Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Post-debate Angus Reid sample : SNP just two points behind Labour

That's the good news - the bad news is that they're also five points behind the Liberal Democrats, who now hold an unlikely lead. However, if these figures were anything like accurate, it would potentially bring back into play for the SNP a number of Labour-held seats that had been looking relatively safe in recent weeks. That's a monumental 'if', of course, given that the sample size is so small, although Angus Reid do seem to be the one pollster to weight their Scottish sample separately from the rest of Great Britain. Here are the full figures -

Liberal Democrats 28% (+11)
Labour 25% (-11)
SNP 23% (-1)
Conservatives 19% (-1)
Others 5% (+2)

At GB-wide level, this most beloved pollster of the CyberTories has comprehensively let the side down by producing what is unarguably a hung parliament poll. The Tories and Lib Dems are tied for the lead at 32%, and even the Tories' advantage over Labour is the lowest it's yet been in an Angus Reid poll.

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