Sunday, September 28, 2025

53% back independence in BOMBSHELL poll: panic grips Westminster as Norstat knock up another natty number

Incredibly, after a summer of practically no Scottish polls, we've now had four in the last week, and three have had voting intentions numbers.  The latest is from the regular Norstat series for the Sunday Times.

Should Scotland be an independent country?

Yes 53% (-1)
No 47% (+1)

This run of Yes-majority polls from Norstat is now far too sustained to be coincidental, and it's really strange in a way, because Norstat's predecessor Panelbase was for many years one of the more No-friendly companies, and to the best of my knowledge they haven't changed their methodology - they haven't abandoned 2014 weighting or anything like that (even though in my opinion they probably should).  The most logical explanation is therefore that Yes support has indeed risen markedly - and yet most other polling firms haven't really picked up that trend.

One of the problems with this switching-to-video-blogging malarkey is that there are some times of day when it's not really feasible to drop everything and make a video, which means I'm not reacting quite as quickly to new polls as I was with conventional blogging.  I'll need to have a think about how to square that circle in the future, but with a bit of luck I'll have a video about the Norstat poll within the next 12-24 hours.  In the meantime, here are a few of my tweets from yesterday.  I've said it before and I'll say it again - there is NOTHING that triggers the Brit Nat hordes quite like a tweet about curling.

1 comment:

  1. The Confederate dollars remind us of who many of the Scottish wealth elite supported. The Confederacy had a ship buying commission based at Bridge of Allan and Jefferson Davis later came over for a stay with his Glasgow chums.

    Moral ? Economic elites are driven by love of money, their fellow humans come well down the list.

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