Should Scotland be an independent country? (Survation, 2nd-7th September 2020)
Yes 53% (+3)
No 47% (-3)
Before anyone claims that this is not an increase for Yes at all, because the last poll had independence support at 55%, bear in mind that you always have to compare like with like. That means comparing this Survation poll with the most recent poll from the same firm, which was conducted back in January. At that time Survation's estimate of the Yes vote was running two points behind Panelbase's, and that is still the case. So there's no direct contradiction of the all-time high Yes vote shown in the Panelbase poll, or indeed of the rumours that Yes have gone higher still in private polling - although admittedly 53% is not actually the highest that Survation themselves have ever shown. The number went as high as 54% in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit referendum. But perhaps Survation's methodology has simply ceased to be on the Yes-friendly end of the spectrum in the way it once was. We should probably just settle for what is, after all, the seventh consecutive poll showing an outright Yes majority - an almost unbelievable run of success.
Scottish voting intentions for Westminster:
Liberal Democrats 6%
So for the first time in any poll from any firm in around eighteen months, the Conservatives are no longer in second place as far as Westminster voting intentions are concerned. This is particularly embarrassing for Douglas Ross, who angrily demanded a BBC presenter supply proof that his party has gone backwards since he became leader. Here's the proof, Douglas.