A pro-independence blog by James Kelly - one of Scotland's five most-read political blogs.
Friday, May 15, 2009
What does the Labour freefall mean for the SNP?
Any lingering doubt that we are living in unprecedented political times was removed by the latest UK-wide YouGov poll showing Labour at an all-time low of 22%. By my reckoning, the combined figure for the 'others' also now stands at an astonishing 18%. On the face of it, good news for the SNP - but is it really? Clearly there's now an unprecedented anti-establishment mood out there, but the jury's also out on whether the electorate will still perceive the SNP as a true anti-establishment party, or whether they'll reserve that for fringe groups like UKIP, the Greens and the BNP. But even if the SNP take a small hit themselves, it surely can't compare with what is happening to Labour - and that being the case the signs are good for victory in the popular vote on June 4th.
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I have no doubt that the SNP will receive the largest number of votes, but winner will be voter apathy.
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