A pro-independence blog by James Kelly - one of Scotland's three most-read political blogs.
Friday, April 12, 2024
A red letter day as Neil MacKay may not be completely wrong about absolutely everything
Wednesday, April 10, 2024
Bombshell Redfield & Wilton poll shows a clear majority for independence, but the SNP slip to second place in YouGov poll, posing the question for SNP members: is factional Humza rule REALLY worth losing the general election for?
Friday, April 5, 2024
Two queries
Someone claimed on the previous thread that there was a new poll out today showing the SNP on 49 seats. That seemed highly unlikely, and having checked I couldn't see anything. I then made five or six attempts to respond to the comment by asking if people were just inventing numbers at this point in the hope that no-one would bother checking. But I couldn't get my comment published. I don't know if the bug is at my end or if it's affecting everyone. I was going to ask people to let me know if they were having the same problem, but of course if they are, it would be difficult to tell me! You could always email me. And if anyone has seen this mysterious poll, please let me know about that too.
Wednesday, April 3, 2024
YouGov MRP poll shows SNP on course to lose almost thirty seats, piling pressure on Yousaf to go, or to end factional rule, or to change strategy on independence
Tuesday, April 2, 2024
Fresh despair for Labour as Anas Sarwar finishes third behind Humza Yousaf *and Douglas Ross* in a "who would be the best First Minister" poll
It's more than a touch ironic that the closest thing Humza Yousaf has had to a good personal showing in an opinion poll has just arrived courtesy of a poll commissioned by the Alba Party. The reason that Alba have decided to release the numbers is presumably that they're also reasonably good for Alex Salmond.
Monday, April 1, 2024
Let's get the awkwardness out of the way - I have a new title
Not everything in life makes sense, and one example is that Scottish political bloggers seem to be judged by their clerical titles, or lack thereof. Stuart Campbell has styled himself a "Reverend" since entering the fray a decade ago, and although he's always insisted that's a genuine title, he's nevertheless been coy about how he acquired it. A Google search suggests the answer may be the "Universal Life Church", which bills itself as "the world's leading online church" (whatever that means), and which allows anyone to be ordained as a priest within minutes simply by filling in a form. No fee is even required.
The suggestion that Campbell's title comes from this rather dubious source was made several years ago by a well-known Brit Nat troublemaker. But I can't find anything that contradicts it, and it has the ring of truth to it, because it's hard to think of any other religious denomination that wouldn't have cast Campbell out of the priesthood long before now due to his repeated foul-mouthed tirades. The Universal Life Church has no standing whatever in the UK, but it does have limited recognition in the US, and there are a few US states that for some reason even recognise marriages conducted by its "Reverends". So if you want to live in wedded bliss but only in Texas or South Carolina, Stu is your man.
Naturally I couldn't allow myself to be outdone by this, so I had a look to see if the Universal Life Church also offer titles that outrank a Reverend, such as Bishop, Cardinal or Pope. I couldn't see any sign that they do, so I looked elsewhere. There actually are plenty of "online churches" out there that offer an array of ranks, but most of them have no legal standing anywhere in the world. What I was looking for was a church that allows its clergy to officiate at legally recognised weddings, even if only within a very limited jurisdiction.
As is often the case in situations like this, the answer was to be found in the South Pacific. There is a small church, consisting of little more than a webpage, called the Pirate Mercator Communion. It nominally worships the sea, and it seems to have a cosy financial arrangement with the government of the Cook Islands. Anyone it ordains can indeed conduct weddings, but only in the Cook Islands. Crucially it also allows anyone to become a Bishop for a nominal fee of 17 New Zealand dollars.
Reader, the deed is already done. On Wednesday, I was ordained as a priest (by email) and on Thursday I was consecrated as a Bishop (by Zoom call, but it only took three minutes). The fantastic thing is that I was able to select my own Bishopric, and although most of Scotland had already been nabbed, I was able to put together a distinctly squiggly looking and non-contiguous Bishopric consisting of Speyside, Tranent, Yetts o' Muckhart, Milngavie and approximately five-eighths of Benbecula.
I am advised that the correct form of address for a Bishop is "Your Excellency" or "Your Grace". Suck it up, Stu.
Sunday, March 31, 2024
Astounding Survation mega-poll suggests the SNP will win more than two-thirds of Scottish seats - and retain outright third place in the House of Commons
Happy Hate Crime Eve, everyone. (And it's Easter too, apparently.) I'll just very quickly give you the MRP seats projection from Survation's new mega-poll for the Sunday Times -
Saturday, March 30, 2024
The Hate Crime Act: my verdict
A few people have been asking (perhaps with a touch of mischief in mind) for my views on the Hate Crime Act, which is less than thirty hours from entering into force. Not for the first time, I find myself somewhere in between the two extremes. I certainly rolled my eyes to the heavens when I saw that Stuart Campbell had announced that he's temporarily shutting Wings Over Scotland down while he supposedly seeks urgent legal advice (which he's crowdfunded for, naturally) on whether it's safe to put the site back up. This is a classic exercise in tiresome Campbell theatrics to try to make it look as if SNP-run Scotland has turned into East Germany overnight, and if anyone is gullible enough to think the outcome will be anything other than Wings Over Scotland reappearing next week, possibly as early as Monday lunchtime, then, well, I've got a bridge to sell you. I dare say he will genuinely spend the crowdfunded cash on legal advice, incidentally, but as with his stunt legal action against Kezia Dugdale, there are plenty of other ways in which independence supporters could be getting far better value for money. I confidently predict that the outcome of this legal advice will be exactly what Campbell already knows from common sense, ie. that of course he can continue publishing a political website, but if he wants to be on the safe side he could remove certain controversial posts and stay off certain topics in the future. There you go, I've just saved you £12,000.
On the other extreme, though, there are people talking and writing as if support for the Hate Crime Act is somehow an extension of support for independence, simply because it was passed by the SNP and the Greens. That's a very dangerous road to go down, because anyone passionately opposed to the law may take the cue and decide there's no place for them anymore in the independence movement. As has been pointed out in many quarters, the problem is not that the Act does not have adequate safeguards against unjust convictions, it's that there aren't adequate safeguards against unjust arrests. There's not much comfort in being eventually acquitted if you've already been locked up, had your possessions seized and gone through the unimaginable stress of a prosecution.
I suppose I would sum up my view as this: not only is it wrong in principle to crack down on freedom of speech, it's also incredibly annoying that the SNP government has devoted so much time and energy to a bad law that can only divide the independence movement. If they hadn't done it, we could at last be moving on from the divisions of the trans issue, but there's not much chance of that now.