I'm fairly certain I've never done this on New Year's Day before, but here is the latest Scottish Parliament voting intention poll, gleaned from datasets published today on Wings.
Scottish Parliament voting intention, constituency ballot (Panelbase):
SNP 39% (-3)
Conservatives 26% (-2)
Labour 25% (+3)
Liberal Democrats 6% (n/c)
Greens 2% (n/c)
Percentage changes are from the last Panelbase poll a few months ago.
We've been gradually getting used to the idea that Labour have regained their previous place as Scotland's second party and have pushed the Tories back to third, but perhaps we should hold our horses. Across all firms, this is actually the fourth of the last five polls to show a virtual dead heat for second place in the Holyrood constituency vote, which suggests that Labour have made progress in recent months, but that it hasn't been sufficient to even get them over the first big hurdle as of yet.
Seem to be missing 2%. 1% I get in "rounding errors" but not 2%
ReplyDeleteoh its ok, 1% 'other' and <1% UKIP!
DeleteInteresting as usual. Thanks for all your work, James, which is what makes this website one of the ones I check a few times daily to keep up on the news.
ReplyDeleteHave a read at todays Scottish Herald regarding Neil Oliver. The fascist nats at their best...Another bonus for the Union.
DeleteStill in the huff because of the email, then...
DeleteWho can be bothered actively resigning when they can not renew their subscriptions? Might as well get the benefit out of it. I object very strongly to having Neil Oliver heading the National Trust for Scotland, by the way.
DeleteI wonder why the Herald doesn't say anything about that? It couldn't be pro-Unionist bias from that well-known meeja organ, could it? I am shocked, I say shocked!
Unionist bias? In a "Scottish" newspaper? Never heard the like... Oh, wait...
DeleteAnyone who is a nat si hater is a friend of mine. Would the idiot repetitive email nat si above try standing on a level crossing for fun.
DeleteAw, pettit lip. They really don't keep you in the loop, do they?
DeleteThanks very much for the info - any update on the regional ballot?
ReplyDeleteFull tables now published: https://drgpanelbasestore.blob.core.windows.net/public/PB/Panelbase_Com_Polls/F11548TablesForPublication020118.pdf
ReplyDeleteCan’t hit the link - do you have the vote shares? It’s fun to plug the figures into scotlandvotes to see the predicted makeup of the next Parliament!
DeleteLabour and Tory Well short of the 30% needed to start gaining constituency seats. Good figures for an SNP Govt seen as radical but fair.
DeleteWhy do you need 30% to gain constituency seats? SNP dropping from the high 40s in the least election to the high 30s, Lab & Con reaching the mid 20s from the low 20s. That alone will mean constituency gains for Lab & Con from SNP.
DeleteTick tock only 4 hunner an fifty wan days tae Brexit. WATP, No Surrender tae the IRA and their Jock Nat si pals.
ReplyDeleteBaws in yer court nat si bhoys whit are ye gonny dae noo.
Knighthoods for Farage and the DUP ten. Sign the petition.
Seek professional help. Immediately.
DeleteIs that yerself herr Francis the white true blooded superior hootsman the noo?
DeleteYe must hate Oliver even merr than the English.
Still in the huff because of the email, then...
Delete4 hunner an fifty days, tick tock fascists.
DeleteAw, pettit lip. Your Tory overlords really do treat you like a mushroom farm...
Delete