This obviously further increases the chances that the ComRes poll may have been an outlier caused by random sampling variation. More details when I have them.
Saturday, May 1, 2021
I've just seen the front page of tomorrow's Herald on Sunday, and it appears that a BMG poll shows a 50-50 split on independence. Hopefully that means literally 50-50, because that will bring the little run of No majorities to an end. Although the Scot Goes Pop / Panelbase poll showed Yes just fractionally behind and was far better for us than the ComRes poll, I was in two minds about whether to give our unionist friends the chance to crow about "six in a row", but it seems that they'll only have had two short days to enjoy that.
Posted by James Kelly at 9:43 PM