Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Eurovision 2017 : Prediction for Tuesday's first semi-final

Well, I always hate to break a sequence, so for the tenth year in a row (gulp) here is the annual ritual of the Scot Goes Pop Eurovision prediction.  The ten countries I think will qualify from tonight's first semi-final are...

Portugal
Sweden
Australia
Moldova
Georgia
Slovenia
Finland
Greece
Azerbaijan
Armenia

Of the main favourites, the one I've left out is Belgium.  That'll probably come back to haunt me (it usually does when I leave out a favourite), but I've been slightly baffled from the start as to why it's so strongly tipped.  It's a decent song, but it's very low-key, and it looks like the rehearsals haven't been a rip-roaring success.

If you're looking for a small bet, you could do worse than Montenegro - not because I think it's likely to qualify, but simply because the odds are crazy.  It probably has around a 20-25% chance, not the 10% chance the odds would imply.  So it ought to be a value bet.

5 comments:

  1. Colostomybag VanceMay 9, 2017 at 6:03 PM

    Sky News reporting that Tory aides literally holding the mic so they can yank it away if another question is asked

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    Replies
    1. The BBC edited out a disclaimer from Prof. Denver calling his notional result calculations "rough and ready"

      https://wingsoverscotland.com/a-little-more-certainty/

      Delete
  2. Iain‏ @Cuphook801 May 7

    Anyone wondering why people are alarmed at Tory & Labour Orange councilors have forgotten this threat of terrorism against Scotland.
    pic.twitter.com/hWU7xvYTgS

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  3. I find the Portuguese song a bit low key and the singer sings softly. Moldova's entry is a bit quirky and should get the televote but perhaps not the jury vote.

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  4. Brian Taylor's PissboyMay 9, 2017 at 6:10 PM

    'Leading Scotland's fightback' against... self-determination. Is it not a bit weird to fight so hard to be ruled by someone else?

    ReplyDelete