Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Scot Goes Pop fundraiser hits target

Well, what can I say, you're all stars, every single one of you.  In spite of the fact that the £8500 target was slightly higher than in recent years, we got there after only a month or so.  Thank you to everyone who has donated so generously, everyone who has shared the fundraiser on social media, and everyone who has promoted it through word of mouth.  I'd particularly like to thank The National for giving it a prominent mention on their 'Yes DIY' feature a few weeks ago - that really did make a very significant difference.

GoFundMe allows fundraisers to remain open for donations indefinitely, so with your forgiveness I'll continue to promote it occasionally for a little while longer, although I'll try to do so less obtrusively than before.  (I know there are always one or two people who are holidaying down a cave in Albania when the fundraiser is run, and only find out about it later on.)  And as has been the case for many years, there'll continue to be a permanent "Donate" link in the sidebar (desktop version of the site only).

Thank you again, and hopefully you'll find the blog to be an interesting read over the weeks and months to come.

*  *  *

As you probably saw the other day, Plaid Cymru has decided to take the highly unusual step of sitting out the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election and urging its supporters to back a unionist party (the Lib Dems) instead.  My initial reaction when I first heard this was being contemplated was that it might just about make sense in the current circumstances, but only as a complete one-off.  However, it appears that the new Plaid leader Adam Price sees the Brecon deal as merely the first step towards a more comprehensive "Remain alliance".

I must say I have my doubts as to whether that would be a runner in a general election.  My guess is that we'll end up with something that looks very much like the recent past, ie. only a few limited and localised deals between the Lib Dems and the Greens in a handful of constituencies.  Possibly the Lib Dems might also hold their noses and give some or all of the remaining Change UK MPs a clear run in return for Change not making too much of a nuisance of themselves anywhere else.  But I strongly suspect that the Lib Dems will conclude that they have too much to lose from entering into a full-blown electoral pact with Plaid - it would almost certainly mean giving up on their hopes of retaking Ceredigion, for example.

But just suppose for a moment that it happened.  It would be bound to lead to pressure on both the Lib Dems and the SNP to agree something similar in Scotland.  That would be uncomfortable territory for both parties, not least because it would be almost unprecedented in modern times for the SNP to throw their weight behind an anti-independence party in any constituency.  But could there be scope for the SNP to make what David Cameron might have called "a big, open and comprehensive offer to the Liberal Democrats"?  The obvious shape of any pact would be that one party would stand aside if the other party is either the incumbent in the constituency or in a clear second place to a non-Remain party.  That would mean the SNP standing aside in only four constituencies, and the Lib Dems standing aside in the other fifty-five.

Let's face it: the Lib Dems would be bound to turn the offer down, not only for the above reason but also because an arrangement with the SNP would drive a coach-and-horses through their 'double down on British nationalism' strategy by costing them an untold number of Tory tactical votes in their current constituencies. But they'd walk away from a Remain alliance at the cost of the moral high ground.

87 comments:

  1. I would resist doing a deal with the LD's as it is really the remain wing of the Tory party.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I second Marcia.

    Off-topic:
    Looks like the two main Unionist rags could be merged.

    The Herald was bought by Flemish media giant Mediahuis in April, and now it looks like The Scotsman is going to the same buyer.

    With collapsing sales, these tired titles have been in austerity measures for decades now, as they have consistently fought against the best interests of their country.

    Pretty much impossible to see how the Antwerp-based owner can keep both titles going. Merge them, or simply close one? The Scotsman is by far the bigger basket case.

    Either way, this is not good news for #RuthForFM

    https://www.insider.co.uk/news/scotsman-publisher-announces-plans-sell-17496529.amp

    https://www.pressgazette.co.uk/belgian-media-group-agrees-e145-6m-buyout-of-irish-news-publisher-inm/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Rather a smug thing to use the term best interest. We the electorate decide right or wrong what is in our best interest. The Liberals should be shot down in flames. Plaid are just a bunch of EU crawlers with self interest just like Jock Nat sis.

      Delete
    2. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:20 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    3. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    4. GWC, the best English Nationalist crawler.

      Delete
    5. It'll be a painful Domestos-fuelled trip back to the sobbing cupboard tonight.
      Cordelia's beloved Yakult-Lennon got the jail.

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  3. Scotland voted remain, the target now is independence. Fibdems a unionist party. Amazed you even put this in print.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Holy Jesus. I do wish people would actually read what I write (and I mean read it properly) before going off on one like that. Nowhere in that blogpost will you find any support for an SNP-Lib Dem alliance. The point I was making is that *if* the Lib Dems and Plaid agree a comprehensive pact (and I made clear I thought that was highly unlikely) there would be pressure on the SNP and Scottish Lib Dems to follow suit. The SNP could then afford to make an offer, safe in the knowledge that the Lib Dems would turn it down, thus leaving the SNP with the moral high ground.

      Delete
    2. Mouthbreather who can't readJuly 10, 2019 at 5:26 PM

      So you think Tim Fallon should be leader of the SNP? Fuck's wrong with you?

      Delete
    3. Kind of depressing that Plaid and the Greens can have a pact like this down south while the SNP and Scottish Greens refuse to do the same up here and win virtually every seat. And in the process put pressure on the Unionist parties to form a similar pact, which would kill them off for good.

      Delete
    4. How would an SNP-Green pact win almost every seat? If you mean the kind of electoral system jiggery-pokery that I think you mean, the Electoral Commission would have something to say about that.

      Delete
    5. Have the Electoral Commission had anything to say about Remain pacts? If not, why would they be troubled by an SNP-Green one?

      If you can provide a persuasive answer then I'm happy to defer to your expertise and withdraw the suggestion.


      Delete
    6. From James' own post above:

      "But could there be scope for the SNP to make what David Cameron might have called "a big, open and comprehensive offer to the Liberal Democrats"? The obvious shape of any pact would be that one party would stand aside if the other party is either the incumbent in the constituency or in a clear second place to a non-Remain party. That would mean the SNP standing aside in only four constituencies, and the Lib Dems standing aside in the other fifty-five."

      Replace Libdems with Green and anti-Remain with anti-independence and we're describing precisely the pact you yourself have described without any suggestion the Electoral Commission would be unhappy with it.

      Bizarre.

      Delete
    7. Sean, if you're just talking about the kind of straight pact that I described in the blogpost, without any jiggery-pokery involving the electoral system, then that would be fine and the Electoral Commission would have no problem with it. But I would then have to return to your earlier claim about the potential of such a pact - "win virtually every seat".

      How on earth would it have that effect?

      Delete
    8. S...Sean? You were going to tell us how an SNP/Green pact would win virtually every seat.

      Delete
  4. Why would anyone trust the FibDems? They'd sell out any deal for a very cheap price in a heartbeat.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Armjet PuffregardJuly 10, 2019 at 10:22 AM

      And if they had Expenses Queen Swinsom as their leader!

      Delete
  5. Jock Nat sis claim to be against so called Tory austerity but are happy to remain silent over EU austerity in Greece and EU opposition to Chinese investment in Greece. The Scottish Nat si elites who are silent over the hundreds of deaths in Scotland due to drug abuse just want to be on the EU gravy train.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:21 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    2. There is no 'EU austerity' in Greece. Greece is free to exit the Euro if it likes, and even the EU. The former would end the ECB as its central bank, while the latter would end the requirement to follow any EU fiscal rules.

      It's not like the UK; Brussels is not trying to legally prevent Greece from leaving. Greece is in the EU/Eurozone by free choice.

      Delete
  6. Man it must be hard for brit jock brexiters to know that their English nationalist counterparts would dump them in a second.

    Feel that unionist lurve!

    https://mailchi.mp/9d6e45eaf7b2/tories-and-brexit-party-should-work-together-to-secure-brexit-69-of-leave-voters-say

    Leave voters:

    Imagine that Brexit caused the following things to happen.

    For each event, what is closest to your view.

    The United Kingdom breaks up

    65% It is a price worth paying in order to ensure brexit goes ahead

    35% I would be willing not to go ahead with brexit in order to avoid it happening.


    Ex DK.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Not sure a Lib-Dem / SNP pact would work. It would surely only increase Conservative representation, as Lib Dem voters switch to Tory?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's a weird notion. The party that pimped itself out to David Cameron is no more acceptable than Corbyn's or Johnson's misfits.

      Delete
  8. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  9. It's well to heed scepticism about polls saying certain Nos would switch to Yes when Boris Piccaninny Watermelon Letterbox Cake Bumboys Haircut Inconclusive-Cocaine-Event Wall-Spaffer Fuck-Business Get-Off-My-Fucking-Laptop-a Scottish prime minister is 'utterly outrageous'-Westminster's an English parliament-Scots are a verminous race-Johnson becomes PM or no-deal Brexit goes ahead. At least in the short term it is.

    But post no-deal food and medicine shortages (anybody think helping Scotland will be a priority when they begin?) combined with week after week month after month of Boris doing his Piccaninny Watermelon Letterbox Cake Bumboys Haircut Inconclusive-Cocaine-Event Wall-Spaffer Fuck-Business Get-Off-My-Fucking-Laptop-a Scottish prime minister is 'utterly outrageous'-Westminster's an English parliament-Scots are a verminous race act at PMQs, with Foreign Secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg guffawing alongside him?

    Thatcher was vile enough but she was nowhere near as repulsive personally as this lot, and she wasn't standing at the despatch box defending an economic and medical catastrophe that Scotland explicitly voted against in a referendum. In such circumstances you can see even many hard Nos chucking their remote/sash at the telly and deciding they've had enough.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In such circumstances you can see even many hard Nos chucking their remote/sash at the telly and deciding they've had enough.

      I..don't think I can.

      Delete
    2. Maybe head out for a walk or something? Get the circulation going in your brain?

      Delete
    3. Still not seeing the No Surrenderers binning their flutes because we're getting a Brexit which they all support

      Delete
  10. No deal 46%
    Revoke: 53%

    BGM reasearch

    ReplyDelete
  11. Sovereignty lies with the British people and not the Mps. The Mps gave up any sovereignty they think they had when they said they would accept the outcome of the ballot. Go to it Boris bugger the money grabbing hypocrites and get us out.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:18 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  12. The people are not stupid when the next EU referendum does come people will vote to remain.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:19 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  13. So the dear leader has begun the great brexit purge.

    Anyone who speaks the truth is thrown under the big red 350m bus.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Well liars and EU crawling Nat sis should be under the bus oiling the undercarriage, doing a days work.

      Delete
    2. Boris just sold out Britain. He didn't hesitate to throw one of the UK's ambassadors under a bus the moment orange face threw the rattle oot the pram.

      Boris is a traitor to Britain. A 'bum bhoy' of Trumps; that's what the 'special relationship' is; Britain whips down the breeks, bends over and thinks of England.

      Delete
    3. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:20 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    4. Whit a laugh from skier who is no doubt familiar with bum boys. The May Tory Ambassador set up will be exposed for the farce it is. May has been conning the British people over brexit and this is her last gasp to remain.

      Delete
    5. Robin of LocksleyJuly 11, 2019 at 3:01 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    6. Britain no longer selects its ambassadors. So much for 'taking back control'. Not of ambassadorial staff anyway. Erdogan et al. will already be preparing to force Boris to dump anyone they don't like. Just threaten no trade deal and he will bend over; weak and pliable.

      This is what fascists do; purge officials who try to politely point out the reality of the situation.

      Huge swaths will soon go under the brexit bus in an attempt to sustain the great fantasy and appease the other 'now is not the time for democracy' dear leaders from across the globe.

      Delete
    7. Boris's campaign manager.

      https://twitter.com/GlennBBC/status/1149009411257634816

      “I don’t think you defend [British people who've done nothing wrong at all] diplomats when it’s against the national interest”

      Delete
  14. Just think what a Boris cabinet will look like.

    A bunch of racist half-wits and swivel eyed loons.

    Hammond will be booted out the door for someone that makes up numbers on the side of big red buses.

    Luckily, we have Dianne Abbot and Jeremy Corbyn opposing them!

    The UK is so utterly fucked.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I will offer my services inspite of my disabilities. Brexit means brexit as the liar May said.

      Delete
    2. Robin of LocksleyJuly 10, 2019 at 10:21 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    3. Cordelia offers its services as a racist halfwit and a swivel eyed loon.

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    4. Cordelia offers her services as Anne Widdecombe's fanny double in a saucy series of Brexit Party films about the seediness of everyday family life in Europe.

      Delete
  15. Have to say those students in Warwick University who no doubt get public taxpayers funding seem to be falling out with each other on Facebook when they should be studying to serve the public.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 11, 2019 at 3:02 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  16. There would beno pressure on the SNP to do the same. This is a mistake by Plaid.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Jo swinson: checks private polling for her own seat. Immediately snaps hand off.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Swinson: Mummy, if I win the seat, will you buy me a pony?
      Swinson: Mummy, does this mean I can claim for daintiness tissues?
      Swinson: Mummy, why do we have to say we're Liberals?

      Delete
  18. BBC is now actively promoting mass job losses as a positive personal life experience in readiness for brexit.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48926522

    Redundancy: 'It's like a new lease of life'

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. BBC the anti brexit party. George Galloway has given a good take on the British Embassador to Washington. Meanwhile the Scottish Nat sis in the Commons join with all the others in praising the Ambassador. And Pete Wishart the Jocko Nat si says the Westminster Parliament is sovereign.

      Delete
    2. Well, this morning Labour are on the front pages claiming the BBC is biased and that Scots should not listen to anything from them going forward.

      Seems the nats were right all along!

      Delete
    3. The problem for you Nat sis is you do not have a compliant TV channel like the BBC or RT to spout your lies.

      Delete
    4. Westminster is sovereign in England, just not in Scotland.

      So there, as far as brexit goes, it's English MPs that make the calls, not the people. Remember, the EUref wasn't 'legally binding'. Westminster can ignore it because it is sovereign in England.

      In Scotland, a Yes to indy / the 62% Remain must be respected because the people are sovereign.

      See 'McCormack vs the lord advocate (1953)' and of course, recently:

      https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2018-07-04/debates/18070455000001/ClaimOfRightForScotland

      That this House endorses the principles of the Claim of Right for Scotland, agreed by the Scottish Constitutional Convention in 1989 and by the Scottish Parliament in 2012, and therefore acknowledges the sovereign right of the Scottish people to determine the form of government best suited to their needs.

      Motion is resolved unopposed.

      Delete
    5. Robin of LocksleyJuly 11, 2019 at 4:18 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    6. On this topic, the sovereignty of the people of Scotland goes back a long way. Here is it in 1320:

      https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-48950788

      Declaration of Arbroath: Historic document to be displayed after 15 years

      Delete
  19. Can you gies a lend o' some of that looer, James? Am awfy skint the noo.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 11, 2019 at 4:19 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  20. I am really pleased you made the target James.
    I contributed (I hasten to add) and I enjoy your tweets and your articles, particularly your analyses of polling data.
    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Time to invest in the arms trade. Iran is going to attack Western interests.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 11, 2019 at 8:56 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    2. Duncan LeadbitterJuly 11, 2019 at 10:38 PM

      I live in West Linton and I'm interested in cooking, travel, DIY, Spanish history, curling and hillwalking. Is Iran going to attack me?

      Delete
    3. Norah ClitherthorpeJuly 11, 2019 at 11:23 PM

      I'm a nervous wreck and worried sick. I can hardly keep down my blackcurrant sorbet and I've started wetting the bed again because I'm interested in the Western Isles and Country 'n' Western music and now I'm just a sitting duck waiting for Iran to attack.

      Delete
    4. Moira and Alfie GrantJuly 11, 2019 at 11:29 PM

      Our house is on Great Western Road and we have a passionate all-consuming interest in the Post-impressionists. Should we start building a bomb shelter in case the authorities in Tehran find out?

      Delete
    5. Tony Blair and FriendsJuly 12, 2019 at 12:19 AM

      I think Iran has attacked and you are dead.

      Delete
  22. Tony Blair Top Man and Catholic ConvertJuly 12, 2019 at 1:35 AM

    I have to thank the Scottish Nat sis for supporting the EU remainer Sur Kim Darruck and his efforts to circumvent the stupid people who voted to leave the EU.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 12, 2019 at 5:32 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  23. Fact of the day: If Scotland have voted for independence in the early 1990s, it would not have had warmonger Tony Blair as PM.

    Fact of the day 2: If Scotland have voted for independence in 2014, it would not have had racist, homophobic, misogynistic half-wit Boris Johnson as PM.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. WeSaidNoToYesMen :-)July 12, 2019 at 10:41 PM

      No, we'd have a man currently facing a trial for sexual assault as PM. Maybe that's your preference. It's not mine.

      Delete
    2. Robin of LocksleyJuly 13, 2019 at 8:38 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  24. Poor Skier you only exist on this planet to spout your anti English claptrap because of the Union. If no Union no you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm Irish mind. We have a stronger economy, are wealthier, have much lower debt, and are way more productive than you brits. We are also not backward and bigoted.

      Delete
    2. Oh and Panelhase have up top 53% 'hating the English'. Scotland should go for independence if that's the case simply to do the English a favour.

      Delete
    3. Robin of LocksleyJuly 12, 2019 at 7:24 PM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    4. Skier, the Irish should be better of with all that compensation from the Catholic Church.

      Delete
    5. Robin of LocksleyJuly 13, 2019 at 8:39 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
  25. Today’s new Survatiom an armageddon poll for Ruth Davidson’s team. Fifth place and staring total wipeout in the face. Again.

    Not much better for SLab: only Murray would survive.

    SNP 46%
    Lab 20%
    LD 13%
    Bxp 12%
    Con 7%

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. But isn't she an inspiring success story?

      Delete
    2. I know the 51 seats formula is wrong on this. So what would it be ? 53-55 seats if held now?

      Delete
    3. Cuspidor GrangelyJuly 12, 2019 at 9:10 PM

      One person's "inspiring success story" is another person's "roly poly windbag"

      Delete
    4. YouGov released a poll yesterday, Scottish sub-sample;

      SNP 45
      Con 20
      Lab 13
      LD 10
      BXT 9
      GRN 2
      Oth 1

      Delete
  26. Great day for the Union with the massive turnout in Northern Ireland by the Orange. The ROI bum boys and EU fascist nazis are on a loser. Go tae it Boris you are the New Winston.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Robin of LocksleyJuly 13, 2019 at 8:40 AM

      Purse.
      Cordelia and purses.

      Delete
    2. Isa Guthrie and the GuthrettesJuly 13, 2019 at 12:37 PM

      Gymslip Wearing Cordelia must have had another heavy night. A visit to the bottle bank today would be in order.

      Delete