Pro-independence parties on course to win an astonishing 62% of seats in the next Scottish Parliament, says sumptuous Ipsos poll

Scottish Parliament constituency ballot (Ipsos, 26th-31st March 2026):

SNP 39%

Reform UK 15%

Labour 15%

Conservatives 11%

Liberal Democrats 10%

Greens 7%

Scottish Parliament regional list ballot:

SNP 29%

Greens 16%

Reform UK 16%

Labour 15%

Conservatives 13%

Liberal Democrats 9%

Seats projection:

SNP 63

Greens 17

Reform UK 15

Labour 14

Conservatives 12

Liberal Democrats 8

I'll update this post with full commentary when I have more time later this afternoon or this evening, but while I'm thinking of it, just one point - does anyone know whether STV are still commissioning these Ipsos polls?  At some point a few months ago they stopped using the words "exclusive poll commissioned by STV", so I'm starting to wonder if Ipsos are now self-funding them, but are continuing an informal relationship with STV as a convenient way of promoting the results.