Wednesday, November 24, 2021

SCOT GOES POP / PANELBASE POLL: Scottish public want official crime statistics to record whether sex offenders were male or female at birth

We've discussed on this site before whether the number of female perpetrators of certain crimes, such as domestic violence, may be significantly underestimated by the official statistics due to the unwillingness of male victims to come forward, or the unwillingness of the authorities to believe them.  However, there's a big difference between addressing that type of under-reporting, and artificially producing a big upsurge in the number of female criminals by reassigning some offenders from the male column to the female column.  Many advocates of gender self-ID would argue that "trans women are women", and that therefore crimes committed by self-ID-ing trans women should be accurately recorded as committed by women.  But if taking that step is in itself sufficient to substantially increase the female crime rate, especially for sexual offences, doesn't that suggest there is in fact a fundamental difference between trans women and other women, and that biology may be playing a part in that? And if so, doesn't that in itself say something rather interesting about the credibility of the self-ID / "trans women are women" ideology?

Scot Goes Pop / Panelbase poll (a representative sample of 1001 over-16s in Scotland was interviewed by Panelbase between 20th and 26th October 2021)

Do you think official government statistics should record whether sex offenders were male or female at birth, or only whether they were legally regarded as male or female at the time of their offence?

Official statistics should record whether sex offenders were male or female at birth: 49%

Official statistics should only record whether sex offenders were legally regarded as male or female at the time of their offence: 26%

Don't Know / Prefer not to answer: 25%

It turns out that the public are not on board anyway - which may mark the first and last time that Priti Patel finds herself closer to the centre of gravity of Scottish public opinion than Nicola Sturgeon does.  There is no significant gender gap on this question - 51% of men, and 48% of women, want the birth sex of offenders to be recorded.  SNP voters themselves are actually not far out of line with the overall result - 47% want birth sex in the statistics, and just 29% only want legally-recognised gender at the time of the offence.

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Via the embedded player below, you can watch my discussion last week with Denise Findlay about the issues raised by the poll.

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SCOT GOES POP POLLING FUNDRAISER: I'm having to partly cover the costs of the current poll with my own funds, so if we're going to run further polling in the future, we'll need to reach the £6500 target in the fundraiser (or get very close to it).  We're close to 60% of the way there so far, with more than £2500 still required.  So any donations, large or small, would be greatly appreciated and will make all the difference.  Don't risk leaving public opinion polling exclusively in the hands of the mainstream media, with all the bias that entails!  Here are three ways in which you can donate...

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1 comment:

  1. Keep up the good work, James. This has been an invaluable poll.