BBC forecast:
SNP 63 (-)
Conservatives 31 (-)
Labour 22 (-2)
Greens 9 (+3)
Liberal Democrats 4 (-1)
Pro-independence parties: 72 seats (56%)
Anti-independence parties: 57 seats (44%)
Not only is the mandate stronger than the last time, it's also more watertight because the language in the Green manifesto is much more explicit. The SNP have also of course surged to a record high for any party in the constituency ballot popular vote.
A troll in my notifications earlier said Alba voters had been "conned". You could just as easily say "both votes SNP" voters have been conned, because it looks like SNP list votes will be wasted in 7 out of 8 regions. The SNP-Alba wasted votes debate ended in a no score draw.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 8, 2021
Still to see the Lothian list result. The SNP's gain in Central makes it a bit tighter for the Greens on the list. (They would have been stuck on 1 list seat here in 2016.) They seem to be doing well, but their 2nd in Lothian could be dicey. And this time they lost my vote.
ReplyDeletePerfect result for Nicola. Pressure off on indyref, SNP and Greens can amuse themselves with baby boxes and gender politics for he next 5 years quite happily.
ReplyDeleteI'd like to think the stronger green presence would push the SNP to look at long forgotten priorities like Land Reform and Taxation, reform of CT, tackling the drug deaths scandal (where Nicola somehow took her eye off the ball) and so on but I suspect not a lot will happen.
When you consider how atrocious the last SNP government was they've done rather well all told. A testament to the resilience of SNP voters (of which I am one).
All in all Nicola can thank he lucky stars the SNP voters are prepared to overlook the shambles of a government, the lack of governance in the party (surely now Mr Murrell has to go?) and the absolute lack of any attempt to persuade the electorate as to the merits of indy.
So business as usual, very comfy. She'll be hoping Boris doesnt surprise her and say yes when she pretends to ask for a referendum
She runs arguably the most competent government in western Europe but she sucks. Lol.
DeleteSNP wanted a majority, but Wings called for folks to vote unionist to prevent that.
DeleteFkn gutted - BothVotesSNP gifted about 40 list seats to the Brits
ReplyDeleteVote share 50-50 split between unionist parties and nationalist parties but I now think there should be another referendum within the next 5 years.
ReplyDeleteLooks like more than 50% of the PR list vote for pro-indy parties.
ReplyDeleteSeats (129):
ReplyDeleteSNP ~ 64 (+1)
Green ~ 8 (+2)
---
Conservative ~ 31 (nc)
Labour ~ 22 (-2)
Lib Dem ~ 4 (-1)
= 56% of MSPs for independence.
Also, majority (>50.1%) support for pro-indy parties for the first time ever in a Scottish election.
The settled will of the people now.
Robbed, absolutely shocking.
ReplyDeleteGraham was the real winner in this election.
A referendum was the settled will of >50% of Scots voters on a record turnout.
ReplyDeleteWe now see whether the UK is like the EU or is a modern day USSR, but hard right wing. In one, you can freely leave. In the other, you were held by 'force of law' with voting banned by courts / made illegal and enforced by violence if needed.
Over to you unionists...
And sympathies to Alba voters. Time to dust yersels aff and regroup. It was, like 2014, too early / too short notice.
I'd be curious to know what would have happened if the Alba votes had went to the Greens, would they have won any more seats?
ReplyDelete