It was brought to my attention earlier today that Ipsos UK (formerly Ipsos-Mori) recently published a poll relating to Scottish independence. It's a UK-wide poll, but the results are presented separately for each constituent nation, and the Scottish sample is not only correctly weighted, it's also actually bigger than you'd get in an average full-scale Scottish poll. What makes it particularly interesting is that it's an online poll, whereas the vast majority of Ipsos polls we see in Scotland are conducted by telephone - which we usually assume is the explanation for them showing a higher Yes vote than polls from other firms.
Frustratingly, there's no standard independence question, ie. "Should Scotland be an independent country?", but there is an indirect question that ought to be reasonably effective at finding out whether people would vote Yes or No - and the Scotland-only results suggest there is a majority who would vote Yes, at least once "don't knows" and "don't minds" are excluded.
If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country? (Ipsos, 13th-19th October 2022, Scottish sample only)
The Wings comeback was more predictable than a Home & Away plot twist. He's been carefully preparing the ground for it for months, even while he ludicrously insisted that the site (which he continued to update more than once a week on average) no longer existed.— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) November 17, 2022
But I suppose it's moderately exciting news for the less than 1% of the population who actually visit the site in an average month (most of them very occasionally) - https://t.co/AfcZFrd7XX— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) November 17, 2022
If Stuart Campbell punched an old lady, his followers would say to the old lady: "How dare you obstruct the Blessed Fist?"— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) November 18, 2022
I must admit I don't know much about Stephen Flynn. I do think the SNP Westminster group could desperately do with a fresh start, but obviously it needs to be the right sort of fresh start. Is he a unifier?— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) November 17, 2022
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