I had imagined I might be able to update the Poll of Polls this morning with a whole variety of polls from the Sunday papers, but as far as I can see there's only one new poll out today - the regular Sunday Times survey from YouGov, which has Scottish subsample figures of SNP 39%, Labour 25%, Conservatives 17%, UKIP 12%, Liberal Democrats 4%, Greens 2%.
All the same, an update of the Poll of Polls is still worthwhile, as it can now be based on six subsamples (five from YouGov and one from Populus), rather than the measly four last time around...
Scottish voting intentions for the May 2015 UK general election :
SNP 40.2% (+0.4)
Labour 26.2% (-1.1)
Conservatives 16.5% (+1.0)
UKIP 6.3% (+1.8)
Liberal Democrats 6.2% (-0.6)
Greens 4.2% (-1.3)
(The Poll of Polls uses the Scottish subsamples from all GB-wide polls that have been conducted entirely within the last seven days and for which datasets have been provided, and also all full-scale Scottish polls that have been conducted at least partly within the last seven days. Full-scale polls are given ten times the weighting of subsamples.)
The oddest thing about the Britain-wide figures from YouGov is that UKIP have suddenly jumped five points to 18%, having found themselves in the unusually low range of 13-15% throughout the week. I can think of two possible explanations - a) Nigel Farage's odious remarks about the atrocity in Paris have attracted a degree of sympathy from a small section of the population, or b) this is something of a rogue finding. I think the latter is more likely, if only because of the implausibly good showing for UKIP in the Scottish subsample. However, even if it is an outlying result, it certainly increases the chances that the party's true position at present is more like 15% than 13%.
Meanwhile, the Tories and Labour continue to be locked in a neck-and-neck race to the bottom (in more ways than one) - they're polling at an abysmally low 32% apiece.