Saturday, February 1, 2025

Find Out Now! Find Out How? Find Out TAKE A FREAKING BOW!!!! Earth-shaking new poll shows SNP and Greens on course for historic pro-independence MAJORITY victory next year

Scottish Parliament constituency ballot (Find Out Now / Herald, 15th-20th January 2025):

SNP 31% (-4)
Labour 19% (-)
Reform UK 13% (+2)
Conservatives 12% (-3)
Greens 10% (+3)
Liberal Democrats 10% (+1)
Alba 2% (-)

Scottish Parliament regional list ballot:

SNP 25% (-1)
Labour 15% (-2)
Greens 13% (-)
Liberal Democrats 13% (+3)
Conservatives 13% (-1)
Reform UK 11% (-)
Alba 7% (+1)

Seats projection: SNP 51, Labour 16, Greens 15, Liberal Democrats 15, Conservatives 15, Reform UK 9, Alba 8

SNP + GREENS: 66 SEATS
ALL OTHER PARTIES: 63 SEATS

SNP + GREEN MAJORITY OF 3 SEATS

PRO-INDEPENDENCE PARTIES: 74 SEATS
ANTI-INDEPENDENCE PARTIES: 55 SEATS

PRO-INDEPENDENCE MAJORITY OF 19 SEATS

The drop in the SNP's vote in such a favourable poll for pro-independence parties is a bit of an oddity, and on the constituency vote can be at least partly explained by the unusually high Green vote.  As Michael points out in the comments section below, it may well be that the Greens will not, as in past Holyrood elections, stand in most constituency seats, so even if 10% of the electorate genuinely do plan to vote Green in the constituencies (rather doubtful in my view), a lot of that vote may end up going to the SNP anyway. OK, we know there's a bit of bad blood between the Greens and the SNP after what Humza Yousaf did last year, but I do still think Green supporters are more likely to break for the SNP than for unionist parties.

Alba's list vote share and seats projection should be taken with a very, very heavy dose of salt.  Find Out Now seem to have settled in as one of two polling firms that regularly show Alba on an exaggerated share of the list vote, and as things stand they remain the only polling firm showing Alba on course for list seats. The projection from the most recent poll conducted by the other Alba-friendly firm (Norstat) showed the party on zero seats.

Because Alba are far more likely to end up with zero seats rather than with eight, it's both important and encouraging that the projection from the new poll shows that the SNP and Greens are set for a majority between them, without needing help from any other Yes parties.

The Tories ought to be deeply alarmed that they've been overtaken by Reform on the constituency ballot.  This reflects the pattern seen in recent GB-wide polls, and we could be nearing a tipping point where the Tory vote suddenly collapses completely due to right-of-centre voters recognising that Reform UK seem to be emerging as the leading right-wing party in all three constituent nations of Great Britain.

Although the mainstream media bizarrely portrayed the 2021 Holyrood election as a good news outcome for Anas Sarwar and Labour, it was in fact the FIFTH successive Holyrood election in which Labour's number of seats had dropped.  This poll suggests that will happen again for a SIXTH successive election, with Labour slumping from 22 seats to 16.  A minor technical consolation for Sarwar is that he'd be leader of the largest single opposition party, overtaking the Tories - but in fact Labour would only be one seat ahead of the Greens, Lib Dems and Tories who would all be tied on 15 seats apiece.

Scottish voting intentions for next UK general election:

SNP 31% (-3)
Labour 18% (-2)
Reform UK 17% (+2)
Conservatives 12% (-2)
Liberal Democrats 10% (+1)
Greens 7% (+1)

Seats projection: SNP 31, Labour 11, Liberal Democrats 6, Conservatives 5

(Note: I've taken the above seats projection direct from the Herald write-up, but there must be an error somewhere because the numbers should add up to 57, but don't.)

Reform's five-point advantage over the Tories for Westminster represents even more of a horror-story for the Tories than the Holyrood constituency ballot, and is arguably even more important.

*  *  *

I launched the Scot Goes Pop fundraiser for 2025 last weekend, and so far the running total stands at £831, meaning that 12% of the target of £6800 has been raised.  If you'd like to help Scot Goes Pop continue with poll analysis and truly independent political commentary for another year, donations are welcome HERE.  Direct Paypal donations can also be made - my Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

On the subject of Alba and paranoia

In recent months, both before and after my expulsion, I have repeatedly pointed out that Alba could have thrived if it had thrown the doors open and become a welcoming broad church for all of the most radical segments of the independence movement.  Indeed, it absolutely needed to do that, because otherwise it didn't have a hope in hell of getting to the 6% of the vote required to win a significant batch of list seats.  But instead, the party has done the total opposite - it has shown all the unfortunate signs of having been born out of trauma, and has become a narrow, paranoid, authoritarian sect centred around a small number of families and friends who were closely associated with Alex Salmond.  Of course the vast majority of Alba rank-and-file members are from outside that self-appointed elite, but they're only welcome to come along for the ride if they show sufficient obedience.  If they don't, as so many people have already discovered, they'll find themselves bullied out of the party or expelled outright.

Whether they realise it or not, Alba leadership loyalists have not exactly been disproving my point about a "paranoid" sect in their reactions towards me since I rejoined the SNP.  I have been constantly accused of having been bought off or promised things by the establishment, or of trying to lay the groundwork for a successful fundraiser.  (Those two accusations are essentially contradictory, because I wouldn't need to bother with fundraisers if I'd been bought off.)  Yesterday, after I drew attention to the deactivated "Alba 2026" account on Twitter which had been making highly abusive comments about several ex-Alba members, it was repeatedly suggested that the account must have been a false flag operation designed to harm Alba.  One particularly persistent individual kept trying to leave comments on this blog alleging the account had never even existed and that I had retrospectively invented it for propaganda purposes.

What is terrifying about these nutty claims is not that they are being made, but that the people who make them seem to truly believe them.  That is suggestive of really deeply entrenched paranoia.  Alba are going to remain in a very dark place until that problem is shaken off and a reconnection with reality occurs.

Let's start with the question of whether the Alba 2026 account ever existed.  Yes, it did, and you can see that quite clearly from the screenshots that are doing the rounds from a variety of unconnected sources.  Eva Comrie posted a screenshot of the most disgraceful tweet about herself, and she did so several hours before I even mentioned the subject, so hopefully that puts to rest any notion that I invented the whole thing.

As for the wider question of whether it was a false flag, the pattern of behaviour does not fit with that theory.  The writing style and the usage of Trump-style insulting nicknames for individuals (I was "Jilted James", Eva was "Ethanol Eva", etc) is highly suggestive of a well-known and senior Alba figure who used to be on the NEC in one of the national office bearer positions.  A random "free Imran Khan" retweet in the middle of the string of insults also points towards the same culprit - my guess is that she forgot she wasn't on her main account when she hit the retweet button.

Now, OK, someone could have been impersonating her or trying to frame her or whatever.  But consider this - the shocking tweet about Eva's disability was deleted early yesterday after concerns first started circulating about it.  That was rather reminiscent of how, two years ago, the former NEC member in question hastily deleted a tweet stating that "a vote for the SNP is a vote for Jimmy Savile" after someone had a quiet word with her to point out that she'd gone too far.

And then by the early afternoon, the Alba 2026 account had disappeared entirely - which just happened to coincide with suggestions that the abusive behaviour might be raised at today's meeting of the Alba NEC (which is probably taking place as I write this).  A random false flag troll would have been unlikely to have picked up on those rumours, and would have had no reason to act on them anyway. Whereas a former national office bearer of the party would undoubtedly have heard what was coming at the NEC meeting, and would have had absolutely every reason to panic and to deactivate the account in case she'd left a trail of evidence that would point the finger at her.

On the issue of the fundraiser, it's a matter of record that I said months ago that I would have to launch the 2025 fundraiser very early in the year, because last year's had fallen short of its target.  So the timing of the fundraiser would have been exactly the same regardless of whether or not McEleny had expelled me, and regardless of the timing of that expulsion.  I did briefly entertain the thought that I should delay the fundraiser for a month or two because I knew perfectly well these accusations would be made, but then I realised that if the funds weren't there to continue, that was the only salient point, and that staying afloat is much more important than fretting about the daft things paranoid people will say about me.

As far as being "bought off by the establishment" is concerned, that mad conspiracy theory is based on the premise that Alba are currently operating in the best interests of the independence cause and that anyone who wanted to harm independence would prioritise the sabotaging of Alba.  That is self-evidently not the case.  Alba have abandoned their responsible list-only strategy from 2021 and are planning to stand in multiple constituency seats next year - something which can only benefit unionist parties, especially in marginal seats like Banffshire and Buchan Coast, where Christina Hendry seems hellbent on intervening and splitting the pro-indy vote.  It is therefore in the overwhelming interests of the British establishment to encourage Alba to continue on the present course, not to sabotage the party.

*  *  *

I launched the Scot Goes Pop fundraiser for 2025 last weekend, and so far the running total stands at £581, meaning that 9% of the target of £6800 has been raised.  If you'd like to help Scot Goes Pop continue with poll analysis and truly independent political commentary for another year, donations are welcome HERE.  Direct Paypal donations can also be made - my Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Friday, January 31, 2025

Calling all decent Alba members - please help put a stop to this vile personal abuse, which in one case seems to be coming from a very senior Alba figure

As has been well-rehearsed, the "reasons" Chris McEleny came up with for my expulsion from the Alba Party were almost comically vague - his disciplinary referral document dated 30th September was an absolute embarrassment.  However, one detail (of sorts) that was later specified by Corri Wilson is that I was expelled partly under the terms of the Alba social media policy.  I therefore pursued that point in my appeal, because it was far from clear to me, or to others I checked with, whether the social media policy actually has any constitutional force as a set of hard-and-fast "disciplinary rules".  In many places it reads more like an aspirational or motivational document, with lots of flowery language.  For example, here's an extract - 

"We are direct, confident, and proud in what we have to say – we speak boldly and with clear intention."

How would you actually go about enforcing that as a rule?  Would you take disciplinary action against Alba members for not being "bold" or "proud" enough?  It's clearly a nonsense, and yet the Appeals Committee showed no interest whatsoever in engaging with the questions I raised about whether the social media policy is enforceable.  Therefore it must be assumed that it is enforceable, and these other extracts must be taken very seriously indeed - 

"if comments become abusive, we will report them"

"Special care needs to be taken by members who have chosen an ALBA party logos or pictures as a cover photo or profile picture as they may appear to the public as representing the ethos and values of ALBA."

"Social-Media Platforms like Twitter can be fast and furious but being abusive to individuals online should be regarded as a red line whether it is in an exchange with fellow members or those outside the party."

I am now outside the party, but as you can see that makes no difference - the position is apparently that Alba members can and should be disciplined for abuse of someone like me.  I have today been abused on Twitter by someone who is almost certainly an Alba member.  He calls himself "Bill Under Colonial Rule", and he prominently displays the Alba logo in his account's cover photo.


If there are any decent Alba members reading this, I'd be grateful if you would report Bill for this blatant breach of the Code of Conduct and social media policy.  Because Chris McEleny has an absolute veto under the current rules on whether complaints ever reach the Disciplinary Committee, I'm afraid the complaint will need to be made to him in the first instance.  Please let me know if you do that and what the response is (if any).  Incidentally, it doesn't matter if you don't know Bill's full name, because according to the Colin Alexander precedent, McEleny should still investigate to discover the man's identity and then take action against him once his Alba membership status is established.

I believe it may be technically the case that non-members can lodge complaints too, so if all else fails I'll try to do that myself, but it'll almost certainly be a waste of time, because McEleny's modus operandi is to completely ignore emails if he feels he can get away with it.

However, there's an even more serious case than Bill that urgently needs to be raised.  A Twitter account popped up a couple of weeks ago called "Alba 2026" to support Kenny MacAskill in the leadership election.  It has posted extreme personal abuse about me, Denise Findlay, Leanne Tervit and several others, but by far the worst tweet, which undoubtedly should result in disciplinary action in any political party, is this one mocking Eva Comrie's disability - 


That tweet was hastily deleted a few hours ago, and now the whole account seems to have been deactivated.  I believe that has happened because people started to clock who was behind the account.  The writing style and set of preoccupations are obvious giveaways, as indeed is the retweet about Imran Khan - not a subject that most Alba troll accounts would take much interest in.  I believe this person is a very senior member of the Alba Party, a former NEC member and a former national office bearer. 

So if you're a current Alba member, I'd also be grateful if you'd lodge a complaint with McEleny about "Alba 2026" and invite him to establish her identity.  And please let me know what the response is.

*  *  *

I launched the Scot Goes Pop fundraiser for 2025 at the weekend, and so far the running total stands at £581, meaning that 9% of the target of £6800 has been raised.  If you'd like to help Scot Goes Pop continue with poll analysis and truly independent political commentary for another year, donations are welcome HERE.  Direct Paypal donations can also be made - my Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Thursday, January 30, 2025

THE ALBA FILES, Part 6: How the Alba leadership rigged the 2023 internal elections - plus the verbatim text of Alex Salmond's notorious "secret speech" which was intended to justify it

As I've previously mentioned, I was told by an informed source prior to Alba's creation in spring 2021 that Alex Salmond planned to model the organisation of his new party on the Brexit Party.  His intention was apparently not to have party members, but a sort of fan club of 'registered supporters'.  The reason for this was to guarantee that he, his family and his close friends would always keep total control of Alba, and that they could never even theoretically be replaced by a rival faction, as had happened in the SNP.

And yet when the Alba Party actually appeared on the scene, its original constitution was if anything somewhat more democratic - at least on paper - than the SNP's.  So what had changed?  Was my source just simply wrong? In retrospect I don't think he was.  I believe Mr Salmond belatedly realised that he would pay too high a price for setting up an ostensibly progressive party with himself as dictator-for-life.  The look would have been terrible.  So instead he convinced himself that he could achieve exactly the same effect by different means.  Alba would nominally have an internal democracy, but Mr Salmond would retain total control in practice through sheer force of personality.  After all, the vast majority of Alba members would indeed be his 'fans', or less pejoratively his keenest supporters, and it was unlikely that they would ever vote against his wishes if he expressed or indicated a clear view on how an internal election or conference vote should go.

But the key question remained - what would actually happen if force of personality proved not to be enough, and party members voted in a way that he strongly disagreed with?  Would he uphold, however reluctantly, the party's internal democracy as set out in the constitution?  Or would that democracy be exposed as a sham, with Mr Salmond reverting to the role of dictator and overturning the members' decisions?  We found out the answer to that question in the latter months of 2023.

Something very strange had happened in the summer of 2023.  Three senior female Alba office bearers, who had all previously been close allies of Mr Salmond, suddenly and dramatically fell out of the leadership's favour.  Those three were Denise Findlay (Organisation Convener), Jacqui Bijster (Membership Support Convener) and Eva Comrie (Equalities Convener).  I have spoken to several people who were in the know about the sequence of events, and they all agree that the sudden hostility towards those three was largely inexplicable with no obvious trigger-event, although a chaotic group trip to London was often cited as an apparent turning point.  By far the most common guess for what had suddenly changed is "Tasmina's jealousy" - in other words, Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh couldn't cope with other strong women having Mr Salmond's attention, and she started dripping poison into his ear about them.  Denise Findlay in particular had become invaluable to Mr Salmond for a prolonged period - she had been his own choice to become Organisation Convener (he directly appointed her on an interim basis after her predecessor stepped down), she had proved extremely active and effective in the role, and at her own expense had often driven Mr Salmond across Scotland for Alba events.  A number of people have suggested this was simply too much for Tasmina to bear.

Whatever the exact reasons, though, Mr Salmond and the wider leadership made a firm decision that Ms Findlay and Ms Bijster had to be replaced.  (With Ms Comrie the position was less clear-cut, perhaps because the Equalities role carried less direct power.)  The snag was that their positions were directly elected, they both fully intended to stand for re-election, and as incumbents it was highly likely they would win.  But the leadership meant business about getting rid of them, so a strategy was devised.  

A 'big-hitter' preferred successor was identified to both Ms Findlay and Ms Bijster and persuaded to stand against them.  In Ms Bijster's case it was the retired civil servant Daniel Jack, and in Ms Findlay's case it was Alba's former Local Government Convener Leigh Wilson.  Pro-active steps were taken by the leadership to boost the profile of both Mr Jack and Mr Wilson as the vote approached.  A one-off newspaper column was secured for Mr Jack, and the Alba website hyped it to the max.

But naturally Ms Bijster and Ms Findlay, who by then were only too well aware of what the leadership was doing to them, had no interest in just rolling over and letting it happen.  As incumbents, they had perfectly legitimate ways of boosting their own profiles.  Ms Bijster was able, for example, to email the full party membership with answers to frequently asked questions about how the elections would work - a matter that was entirely within her remit as incumbent Membership Support Convener.

Ms Bijster's email, which was very short and to the point and contained no electioneering whatsoever, coincided with the fanfare over Daniel Jack's newspaper article.  In other words, the leadership's cunning plan to make Mr Jack better known to Alba members than Ms Bijster had been completely foiled, as it probably deserved to be.

Mr Salmond and Chris "Disgruntled Employee" McEleny hit the roof.  Ms Bijster was immediately stripped of her right to email members, and McEleny publicly announced this was happening as a punishment.  I was one of the candidates standing against both Ms Bijster and Mr Jack, and I received a phone call from Mr Salmond (as it turned out, the last I received from him before he died).  He was fizzing with anger.  He insisted that Ms Bijster was clearly "at it", and had been "put up to it by Denise".  He sarcastically claimed that Ms Bijster had been totally invisible during her year as Membership Support Convener, and that it was very convenient timing for her to "suddenly start emailing members now".

My response was that when I had first seen Ms Bijster's email, I realised that it probably would give her an advantage over me and the other candidates, but it was the type of advantage that any incumbent would unavoidably have, and I therefore didn't think it was that big a deal.  Mr Salmond replied by saying "oh it's OK for you to say that, James, you have a platform and people know who you are, but the other candidates aren't so lucky".

Supposedly as remedial action to make the election "fair", McEleny sent out an email listing the names of three of the candidates for Membership Support Convener (myself, Mr Jack and the young activist Scott Fallon) but excluding the fourth (Ms Bijster).  Subsequently, Alba members were sent yet another email containing election pitches from myself, Mr Jack and Mr Fallon, but once again excluding Ms Bijster.  (Mine was initially regarded as slightly too long, so I received stern instructions from Mr Salmond and Corri Wilson to shorten it. I couldn't go stealing the chosen one's thunder, now could I?!)

But these superhuman efforts to scupper Ms Bijster and Ms Findlay failed.  In the case of Ms Findlay, that failure was almost inevitable, because not only was she wildly popular in her own right, but she was also closely associated with Mr Salmond. Alba members hadn't received the memo about Mr Salmond suddenly turning against her, and they probably wouldn't have believed that memo even if they had received it.

The election software being used allowed the leadership to monitor the votes in real time.  Mr Salmond and McEleny almost certainly did that and knew that Ms Findlay and Ms Bijster had been comfortably re-elected.  After the ballot closed, Mr Salmond had a huge decision to make.  Would he do the right and natural thing, accept the results and allow them to be announced at conference as scheduled?  Or would he stop the announcement, hush up the results and then nullify them - something he had no moral or ethical right to do, and certainly no power to do under the party constitution?  Extraordinarily, he chose the latter course of action, but it was plainly fraught with immense danger for him.  I literally cannot think of any precedent for what Mr Salmond did in any other UK party of significance, at least in modern times.

The chosen excuse was that the elections supposedly hadn't been fair because people had been making uncomplimentary comments about Mr Salmond's family and party staff on chat rooms while the vote was taking place.  This was clearly a preposterous explanation which was unlikely to be regarded by reasonable people as sufficient, so again, a strategy was devised to save face.  

Firstly, the announcement would be made at conference in closed session.  The live stream would be switched off, and no non-members (ie. journalists) would be allowed into the hall to hear what was going on.  Secondly, the waters would be muddied by starting the announcement with a long, meandering discussion about unrelated and essentially irrelevant complaints that members had raised about the voting process.  In retrospect, these were just the totally routine niggles that would occur during any election process, but the hope was that talking about them in so much depth would plant the misleading notion in members' heads that these elections were unusually troubled and contentious, and would soften people up to accept the otherwise ridiculous claim that Mr Salmond had to overturn the election results because people had been saying things he didn't like on chat rooms.  It was a reasonably effective tactic, albeit a very cynical one.

I have managed to obtain an audio recording of most of Mr Salmond's "secret speech" and I have transcribed it below.  There are a few words missing from both the start and the finish, but this is the meat of what he said -

"...of complaints surfacing about the conduct of the office bearer elections, these were in a variety of chat rooms that the party wishes to use, but they also surfaced in the NEC chat group and among NEC members.  I wanted to examine this to establish for myself whether there was a technical issue, and what the quantity of that technical issue might be, to satisfy myself of the integrity of the election process.  However, during yesterday, there was widespread questioning of the ballot, and that included in a WhatsApp message [from] one of the candidates for office to another candidate for office.  You may wonder why I know that - eh, they put it on the wrong WhatsApp group.  There was also a letter in from Aberdeenshire LACU group which [word unclear] the interest because I am a member of Aberdeenshire LACU.  So I took it on myself to investigate, and this is what I've got to report to you.  

In total, there were fifteen complaints, and remember we're talking here about an electorate of many thousands, there were fifteen complaints of people who couldn't vote because their link wasn't working.  We think we know the technical reason for that, it's about transfer of our membership [word unclear] on the electorate.  There were a number of complaints, we have four but I think there were probably more than that, about the review section of the voting - not being able to change your vote. It says you're able to review the vote, some people interpreted that as you're able to change the vote.  No.  Once you put your paper in the ballot box, ye cannae get it back oot again.  Right?  So review just means you can check how you voted and how you voted, but I do accept that is a...that could cause some misunderstanding.  

There was one complaint, a person didn't receive a vote because of using a shared email address.  This is another technical issue we've got to deal with.  As you'll understand, I mean I can't imagine using the same email address as Mrs Salmond, that would cause us both great consternation, but some people do with their partners or with their spouses.  And of course our systems only allow to go to one email, once you vote once, and therefore somebody in that position has to request another ballot paper.

There were two complaints that the vote had actually been actively compromised, and there were six demands for a re-run of the ballot, which were articulately made.  Significantly, however, none of the people who demanded a re-run of the ballot had personal experience of the difficulties they thought were arising.  Now, because one complaint had come from Aberdeenshire LACU, and from the Secretary of Aberdeenshire LACU, a woman who I hold in the highest regard, I made it my business to investigate the two members who made the complaint.  The first of these, a lady contacted to complain, but when contacted by headquarters transpired she had no issues herself, but had heard there were issues on a chat group and therefore thought she'd complain.  The second lady said 'I provisionally completed my voting records a couple of weeks ago but did not complete the process 'til last night, but it appears to have been completed' - yes, that's because you can only vote once, and once you vote, that's it.

Now, folks, if this had just been it, and that had been all there was to it, given the low level of technical problems in a huge electorate, then I would have said I am satisfied, this is OK, let's go on.  However, it's not something that comes up in isolation, I'm afraid.  Two weeks ago, I was sent this [displays prop], rather old-fashioned way, through the post.  It's a list of I think three, perhaps four, chat groups, WhatsApp groups circulating in the party at the present moment.  In this dossier, let's call it that, a black dossier, there are attacks from party members on candidates standing for election, there are attacks on my family, there are attacks on headquarters staff, attacks on other office bearers, and plans to disrupt the proceedings of this conference.  Which apparently according to the note, would be difficult for the party but all worthwhile in the end.  In fact the only person in this lot who isn't attacked is me.  I seem to be invulnerable from chat group attack. 

Now, the point I'm going to make to you is this.  The elections and the conduct of elections have to be fair, and they have to be seen to be fair, and they have to be believed by all those participating in the elections.  That is absolutely essential.  And before, during and afterwards, I will not accept questioning of the conduct of the elections on chat groups, and suggestions of improper behaviour by the party staff or anyone else for that matter.  Therefore, it's my decision, my decision after consultation with the General Secretary, that I'm going to suspend the office bearer elections.  We're going to re-run them in five weeks' time at National Council in early December in Aberdeen.  It'll be exactly the same party electorate, as I'll freeze the electorate as it is now. The National Executive elections will be run from the National Council as well, again with the people who've registered for this conference, so the electorate will remain the same."

Unsurprisingly given Mr Salmond's determination to keep the above comments secret, it turned out that they were factually inaccurate or misleading in several respects.  Most importantly, the "dossier" he used as a physical prop was not real, and he later admitted that himself.  An Alba member quite legitimately submitted a subject access request to see if he was in the dossier, and the leadership reacted with blind panic.  Mr Salmond sent an extraordinarily angry email in reply, and explicitly stated twice that no dossier existed, directly contradicting what he had said in his secret speech.  These are the relevant quotes from the email - 

"So let us now be absolutely clear.

There is no 'dossier' and never has been. As I explained to Conference I was copied into chat groups by concerned Party members whose contents indicated that up to a dozen people prominent in ALBA were clearly in flagrant breach of the Party’s code of conduct."

"The online pantomime of a procession of people proclaiming their 'innocence' because they get a nil subject access return from material which the Party does not hold from a dossier which does not exist could keep a team of welfare officers in guilt counselling working overtime for many years."

The dossier prop was a form of psychological warfare that Mr Salmond clearly hoped people would forget about five minutes later, but they did not, and let's be honest - he was caught out telling a direct fib.  The claim in his email and the claim in his speech are utterly irreconcilable with each other.  Perhaps he and McEleny hoped that making the speech in secret session would mean there would be no recordings with which the fib could be verifiably quoted - but that was very naive in this day and age. 

I have spoken to several people who were on the chat groups that Mr Salmond is believed to have been referring to, and they have all confirmed that no improper attacks on his family took place.   The reference to plans to "disrupt conference" seemingly referred mainly to discussions about raising legitimate points of order about whether certain NEC candidates had been properly nominated according to the rules - because the executive of Aberdeenshire LACU had apparently broken the rules by nominating candidates themselves, whereas the matter should have gone to a vote of the whole branch.  Yes, a couple of those candidates were members of Mr Salmond's family, but that doesn't change the fact that the planned points of order were perfectly proper and would in no way have 'disrupted' conference.  And on no planet would they even have begun to justify the overturning of the results of a properly-conducted election. (Note: the office bearer elections were separate from the election for ordinary NEC members, and therefore couldn't be affected by whether the planned points of order were upheld or rejected.)

Of course simply nullifying the results and re-running the elections were not sufficient to stop Ms Findlay and Ms Bijster from being re-elected, because they could stand again and would still have had the advantage of incumbency they started with.  But that's where the leadership's second abuse of power came into play.  By all accounts, wholly improper pressure was placed upon Denise Findlay to 'voluntarily' withdraw her candidacy, on the basis that the leader had to be able to work in harmony with 'his' office bearers.  Now come on.  If the leader has an effective veto on who can be office bearers, what the hell is the point of those positions being elected in the first place?  If Mr Salmond saw the NEC as a sort of "Cabinet" with himself as "First Minister", why did he not drop the pretence and make it an appointed body?

Leigh Wilson also withdrew from the re-run of the Organisation Convener election for his own reasons.  The rumour is that he worked out that he had been used by the leadership to try to bring down Ms Findlay, and that to his immense credit he wanted no more to do with such a sordid process.  Rob Thompson was elected instead, which apparently the leadership were happy enough with - all that really mattered to them was ousting Ms Findlay.

Jacqui Bijster apparently withdrew from her own race before the pressure needed to be applied, but she very specifically only withdrew from the Membership Convener election and did not withdraw from the election for Ordinary Members of the NEC.  McEleny performed his usual stunt of pretending to have misunderstood her message, and removed her from the list of Ordinary Member candidates as well - an intentional and malicious act of election-rigging that should have resulted in his immediate resignation as General Secretary.  (Just one of so many acts of malpractice that he should have resigned over long before now.)

Beyond that disgraceful incident, what is the overall picture here?  A leadership breaking the rules to nullify and hush up the results of a properly-conducted election simply because the "wrong" people had won, and then making very sure by improper means that those "wrong" people weren't even candidates in the re-run of the vote. That means the people who were validly elected in the original ballot were replaced by people they had soundly defeated in a fair process.  Those are Putin-style practices on the part of the Alba leadership, and yes, they entirely justify the term "election-rigging".  Incidentally, in the re-run of the Membership Support Convener election, I narrowly topped the poll on first preference votes (probably because many of Ms Bijster's supporters had switched to me in her absence) and was defeated by Mr Jack by a margin of just 50.5% to 49.5% after Mr Fallon was eliminated and his votes were redistributed according to second preferences.  A number of senior people I've spoken to have called into question whether that result passes the smell test.  I know of absolutely no evidence that the numbers were falsified in any way, but one thing that does seem clear is that the leadership were able to monitor the progress of the vote in real time, and if Mr Jack had needed a handful of extra votes from down the sofa, they would have been able to find them for him by making some urgent phone calls.  By contrast, I was flying completely blind and had no idea that the vote was so close.  That in itself arguably made the election unfair.

The fiddling of the NEC elections was if anything even more extreme.  Unlike office bearer elections, ordinary NEC members are only elected by the small minority of Alba members who pay to purchase a delegate pass for conference - and there is no requirement for the holders of the delegate passes to actually attend conference in person.  This makes it a "pay per vote" system that is wide open to abuse, because the wealthy supporters of specific candidates can just buy up conference passes in bulk.  All the indications are that the little-known Abdul Majid topped the male-only ballot by such an unrealistically massive margin that if the results had been published it would have been blindingly obvious what had happened.  So, yet again, a cynical decision was taken to hush the results up, with only the names of the successful candidates being published.  Candidates were allowed to see partial results that applied to themselves, but even these had inconsistencies in them.  The best-known inconsistency relates to the stage of the count at which Christina Hendry was elected.

Comically, McEleny and co totally contradicted themselves with the "reasons" they came up with for keeping the results secret.  The utterly risible excuse that they started out with was that candidates who received zero votes had to be protected from embarrassment, because they might stand for parliament in future!  That later morphed into the nutty claim that election results were personal data belonging to the candidates, and couldn't be legally published without their permission - which plainly made no sense, because election results had been published in previous years without candidates' permission.  During my time in 2024 as an elected member of the Constitution Review Group, I challenged Daniel Jack on who had actually refused permission for their data to be published.  He rather pompously batted away the question by telling me to ask the people I was so close to who had already left the party (I felt like he was hinting at Alan Harris) because that's where the problem had come from.  I have since been assured that is not true, and that Mr Harris and others of like mind had played no part in blocking publication.  If anyone had genuinely withheld permission, it must have been a leadership-loyalist candidate and it must have been done as a wrecking tactic to spare blushes.  

Incidentally, everyone I have spoken to has said that Abdul Majid is basically a nice enough guy with no real political ambitions for himself.  He seems to have been an almost accidental beneficiary of a vote-buying strategy intended to benefit someone else - with by far the most popular theory being that Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh needed to lock down first place in the female-only ballot to justify her ongoing role as the appointed Party Chair.

There's a deeply squalid little postscript to this.  The whistleblower Denise Somerville uncovered what may have been evidence of how the vote-buying-in-bulk strategy was implemented, with a large number of new international members being quietly added to Alba's "HQ branch" where few people would know of their existence.  McEleny flew into a rage and abused the disciplinary process to get Ms Somerville suspended for six months as an act of revenge, and as a deterrent to any other Alba member who might be tempted to speak out about the vote-rigging.  Even more appallingly, McEleny got Colin Alexander expelled from the party for writing this wholly reasonable guest post on the Iain Lawson blog which raised legitimate questions about the conduct of the elections.  More about that in a jaw-dropping future installment of "THE ALBA FILES".  Stay tuned.

*  *  *

I launched the Scot Goes Pop fundraiser for 2025 at the weekend, and so far the running total stands at £461, meaning that 7% of the target of £6800 has been raised.  If you'd like to help Scot Goes Pop continue with poll analysis and truly independent political commentary for another year, donations are welcome HERE.  Direct Paypal donations can also be made - my Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Sunday, January 26, 2025

Launch of the Scot Goes Pop Fundraiser 2025


We've now been in 2025 for three-and-a-half weeks, so it's long past time to put the 2024 fundraiser out of its misery - although it did actually come a lot, lot closer to hitting its target figure than seemed likely in the early part of the year.  Thank you so much to everyone who donated throughout 2024.  Scot Goes Pop's annual crowdfunding, which eight or ten years ago tended to take around a week or two to complete, is now like painting the Forth Bridge - it's a year-round task involving constant reminders that I often fear will bore people to tears, plus occasional 'emergency booster' posts when things look particularly ropey.  But the good news is that even though we're doing it the hard way these days, it is actually working and just about generating enough funds to keep Scot Goes Pop afloat.  So there's no reason why 2025 should be any different, as long as everyone is patient enough to bear with me as I constantly plug the fundraiser at the bottom of blogposts for potentially months to come!

I know there are at least three or four of you who were generous enough to make more than one donation within the last three months, so if you're one of those people please just ignore this 2025 launch.  There'll be plenty more opportunities in the months to come, believe me!

So what will you be getting if the 2025 fundraiser is successful?  Above all else, of course, there'll be detailed poll analysis of both Scottish and Britain-wide polls.  Although there aren't any major elections scheduled for 2025, it's going to be a pivotal polling year nonetheless.  If we're fortunate and the current trajectory continues, the SNP could establish an ongoing dominant Holyrood poll lead as the May 2026 election nears, which would put the independence movement on course for a quick and dramatic comeback after the major setback of last July.  In spite of all the negativity surrounding the independence cause at present, there are objective reasons to be excited and optimistic, and I hope to be able to cover that story of recovery and renewal.  And across the UK, the case for Scottish independence may be about to be made more powerfully than ever before if Reform UK move into a consistent polling lead.

In an ideal world, I'd also like to commission another Scot Goes Pop poll this year from a reputable BPC-affiliated polling firm, asking the questions that unionist media clients would never dream of asking in a million years.  I haven't forgotten that around twelve months ago, I raised some funds towards a poll - however, that fundraiser fell light-years short of its target figure and left the project in no-man's-land.  Although the first priority for the new fundraiser has to be to keep the blog going, if we do actually hit the full target figure I will aim to commission a poll, although it may have to be a bit more modest in scale than the ones I've commissioned in the past.  

In 2021-22, Scot Goes Pop ran regular podcasts, and even if I do say so myself, I think some of them were really good. Among others, I interviewed Tim Rideout, Alex Salmond, Chris McEleny (yes, really!), Yvonne Ridley (yes, really, and it happened twice!) and Len Pennie, who has since moved even further up in the world and is now a Radio Scotland presenter.  I hope to return to doing podcasts this year, although I can't make any promises because it depends on time constraints, and also on whether I can find potential guests who are willing to take part.

And last but not least, Scot Goes Pop will always provide truly independent political commentary.  Until a few weeks ago, I was a member of the Alba Party, and I've now returned to being a member of the SNP, but no matter which party I've been in at any given time, you've always been able to trust me to call things exactly the way I see them.  It has to be said that during my time in Alba, I was sometimes put under considerable pressure to use Scot Goes Pop to pump out Alba propaganda, but I just totally ignored that pressure and carried on exactly as before.  

As ever, I'll just point out that if everyone who reads this blog in an average week chipped in a pound or two, the fundraiser target would be hit in the blink of an eye.  Of course the world doesn't work that way, but it's a neat way of illustrating that small donations are very valuable, just as much as the larger donations are.  And if you're unable to donate but are able to share the fundraiser on social media, that's also extremely helpful.

Moderation note: As long-term readers will recall, fundraiser posts always bring the trolls out like no other, so to give myself some peace and quiet I'm going to switch pre-moderation back on for a day or two.  But rest assured that will only be temporary, and normal service will shortly be resumed.


If you'd prefer to donate direct by Paypal, that's fine, and in some ways that's a better method because processing fees can be eliminated altogether depending on which option you select from the menu.  My Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

I know a small number of you prefer direct bank transfer.  If you'd like to donate that way, please message me via my contact email address and I'll supply you with the necessary details.  My contact email address is different from my Paypal address, and can be found in the sidebar of this blog (desktop version of the site only), or on my Twitter profile.

ALBA CLUEDO: So who *is* the "disgruntled senior Alba employee" who is so desperate to stop Kenny MacAskill that he was willing to *injure the party* (McEleny's favourite expulsion offence) by leaking emails to the Sunday Mail showing MacAskill criticising Alex Salmond?

I wasn't expecting part 5 of "THE ALBA FILES" to appear in the Sunday Mail, but here it is in all its glory. The newspaper has published lengthy extracts from emails (an interesting precedent) in which Kenny MacAskill criticises Alex Salmond for diverting party funds into his Edinburgh Fringe show, and in protest tenders his resignation as convener of Alba's Finance & Audit Committee (Mr Salmond later persuaded him to withdraw the resignation).  The purpose of the leak is clearly to try to undermine the effect of Mr Salmond's widow, sister and niece all backing Mr MacAskill for the leadership, and thus choosing to spurn Ash Regan - who is believed to be closely linked to Chris McEleny.

A "senior party figure with knowledge of MacAskill's complaint", who is plainly the leaker, is quoted as saying Mr Salmond was "completely taken aback by Kenny’s behaviour...Alex no longer trusted Kenny after feeling so betrayed...He was deflated by the unfounded accusations....The reality is that even though he had managed to talk Kenny down from his inexplicable frenzy, Alex no longer trusted him and from then on – although he put on a brave face for the wider party – he did not forget and there had not been a close relationship since then..."

I mean, by God this guy is trying his best, but his efforts must be doomed to failure.  Very few Alba members are going to believe that Mr Salmond's own widow, sister and niece would be unaware of Mr Salmond expressing such bitterness and distrust towards Mr MacAskill.  He was not exactly the sort to bottle things up.  Instead, the Salmond family all seem entirely satisfied that he would have wanted Mr MacAskill to succeed him.

So who could this apparently rather desperate leaker be?  The MacAskill camp seem to know exactly who he is, and describe him as a "disgruntled employee". We know from the Sunday Mail's description that he is "senior" within the party.  How many party employees could really be considered "senior"?  Chris McEleny himself could possibly fit that description as General Secretary.  Who else could?  I can't think of anyone off the top of my head.

The leaker would also have needed access to the emails, and one person who would obviously have access to them is the person Mr MacAskill sent them to.  Given that he seemingly didn't send them to Mr Salmond, and given that they contained his resignation, it seems overwhelmingly likely that he sent them to either the General Secretary (Chris McEleny) or the Party Chair (Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh).  But the General Secretary is a party employee, and the Chair is not.  Hmmmmmmmm.

And which Alba employees are really "disgruntled" anyway?  Remember that Kenny MacAskill recently sent out an email to Alba members pre-announcing the abolition of the posts of General Secretary and Deputy General Secretary, which are currently held by Chris McEleny and Corri Wilson respectively.  Mr McEleny did give the impression of being somewhat disgruntled about that (understandable given that he's losing his salary), because he later sent out his own very lengthy email to members trying to reframe his departure as a noble "resignation", without even acknowledging that his position was being abolished - suggesting that he refused to accept the validity of Mr MacAskill's decision.

The "disgruntled employee" would of course also need to have been motivated to commit the leak by having a vested interest in Mr MacAskill losing the leadership election.  We know that Chris McEleny had bet the house by allying himself to Ash Regan before the Salmond family ruined everything for him by backing Kenny MacAskill.

So who COULD this leaker be?  It's quite the mystery, isn't it.  I must say I'm stumped.  One thing is clear, though - whoever it is must surely be facing expulsion, because they have caused tremendous injury to the party in the eyes of the public, probably more injury than anyone else has ever caused in the party's four-year history.  And "causing injury to Alba in the eyes of the public" is Chris McEleny's all-purpose reason for seeking the expulsion of members.  Doubtless this shocking case will be no different.  Let us pray this awful leaker, this senior disgruntled employee, is hunted down and punished mercilessly.

*   *   * 

Coming up in future installments of "THE ALBA FILES"...

* How Chris McEleny abused his powers to get an Alba member expelled for making a joke about him on Twitter

* Tasmina And The Written Word

* The rigging of the 2023 Alba internal elections

...plus much, much more.  Stay tuned.