Just a quick note to let you know that I have a new analysis piece at The National about the Find Out Now poll - not just about the independence numbers, but also about the party political voting intention numbers, which were released this evening. You can read the article HERE.
Encouraging.
ReplyDeleteIndeed.
DeleteThe figures from the Find Out Now poll are,
Yes 52%
No 48%
Thus giving Yes a 4 point lead.
As a lifelong unionist I may not like hearing the settled will klaxon but it looks like I'll just have to get used to it. Help, Nessie!
What union is that of which you are a lifelong supporter?
DeleteAs Farage continues, in interview after interview, to confirm he is nothing more than an extreme right wing racist, fascist and totally clueless Trump clone, the gibbering, slavering morons who STILL say that he and Reform are none of those things and that his supporters are 'just a bit disillusioned and not really that bad' are looking more and more ridiculous and more and more like the blatant liars they are.
DeleteStevie Flynn was absolutely on the money when he clearly said that the only way to deal with the resurgence of extreme right fascist garbage is to challenge them head on, every day and every way you can.
That trash deserve nothing less.
Anon at 5.30. Someone should tell the BBC.
DeleteYes must have a huge lead if using the Skier methodology where don't knows are counted too.
ReplyDeleteUsing the Skier mythology 10 people out of 9 agree it's better in the dark. Oh, sorry, you said methodology.
DeleteFrom your article: "women now support independence by the hefty margin of 50% to 41%, while men are narrowly opposed by 49% to 46%."
ReplyDeleteIt would be interesting to know for countries that managed to get their independence, how many had a surge of support by women, dragging the men along in a way by their, errr, body parts. None? Or many?
Females can be more fearless than males, particularly in defence of their young.
Also from your article this:
ReplyDelete"With the poll showing the SNP have only one-quarter of votes on the list, there is quite simply no credible path to an overall SNP majority that would involve list seats."
So all the SNP need to do is, to hold the Constituency vote advantage to the max, while also encouraging Indy supporters of all ilks to vote SNP on the List (region). Preferably near 50% of us..
Can this be done? Yes, with a hybrid of the Swinney plan and the de facto of the "rebels" (why on earth call them rebels?). But I think the list option needs to encourage people to vote SNP on the list as well as constituency for maximum 2011 effect.
A two-pronged attack. Something like over 50% (SNP or pro-Indy) on the list for instant Independence, and even if that fails an overall SNP majority for the Scottish Parliament to declare it is no longer bound by the Scotland Act - but is NOT unilaterally declaring independence as that is up to the People of Scotland.
That is not a UDI, it would be a Declaration of Self-Determination - the People of Scotland and ONLY the People of Scotland can decide our future. "Let no foreign government interfere", as Sinn Féin put in its 1918 manifesto. Nemo me impune lacessit for 2026 and beyond, to use Scotland's motto.
I'm struggling to keep up. I thought there were three prongs. I'm sure John Swinney said there were three.
DeleteNo, Swinney said pong off fork, allegedly.
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