Monday, July 31, 2023

A word of advice for Alba - there's a danger in being assumed, however wrongly, to be associated with the nutty Neil Oliver-style climate change denialism outlined by Stuart Campbell today

As regular readers will know, I've been a member of the Alba Party since its formation in spring 2021.  I was a member of the Alba NEC between 2021 and 2022, and to the best of my knowledge I'm still a member of the party's Appeals Committee.  One thing that has slightly concerned me over the last two years is the number of global warming denialists, anti-vaxxers and 'plandemic' conspiracy theorists who have become Alba members - however that has generally seemed only a minor concern, because such views are clearly not shared by people at the top of the party.  Before she was stripped of her column in The National, Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh was in fact one of the very few remaining voices of sanity on the subject of Covid to be found anywhere in the Scottish media, and Chris McEleny often spoke out about the issue too.  On the subject of climate change, it's fair to say Alex Salmond places a greater emphasis than many others on technological solutions such as carbon capture, which the Greens (and indeed Robin McAlpine, the author of the Wee Alba Book) regard as essentially a pseudoscience.  But there's no disagreement at all between the Alba leadership and the environmental movement on the urgency of the threat or on the responsibility of all countries to play their part in tackling it.

Today has seen something of a crossing of the Rubicon, though, because Stuart Campbell of Wings Over Scotland has suddenly gone full global warming denialist nutjob, and published a Neil Oliver-style article in which he sneers at the idea that the extreme and life-threatening recent weather conditions in southern Europe are anything out of the ordinary for July, and essentially argues that Scotland and the wider UK should abandon all further efforts to tackle climate change.  Campbell is not, of course, a member of the Alba Party, and never has been - he's a Tory voter in Somerset who a few months ago revealed that he is "ashamed of Scotland" and would not support independence in any new referendum.  With near-comical irony, the only political party he has ever attempted to join is the Green Party of England and Wales.  Nevertheless, he is unofficially associated with Alba due to his role in editing the Wee Alba Book, and more particularly because of the significant overlap between his readership and Alba membership.  I know from personal experience the discomfort and stresses of being an Alba member who is opposed to Campbellism or Wingsism or whatever you want to call it - in my case that's literally the only type of Alba member I'll ever have any interest in being, so I just make a virtue of it, but I know of others who bite their tongue for a quiet life.  It's likely that if Campbell expresses a view on something, it'll be automatically assumed in many quarters to represent either official Alba policy, or at least the centre of gravity within the Alba membership.  And that's dangerous on a day like today.

I've said it before and I'll say it again - if Alba are going to make the transition from small party to major player, they need to position themselves in the sweet spot on the radical end of the pro-independence mainstream.  "Radical end" because that's the purpose of the party's existence, but "mainstream" because there will always be a severe limit on the support that can be won by a party too closely associated with wacky fringe views or preoccupations.  And I'm afraid the views that Campbell has expressed today do belong to that vote-repelling fringe, at least as far as the left-leaning, pro-independence pool of voters in Scotland is concerned.  The idea that the UK doesn't need to do anything on climate because we account for only 1% of global emissions, and the real polluters are the likes of China?  Well, any region of 50 million people in China could just as easily draw a circle around themselves and say "we're not the problem, it's the rest of the world that's the problem, so we can just get on with doing whatever we like".  Ultimately all countries have to make a serious effort, because China and Russia are hardly likely to make substantial enough cuts in emissions if they see that the western world can't be arsed to make any sacrifices at all.

If Campbell's thuggish behaviour in the past, and some of the extremist views he's previously expressed, have not been enough for the Alba leadership to consider putting up at least a touch of distance between themselves and him, I'd suggest today ought to give them pause for thought about whether the time has come to start quietly doing that.

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SCOT GOES POP FUNDRAISER 2023: This year's fundraiser has now been running for well over two months, and it's been partially successful - it's around a quarter of the way towards its target figure of £8500.  Please bear with me as I plug away at continuing to promote it at the bottom of every blogpost, because there's very little point in leaving the job half-done - that would mean continuing with the current service for maybe two or three more months and then more or less stopping.  We wouldn't necessarily need to hit the full target figure to avoid that outcome, but substantial progress would need to be made.  Why is it a bit harder to raise money these days than it used to be?  Obviously it's partly because of the cost of living crisis, but I think the bigger issue is that it's far easier for a pro-indy blog to inspire people to donate if it's pumping out a "purist" message that appeals to one of the two opposite ends of the spectrum - ie. either that the SNP leadership can do no wrong and deserve our unquestioning support, or that the SNP is unremittingly evil and must be totally destroyed.  Scot Goes Pop has a much more nuanced analysis that is pretty much bang in the middle between those two extremes.  But the glass-half-full way of looking at it is that £2000+ raised means that people still think nuance and independent thinking (alternatively known as "being in the scunnered middle") have their place.  A million thanks to everyone who has donated so far, and anyone wishing to make a donation can do so HERE.  Alternatively, direct donations can be made via Paypal (in many ways this is preferable because it cuts out the middle man).  My Paypal email address is:  jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

20 comments:

  1. I've read the Wings article and he doesn't deny climate change and he says renewables are an inherently good thing.

    *** But ***

    What he does say, and this is where I disagree with him completely, is that it isn't our power to do anything about it. I think that his is a defeatist and selfish viewpoint to take.

    While it is certainly true that Scotland individually is insignificant in its CO2 equivalent emissions, as citizens of the world we have a moral obligation to take steps to curtail our emissions. If we show that we can achieve the necessary reductions then that demonstrates to all the other nations that it is possible. For Scotland to achieve this is a great act of solidarity with the world's citizens.

    Achieving emissions reductions is also the only way to improve our energy security and reduce our economy's vulnerabilities to despotic oil & gas producers' whims (not you Norway).

    Wings' stance is a variation of the Unionist "too wee, too poor, too stupid" trope. Just plain daft.

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    1. "I've read the Wings article and he doesn't deny climate change and he says renewables are an inherently good thing."

      Yes, I saw the weaselly "some of my best friends are women / black" segment of the article, and I doubt if anyone will take it remotely seriously. I certainly don't. By that point he's already nailed his colours to the mast with the denialist "IT'S CALLED SUMMER!!!!" rant about the horrific situation in Greece, which could have been lifted direct from the Mail, the Telegraph, or GB News.

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  2. Climate denier, Hillsborough victim blamer, Gaelic hater, transphobe...can this guy make himself any more attractive?

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    1. With regard to Mr Campbell I think someone should have loaned the Alba party officers a barge pole months ago.

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  3. Part of Alba’s failure has been its belief that there is a large constituency that wants a left wing platform but ultra radicalism on independence and despises the SNP elite. Clearly, there are very few such voters. The real gap has always been for a centre-right Nationalist party. Right-leaning voters are poorly served in Scotland, and pro-Independence ones not at all - the Kate Forbes experience illustrated just how great the appetite was for a Nationalist politician that would adopt more pro-business and socially conservative stances could be. If Alba is ever to succeed this is the territory it needs to lean into. At this stage, I can’t see that realisation ever being made.

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    1. As a left winger I'm loathe to agree, however real democracy means real choices. A left wing and a right wing party of independence are both needed, each with the maturity to agree with the other where they can, on independence in government, and on how to handle potential split votes in fptp elections

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    2. A right wing Indy party along the lines of the old Tory one-nation section of 50 or 60 years ago I could accept and respect (but probably not vote for). There's plenty of room as they'd still be to the left of Labour. Actual Tories on the other hand have disappeared into Neil Oliver la-la land.

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  4. I think that subconsciously I may have believed for many years that eventually there might come a point, before disaster became inevitable, where power elites would think of their own grandchildren, if no one else's, and take effective steps against climate change. They would never do it for humanitarian reasons but I guess I thought that mean self preservation might be enough.
    This summer is convincing me that I was wrong. The ideologies of profit and power are just too strong even among 'B' or 'C' team weasels like Sunak.
    There probably will be a realisation eventually but it's increasingly likely to be after it is too late to prevent a drastic, and utterly horrendous, reduction of the human population by famine, war and disease. I suppose that the rich and powerful will then go for some 'bunker' equivalent solution for themselves.
    I think I'm reverting to the view of, was it Carl Sagan, that we don't meet technologically advanced space aliens not only because they are very, very, far away but also because such civilisations simply don't last being strangled by their own contradictions.
    We're a rapacious species which has got clever at making things but which is still blind to it's it's own predatory and oblivious nature.
    None of this means that we should stop trying to make things better so I guess I agree with James on what to do in this moment. For me it just means that behind that effort is an expectation that it's unlikely to be enough.
    I'd love to be completely wrong.

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    1. The Elites are thinking about their grandchildren. They're making sure they'll be rich enough to survive.
      They might survive a bit longer than ours, but not much.

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  5. "any region of 50 million people in China could just as easily draw a circle around themselves and say 'we're not the problem, it's the rest of the world that's the problem, so we can just get on with doing whatever we like'" - brilliant, I'm using this!

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  6. Campbell is a climate change denialist? Quelle surprise ! It's only a matter of time before he gets a column in the Daily Mail or Express.

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  7. Tory voter? That's news to me, I thought he went for spoiled ballots or maybe libdem. I agree entirely with Jacob72 however: it's not about waiting for a few big players to fix everything, it's everyone doing what they individually can to collectively try to hit a tipping point. Any small nation's effect might be slight, but apocalypse from falling short of a tipping point by, say Vatican City's carbon output would be a pointless tragedy.

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    1. "Tory voter? That's news to me, I thought he went for spoiled ballots or maybe libdem"

      No, he announced on Facebook a few months ago that he's switching to the Tories at the next election.

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  8. Stuart Campbell states:

    "she’d just spent three weeks on an island in Greece, where apparently she was quite shocked to discover that the Mediterranean nation was hot in July."

    dear, oh dear, oh dear...

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  9. Inevitably the Wings Fan Club have been out in force today attempting to post on this thread, arguing that Campbell is right that the recent extreme heat in southern Europe and elsewhere is totes normal, and his suggestion that we should totally abandon all attempts to tackle global warming is some kind of brilliant, original, sophisticated, nuanced piece of thinking that we could all learn from. There are plenty of places that give a platform to that kind of Neil Oliver / Jacob Rees Mogg material, not least the comments section on Wings itself, which has of late frequently become a hellscape of talking points related to climate change and Covid that you would normally associate with the hard right. So I would suggest people try there if they want to say that sort of thing, although when I have time I'll trawl through some of the comments here and see if any of them can be published with a reply from me - I'm certainly not going to allow such deceptive propaganda to go totally unchallenged. For now, two general points:

    1) July was the warmest month in the entirety of recorded history, and the extreme heat waves that occurred across three continents would have been "virtually impossible" without human-caused global warming -

    https://cnn.com/cnn/2023/07/25/world/heat-wave-climate-change-us-china-europe-intl/index.html

    2) The fact that the UK accounts for around 1% of emissions can pretty obviously be explained by the fact that the UK has less than 1% of the global population. Our contribution to the problem is in proportion to our population, and our contribution to the solution can thus only be in proportion to our population. But if every country or region refuses to make a proportionate contribution to the solution ("we're only 2%, why should we?", "we're only 7%, why should we?"), there plainly won't be a solution.

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  10. Alba are very welcome to that complete bampot!

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  11. Wings fan club - to use a good auld Embra word: radges.

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  12. Peejay: No point in attempting to post anonymously. I always know it's you from the homophobia. (Or sometimes from the death threats or the racism, but in this case the homophobia.)

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  13. Climate Change Denial Bingo is still ongoing in attempted comments on this thread from the Campbell Fan Club - someone has just mentioned the Medieval Warm Period. We'd already had "AGW" but I don't think anyone has called me a "Warmist" yet. Come on, chaps, don't let the side down.

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