The datasets from the GB-wide YouGov poll I mentioned earlier are now available, and there are two little nuggets of interest. Firstly, the Scottish subsample is much more 'normal' looking than many we've seen of late, with Labour back down to the mid-20s, and with the SNP enjoying a commanding lead. That may be a fluke caused by the small sample size, but it's an intriguing straw in the wind nonetheless.
Scottish subsample: SNP 46%, Labour 25%, Conservatives 19%, Liberal Democrats 5%, Greens 3%, Reform UK 1%
And secondly, Keir Starmer's GB-wide personal ratings in direct comparison to Rishi Sunak are astonishingly underwhelming in the context of Labour's mammoth lead over the Tories.
Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?
James
ReplyDeleteI have felt that it would be wrong to write Sunak off and blogged about that this week. This view was based only on what I was hearing pretty much on radio phone ins from voters in England. I know the polls have Labour well ahead but from listening to people I was getting the feeling that it would not take much for the polls to shift against Starmer and Labour as people looked like they were just needing an excuse to not vote for them and stick with the Tories in enough numbers to deny Labour a clear win. I often think the same in Scotland, that if Scottish Labour could find a serious leader who embraced serious reform of devolution, then that would be enough for many to shift away from the SNP.
Does it really matter?
ReplyDeleteThe "City" have their chosen regime in place - whether it's fronted by Starmer or Sunak might be neither here nor there.
Agreed, J Galt. And the British nationalist establishment in the media will endorse the "City" and the gullible and selfish will dutifully vote for them. The "City" holds the cards but the British nationalist media plays them.
DeleteYes a regime that is collecting $96 a barrel for Scotlands oil at present.
DeleteP.S. it still hasn’t ran out even though the britnats assured us eight years ago in 2014 that it was about to run out.
All that Scottish oil , all that money , we get none of it
Say what you like about Blair, he wasn't a Tory. Damn close to it for sure but not a Tory of the time.
ReplyDeleteStarmer is.
Nobody with a brain should be voting for Cameron's chief prosecutor.
Another problem with Starmer: he has bad blood with Murdoch.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/oct/29/the-sun-always-backs-the-winner-can-the-murdoch-papers-warm-to-keir-starmer
Polls coming in thick and fast on the relevant Wiki page. Average Labour lead from the three most recent polls 25%. Average Labour lead from the three preceding polls 30%. Sunak has put Truss’ nadir behind them.
ReplyDeleteAgree with J Galt, the fix is on. Heads the permanent state wins, tails we lose.
"Average Labour lead from the three most recent polls 25%. Average Labour lead from the three preceding polls 30%"
DeleteThat's a pretty tepid honeymoon for Sunak by any standards. He would have been hoping for much, much better than that.