There's actually quite a strong case to be made that higher percentage support for Yes in the opinion polls would make the UK government even more intransigent, not less so. That could be especially true if the Tories remain in power indefinitely. If they had stayed in power after 1997, they would never have granted devolution, or a devolution referendum, in spite of the fact that support for a Scottish Parliament was running at 70-80% in the polls. (And yet I'm sure there would have been people chanting the mantra of "this is totally unsustainable!")
It remains to be seen how much influence the caution faction has with the SNP leadership, but until that becomes clear, all that the rest of us can do is continue making the counter-argument as forcefully and respectfully as we can.
In reality, when you're approaching a strategic crossroads, that's exactly the moment to speak up. There's not much point in remaining silent until just *after* the die is cast.https://t.co/TjOPRS6LAz— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) January 18, 2020
We do need to win. But we don't need to win "big". That's the red herring in Andrew's narrative (which is, presumably, a tacit call for indefinite delay).https://t.co/2ifA1vMf8X— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) January 19, 2020
If the Lib Dems are crazy enough to urge their supporters to abstain in a legal referendum, that should not deter the SNP from holding one. Rather the reverse. A majority Yes vote might not resolve matters, but it would self-evidently be a leap forward.https://t.co/HlZaYzCCfq— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) January 20, 2020