Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes 55% (+1)
No 45% (-1)
"Decisive margin" said every BBC report in 2014. (There was such consistent usage of the word "decisive" by the BBC in 2014 that obviously an edict had gone out from on high.) "The settled will of the Scottish people" said David Cameron in 2014. It's happened, folks: Yes now lead by exactly the same margin that No won the 2014 indyref by - and judging from the British establishment's own past words, they should be regarding this development as game over.
To put it in perspective, before this calendar year, only a small handful of Panelbase polls had ever shown a Yes lead, and no Panelbase poll had ever shown a Yes vote higher than 52%. The last three have now shown Yes on either 54% or 55%. By any standards, the evidence of a major breakthrough is overwhelming. Of course the further 1% increase since the last poll is well within the margin of error - if Yes was holding steady at around 54%, you'd expect some polls to show the figure at 53% or 55% (or indeed 52% or 56%), so we'll have to wait for more information before concluding that the upward trend is continuing. But that should certainly be regarded as a real possibility.