Friday, October 6, 2017

Hammerblow for besieged Ruth Davidson as NINTH subsample in a row puts the SNP ahead - with the Tories in THIRD place

Today brings word of the first Britain-wide voting intention poll for over a week.  The YouGov poll actually shows a minor decrease in the Labour lead in spite of Theresa May's comical mishaps during her conference speech.  Of most interest to us are the Scottish subsample figures, which show: SNP 35%, Labour 34%, Conservatives 21%, Liberal Democrats 6%, UKIP 3%.

YouGov appear to be the only firm that weights its Scottish subsamples separately, although of course with such a small sample size the margin of error is still enormous.  So what matters is not so much the size of the SNP lead, but the impressive consistency of the fact that this is the ninth subsample in a row across all firms that have shown the SNP ahead.  What a contrast to the summer months, when a substantial minority of subsamples were putting Labour ahead, and one or two even had the Tories in front.

That said, it's not implausible that the SNP lead might have slipped a little over the last couple of weeks due to the relentless focus on Labour and the Tories during the UK party conference season.  Any effect of that sort ought to be only temporary.

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Have you joined Scot Goes Pop's new Facebook discussion group yet?  It's called Scottish Independence Required By Next Tuesday, and it's already attracted several hundred members in its first 24 hours.  You can join HERE.

10 comments:

  1. Subtle, as a flying mallet. When will, the Tories learn?

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  2. Wee Knickerless cleary at a loss over Brexit and a Jock referendum has to interfere in Spanish politics. Meanwhile the poor are dying on our Scottish streets and she blaims the Tories...

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    1. As Welfare is still a reserved matter the blame does sit firmly with the Tories. You're only demonstrating sheer ignorance

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    2. GWC2 is demonstrating pure stupidity,he has access to the knowledge but doesn't bother to think.What can we expect from those of his ilk.

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  3. And on cue the latest incarnation of the GWC troll slams another dead cat on the table.

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    1. Save the Cat and slam dead nat sis on the table. What scum pretenders you are.

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    2. Stench of this.

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  4. Police Scotland see the reference by a non Scots calling Scots Jock in a derogatory tone as being racist "Race Discrimination Act 2010 regards discrimination by non Scots against Nationality/National Origin and culture. Police Scotland investigate reports of racism even when they think they can hide under cowardly names and behind their computer/phone like GWC2. I know the fact from the Police themselves when they came out to investigate racist comments. If Police Scotland deem them as racist the person isn't just warned, they are actually charged. I'm sure you must have GWC2's IP address James. It is time more Scots actually start acting on the law and difference in Police Scotland in how they deal with racists from another part of UK.

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    1. Go fot it Elaine S or are you just a Jock blawhard. You nat sis are on the run and desperate. Raise a fund please... Go on go on go on have a sandwich sister Elaine.

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    2. State of this.

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