salmond always went out of his way when he made the 'once in a generation' comment to stress that he was merely expressing a "personal view".  Check every interview in which he made the comment and you'll find exactly the same disclaimer.  He made clear that he wasn't intending to bind his successors and that it was democratically impossible for him to do so.

The biggest problem for British Nationalist propagandists like Fiona Bruce who triumphantly trot out the "once in a generation" excuse is that a generation has essentially *already passed*

Fiona Bruce claimed in her position as Question Time host on Thursday night that the 2014 independence referendum result had settled the issue for "twenty or thirty years".  That is an outrageous comment that once again demonstrates that the BBC, as the state broadcaster of the United Kingdom, is institutionally incapable of reporting on the Scottish independence debate objectively or impartially.  The BBC would actually do its viewers a much greater service if it would just drop the preposterous pretence of neutrality and instead openly own its unrelenting hostility to the principle of Scotland choosing its own governments.  If you're hellbent on being Fox News, then be Fox News, but for pity's sake be honest about it so that the people in Scotland who are legally compelled by the United Kingdom government to fund you, on pain of court action and possible imprisonment, know exactly where they stand.

What Bruce was praying in aid, of course, was Alex Salmond's occasional statements in the run-up to 2014 that independence referendums were only likely to be held once in a generation.  However, there are numerous problems for her and others who go down that road - 

* Whenever he made the "generation" comment, Salmond always went out of his way to stress that he was merely expressing a "personal view".  Check every interview in which the comment was made and you'll find exactly the same disclaimer. In other words it wasn't a statement of SNP policy or even of the Scottish Government's position, and it wasn't intended to bind his successors as First Minister or SNP leader.  Indeed, he frequently made the point that it would be democratically impossible for him to bind his successors.

* If it had been the view of the Scottish Government and the UK Government that the 2014 referendum was supposed to settle the issue for a defined period of time, as Bruce alleges, that would have been set out in the Edinburgh Agreement between the two governments or in the legislation paving the way for the referendum.  Bruce will search in vain for any such undertaking.

* It's extremely odd for Bruce and her fellow British Nationalist commentators to suggest that the losing side in a referendum gets to determine the meaning of the result.  Even if she genuinely thinks that Alex Salmond promised that the result would settle the matter for a generation (which he didn't), politicians are generally only held to their promises if they win the vote.  Salmond instead lost the vote "decisively" (the BBC used that word so often on 19th September 2014 that it was obvious an edict had gone out from on high), so what the hell does it matter what he said during the campaign?  It's the promises made by the No side that determine the meaning of the result - and No campaigners did not promise 'once in a generation'.  They instead promised "The Vow", a near-federal system, continued membership of the European Union, HS2 in Scotland, economic stability, and no Boris Johnson in Downing Street.  That's what No voters were voting in favour of, and as all of these promises and more were broken, it's scarcely unnatural that many people who now realise they were voting on a false prospectus wish to revisit their decision, and fully expect not to be denied that inalienable democratic right.  (They certainly don't expect to be denied that right on the ludicrous basis that "the losing side in the referendum, you know, the side you voted against, made comments that we think should be interpreted as a promise that you will not be allowed to change your mind".)

* Perhaps most importantly, Salmond did not actually leave scope for people like Bruce to use their imaginations and define the highly ambiguous term "a generation" in any way that they pleased.  He was absolutely explicit by what he meant and provided examples.  Those examples were: a) the eighteen-year gap between the 1979 and 1997 devolution referendums in Scotland and Wales, b) the seventeen-year gap between the 1997 devolution referendum and the 2014 independence referendum, and c) the fifteen-year gap between the 1980 and 1995 sovereignty referendums in Quebec.

Twelve years have already passed since 2014, and crucially, John Swinney is not proposing a second indyref this year - 2028 is generally cited as his target date, by which time fourteen years will have passed.  That's almost identical to the fifteen-year gap in Quebec offered by Salmond as one of the key examples of what he meant by "a generation".

Sorry, Fiona, but your favourite little get-out clause has already passed its sell-by date.  "Once in a generation", RIP.

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Catch up with last Wednesday's 'critics' choice' blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com
* Salmond always went out of his way when he made the 'once in a generation' comment to stress that he was merely expressing a "personal view".  Check every interview in which he made the comment and you'll find exactly the same disclaimer.  He made clear that he wasn't intending to bind his successors and that it was democratically impossible for him to do so.

Friday, May 22, 2026

A blogpost in which, in an act of sheer madness, I express a brief personal view on the Celtic v Hearts controversy

Given the fanaticism of Scottish football supporters, it's not really possible to gently dip one's toe in the water of the controversy over the Celtic v Hearts league decider, but nevertheless that's what I tried to do the other day on Twitter, because I felt that Ewen Murray had directly contradicted himself on the subject.  He said that he had no truck with the allegations that the game had been effectively abandoned, because it was clearly over and Celtic had won.  But he then said that the game only ended when it did because of the pitch invasion.  I didn't see how both of those claims could be true - if the referee had curtailed the game specifically for that reason, it clearly hadn't come to a proper end, and at least technically there was still an open question over whether Celtic had won.

Predictably I was then assailed by an army of tribalistic Celtic supporters who were adamant that anyone who thought that there was even an issue here was an idiot.  Their doctrine was that everything had ended completely normally - a goal was scored, celebrations followed which would not normally result in added stoppage time, and thus the small amount of remaining time was used up naturally and the referee quite properly blew the final whistle without restarting play.  One thing that has become clear from the SFA's release of more information is that those claims are completely untrue.  The referee had not deemed time to be up because of the goal celebrations and instead a sort of purgatory period followed while he tried to work out what to do next.  He only ended the game prematurely because Hearts were supposedly in agreement that he could do that in order to protect their players' safety.

The SFA are therefore hiding behind the rule that states the referee's decision is final, and also behind the consent given by Hearts.  I've no idea whether that defence would stand up in a court of law, but it certainly doesn't pass the fairness test, because Hearts should never have been put in the position of having to choose between their players' safety and getting the chance to see the match through to its proper finish.  And does absolutely anything go in terms of when and why a referee can declare a game over?  Could he stop a game after 70 minutes and award the win to the side that were ahead at that point, without any comebacks at all?  Surely that doesn't stack up.

It might well have been an absurdity to abandon the game and award Hearts a 3-0 win, but I'd have thought the fairest outcome would have been to complete the game somehow after a delay, or to order a replay.  

Incidentally, as you'd probably expect of someone with my surname, I wanted Celtic to win, so I have no axe to grind here, other than a desire for sporting fairness.

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Catch up with last Wednesday's critically-acclaimed blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

BOMBSHELL polling suggests Andy Burnham will NEVER be "King" of the UK's True North - Scotland

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Catch up with last Wednesday's critically-acclaimed blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

Thursday, May 21, 2026

For one post only: a KC amnesty

Someone suggested yesterday that I should start publishing KC's comments again, because it would boost the overall posting rate by motivating others to "take him down".  Believe it or not, KC does still attempt to post here multiple times a day, even though essentially he now has an audience of just one (me).  Quite where such dedication and spare time comes from is one of the great mysteries of the modern world.

Just to demonstrate to yesterday's poster why allowing KC to post again would be a terrible idea in the long run, I'm going to offer an amnesty for this post only.  Any comments from KC on this specific post will be published, unless it's one of his occasional sweary posts or something that would cause legal problems.  Spoiler alert: any comments he makes will almost certainly be about one of the following - 

a) "confirmed sightings of Nessie"
b) "a de facto referendum would be good but I'd prefer a plebiscite election LOL"
c) "Give this independence nonsense up you fools!!!!"
d) "great to see support for independence creeping above 10%" 
e) "it must be true that independence support is above 50% because this is a GOLD STANDARD POLLSTER"

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In other news, my morning didn't go to plan (to put it mildly) so here I am sitting on a selection of trams and trolley buses in the Riverside Museum instead.





Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Optimism grows that John Swinney will keep his promise to give the people of Scotland a vote on independence

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Catch up with last Wednesday's critically-acclaimed blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

The Welsh language double-edged sword for the new Plaid Cymru government

There's been some social media chatter in recent days suggesting that the new Cabinet of the Plaid Cymru government in Wales is composed exclusively of fluent Welsh speakers and will be conducting its business in Welsh.  That sounded like one of those claims that might turn out to be untrue on closer inspection, so I did some digging, but I certainly can't find anything that contradicts the suggestion that all the Cabinet ministers speak Welsh.  Apparently the first public meeting was bilingual, and the indications are that future closed meetings will probably be in Welsh only.

If correct, that's plainly an astonishing moment of triumph for Welsh language and culture.  Centuries of systematic London-ordered attempts to eradicate the language and to assimilate the nation have reached their end point with a democratically elected Wales-only government conducting its business in Welsh, without any artificial steps having been required to achieve that.  However, unusual circumstances certainly have been required to get there, and I do slightly worry about the future dangers for Plaid Cymru in a country that remains overwhelmingly English speaking.

Decades ago, I heard someone say that the fact that Scottish nationalism was an English-speaking phenomenon gave the SNP a huge advantage as compared to their Welsh sister party.  I initially thought that was a very odd thing to say, but when I thought about it for five minutes I realised it was obviously true, because the SNP don't have to get over the hurdle that Plaid historically have faced of trying to convince the majority population that they are not a party that belongs only to the minority language group.  Plaid have finally cleared that hurdle by becoming seen as the only viable progressive alternative to Reform, but the concern might be that once their government loses some of its early popularity, people might revert to thinking that Plaid is not, after all, for "people like us" and Labour might start to gain some attraction again.  

Hopefully Plaid have some sort of strategy in place to counter any damaging signals that are being inadvertently sent out.  They could probably do with explaining whether it is feasible for a monolingual English speaker to become a senior Plaid Cymru minister in the future without first having to learn Welsh fluently as a sort of 'entrance exam', and what the practical arrangements would be if that happens.  

We talk about culture wars in Scotland, but the straight choice between Plaid and Reform that Wales has just made was absolutely monumental in cultural terms.  Reform would have been happy enough to eradicate the Welsh language, while Plaid conducts government business through it.

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Catch up with Wednesday night's blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Israel's need to artwash the genocide continues to bring Eurovision to its knees - and the EBU, the BBC and others continue to facilitate that

At this time last year, someone left a comment on this blog to say that they'd actually been hoping for an Israeli win, because the prospect of a contest in Tel Aviv would have caused the whole house of cards to collapse.  I didn't agree with that sentiment then, but I'm starting to see the point.  If Israel had won tonight, the boycott next year would inevitably have been far more extensive, enough to call into question the viability of the event, and at the very least that would have forced the EBU to consider switching to an alternative host country - which would have raised the question of why Israel were being allowed to compete at all.  Instead, the EBU will presumably be emboldened to just carry on with the farce of Israel finishing second every year as a matter of routine, regardless of the quality of their song, and expect everyone to treat it as totally normal - even though it is effectively happening as a direct reward for genocide.  The phonomenon of mass bloc voting for Israel didn't get underway until the genocide started in 2023.

Towards the end of the show, the presenters gazed kindly and patronisingly into the camera and reassured the boycotting countries that they would be welcome back any time.  But of course the reassurance those countries actually needed to hear was that the reason for their boycott would at long last be addressed - either by Israel bringing the genocide in Gaza and the occupation of Lebanon to an end, or by the EBU banning Israel until such time as those necessary steps are taken.  It's actually disrespectful of the EBU to suggest that any country should return to the contest until their concerns are taken seriously and resolved.

As for the winner, it demonstrates why I've given up trying to predict Eurovision.  There was a time, maybe two, three or four decades ago, when you would hear the infuriatingly catchy novelty entry and think "nailed-on winner", but the contest seemed to have decisively moved on from that and anyone who had predicted a winner on that basis would have seemed hopelessly dated.  It's not totally clear to me why the Bulgarian song proved to be such a glaring exception to the general rule - the staging was fresh and imaginative, but the same was true of a few other entries as well.  But the song itself obviously had some sort of X factor given that it won both the jury vote and the public vote.

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Catch up with Wednesday night's blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

Saturday, May 16, 2026

How rigged will Eurovision be in favour of Israel this time?

That, I'm afraid, is the correct way of posing the question, because there is no doubt that the voting system remains wide open to abuse by Israel's supporters across Europe, who will not only cast their permitted ten votes each for Israel, but will also break the rules as they did in 2024 and 2025 by finding ways of casting more than the maximum allowed votes, and even of voting in multiple countries.

The BBC deserve almost no credit in this sordid affair, but one small thing I will say in their favour is that at least the UK are going beyond the basic tightening of the rules this year to only allow online voting.  That should at least throw an obstacle in the path of the less fanatical Israeli bloc voters, although the true diehards will still find a way.  It'll be interesting to see if Israel are at least pushed down to second or third place in the UK televote tonight.  If they still get the maximum points (and remember there is no way on Earth that they have the strongest song this year), clearly a much more radical overhaul will be required.  By this point, I wouldn't be too unhappy with a return to a jury-only system, or to the juries being given three times the weight of the public vote, or something like that.

Incidentally, one thing that definitely isn't helping the situation is the encouragement to viewers to spread their ten votes between different countries.  That just benefits Israel even more, because Israeli supporters will ignore the advice and vote ten times for Israel, while everyone else will heed the advice and split the remaining vote.

If anyone is thinking of tactically voting against Israel, I'd have thought ten votes for the favourites Finland would be the best bet, because you always have to err on the side of assuming that the Israeli bloc vote will be so huge that they could be in with a shout of winning outright.

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Catch up with Wednesday night's blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com

Friday, May 15, 2026

It's all or nothing for Andy Burnham - the by-election of the century will take place in Makerfield

Catch up with Wednesday night's blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

*  *  *

If you enjoyed Scot Goes Pop's 2026 election coverage so much that you started to feel an inexplicable urge to buy me a hot chocolate or a ham-and-cheese toastie, donations are very welcome.  There are three main options: 
a) you can donate by card HERE 
b) you can make a direct PayPal donation to my PayPal email address, which is: jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk
c) you can make a donation by bank transfer - for the necessary details, please drop me a line at my contact email address, which is: icehouse.250@gmail.com