Friday, October 24, 2025

Plaid Cymru storm to historic by-election win in Caerphilly - and it's Labour that look "knackered" as devolved elections approach in both Wales and Scotland


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14 comments:

  1. Can a principality even go for independence ?

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    1. The principalities of Liechtenstein and Monaco look pretty independent to me.

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    2. 12.33pm I don’t think you understand the concept of self determination and a people’s right to it.

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    3. It’s England that said it’s a principality. Cymru is a nation

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  2. Reform were totally media driven with the media expectation of a win. Their spending returns for this by-election will be an interesting read. That opinion poll with Reform in the lead helped Plaid.

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  3. Have you covered the Scottish poll in today's Independent? It's mentioned in today's Common Weal briefing. Common Weal briefings usually have me despairing (mostly over Mr Swinney or SNP performance) but not this time. Anyway, it's a Find Out Now poll conducted on behalf of Alba.

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    1. No, I only saw it a couple of hours ago. I'll make a video about it at some point, possibly overnight. One thing I will say is that the list results are utterly nonsensical, and they massively reinforce the point John Curtice made last month about the flaw in Find Out Now's methodology. There is no way on earth the SNP are as low as 21% on the list, which means list support for the Greens and Alba is almost certainly being massively overstated.

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    2. I am one of a group of seven Indy supporters who meet weekly and talk about where we are. Six out of the seven are giving the Greens their list vote, myself included. The other is following Swinney’s disastrous strategy. No one is voting Alba. I am surprised they are even registering. But I think many SNP voters who are intent on following Swinney to self destruction are in for a shock. I should say the SNP Constituency Green List has worked successfully for me the last two Holyrood elections. Monumental cock up by Swinney and the party faithful. They have removed Indy from the agenda for the foreseeable future and established a hugely damaging precedent. His strategy, on the face of it, works for devolutionists, but only those stupid enough not to see what Farage will do if he gets in at Westminster.

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    3. Today’s C W briefing is in part frankly delusional. It repeats, yet again, the myth that Alba are at a level which will gain them list seats. They are not. Currently they are fighting for survival, and are being investigated for financial irregularities. The rest of the briefing is all over the place, but it does touch on a significant point. Reform voters (who are mainly the Brexit/reform voters) do turn out to vote. But there is a definite ceiling on the votes they can get, and in anything other than an undemocratic voting system they would never see power. The people who do not vote are very unlikely to be Farage voters. Get them to vote and Farage and his fascist filth can be relegated to the sidelines. He will promptly buggar off when there is no scope for grifting and personal enrichment. Whether the main parties have the ability to grasp and understand this is frankly debatable.

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  4. I see poor wee Stewie is more than a bit miffed that Reform was roundly beaten by Plaid last night.

    That was obviously not what he wanted.

    As well as hitting out at all parties EXCEPT Reform, he also suggests that one of Labour's main problems is kow-towing to the 'Muslim Vote' when anyone with a functioning brain KNOWS that it is Labour's kow-towing to the Israeli Lobby, which directly funds their party machine, which has led to their disastrous policies on continuing to arm Israel during the Gaza genocide, denying that a genocide actually exists and bending over backwards to prevent anti-genocide protests in the UK, all of which is now hitting their traditional left-of-centre vote very hard indeed.

    Campbell has now morphed into a fascistic, genocide-supporting, Reform promoting piece of trash.

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    1. IFSy is going to be so angry with you for saying all this about his hero.

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  5. BBC News - Police investigate 'irregularities' in Alba Party finances
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgk9xxg982o


    Wonder if wee Stewie will cover this?

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  6. Assuming the threshold for loosing your deposit (5%) is the same for the Senedd as it is for Westminster, the Tories, LibDems, and Greens lost theirs. An upheaval of the political tectonic plates truly.

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  7. Presumably tories voted strategically for reform and most Labour votes went to Plaid. Farages fascist fanatics, aka U Kippers and Brexiteers, are a hard core that will turn out to vote for right wing racist policies come hail or shine. That’s why those who currently are not turning out to vote need to. They will largely be voting for parties that are NOT Farage and his scum crew. Does Starmer have a clue about anything? This past week alone we had the Maccabi Tel Aviv shambles. The idiot Nancy chipped in as well. No surprise. She has a penchant for violence it seems, especially if it involves violent suppression of Indy supporters.

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