So a little later than planned, here's my video round-up of the new full-scale Scottish poll from Find Out Now. I particularly draw attention to John Curtice's very interesting observations about the list result in the poll, and why the numbers may be skewed as a result of the question wording. His main point is that the Greens are being overstated, but if he's right I think it's pretty certain that Alba are being overstated as well - which would be disastrous for Alba, because even if the poll is taken at face value, they would be totally wiped out in terms of seats.
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I've read that an amendment to Swinney's motion will be debated at the conference, do you know the text of this amendment?
ReplyDeleteAnyways, the similarity between Alba and Your Party are striking - with Sultana being the equivalent of Ahmed-Sheikh, and Corbyn with Salmond and perhaps, MacAskill. Sadly it seems no such comparison can be made with Reform.
ReplyDelete"Sultana being the equivalent of Ahmed-Sheikh"
DeleteYou're surely not accusing Sultana of sleeping with Corbyn?
I'm not known as Hector Watson but I'd like to make clear that that is a horrible insinuazione, signore. No way, Jose.
DeleteHe's not Shirley. Unless we're all Shirley. Are we Shirley?
DeleteIf the future Scottish government is First Minister McAllan in alliance with Ross Greer's Scottish Greens the chances for independence are 0%
ReplyDeleteOk, so SNP form the next Scot Gov. We know they are grifiting but hope, they get the jail.
ReplyDeleteBut deep down we know that INDY is FUCKED unless we get a cohort of youngfolk that can really sell the case for INDY.
The economic proposition is first and foremost.
It's the easiest door to push as Scots are generally conservative with a small c.
Thank you for expounding the Anglo-British Nationalist viewpoint. Even here in Ljubljana we can smell the frantic whoopsie-covered attempt at false flagging.
DeleteA Survation poll. SNP on 37%, Labour on 20%, Reform UK on 18%, the Conservatives on 11%, the Liberal Democrats on 7%, the Greens on 5%, and Alba on 1%.
ReplyDeleteIn the regional list vote, the poll put the SNP on 31%, Labour on 18%, Reform UK on 16%, the Conservatives on 13%, the Liberal Democrats on 11%, the Greens on 8% and Alba on 2%.
James, is there any known reason why the leave/remain question gives such different results? I cannot understand this. Surely people must believe that independence means independence. Do Scotland in Union use the trick of asking leading questions (as you described in your piece on JL Partners) beforehand?
ReplyDeleteHi James, any by-elections coming up?
ReplyDeleteIpsos Mori now out with a Scotland political pulse poll. Not good news for Labour. Okay-ish for the SNP.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labours-ratings-fall-scotland-while-reform-uk-continues-rise
Find Out Now, Westminster voting intention, field work 24th Sept.
ReplyDeleteUK headline; RefUK 16% lead, -2% on last week, within margins of error.
Scottish sub-sample (141).
Con 7%, Lab 17%, LibDem 15%, RefUK 22%, Green 5%, SNP 30%.
Sent from my iPad
Swinney is just keeping the Scottish Parliament in check until Farage comes along to completely neuter it. He is no independence leader.
ReplyDeleteNow tgatthe dark evenings have arrived I call get back to what I can my winter frolics. I visit public parks and find a comfortable safe hiding place. When a solo walker comes near I make one of a variety of sounds. The sound could be like a horse whinnying, a woman screaming, heavy breathing, sinister laughter, snorting and croaking, cackling like a witch, and so on. I love winter and I can recommend winter frolics to one and all. Merry Winter! 🔫
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