Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Optimism grows that John Swinney will keep his promise to give the people of Scotland a vote on independence

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Catch up with last Wednesday's critically-acclaimed blogpost: "S*** just got real, lads. The famously always wrong blogger "Stew", who said there was "zero chance, barring nuclear war or an alien invasion" of the Holyrood election producing a pro-indy majority, and who said betting on Angus Robertson to win Edinburgh Central was "free money", has now said there is "NO chance" of victory in a 2029 de facto referendum. Looks like it's ON."

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5 comments:

  1. I think he covets McTernan’s title of worst political pundit ever. If McTernan says yes, the answer is no. Stewey boy is getting close to that level of bubble environment idiocy.

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    1. "Hold my beer" says Stephen Dailey.

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  2. My idea is based on the fact that the Good Friday Agreement gives Northern Ireland the entitlement to request a referendum on unification every seven years. The Secretary of State for Northern Ireland has the power to recommend such a referendum if he/she considers that the prevailing circumstances indicate that a referendum is needed. That then begs the question as to what criteria will be applied by the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to enable he or she to make such a decision. If it is based on consideration of the democratic situation at the time then that can only be determined by the results of an election when presumably the parties which would support such a referendum have convincingly won that election. In Scotland we have just had an election where the parties that want a referendum did win a convincing majority. We know that Westminster don't intend to respect that democratic outcome so we've got to look at another method to obtain a referendum based on a clear democratic outcome. The Scottish Government cannot legally deliver a direct independence referendum but there is nothing to prevent it from actually holding a referendum to ask the Scottish people if they want to have an independence referendum. If there was a majority from such a referendum allied with the current Parliamentary majority for one then I think that Westminster could no longer hold the line against us having an independence referendum.

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  3. Vladimir Putin has just launched his own line of crocheted ponchos.

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  4. An interesting cabinet. Gilruth was useless as education, but teaching is way different from when he was a teacher and I don't think she could understand the problems - teachers want to teach not be social workers and nappy changers, or punched in the stomach or have chairs thrown at them. But strangely enough I think she might thrive as finance and dfm. She's strong.

    Swinney I think was recognised as a threat to Sturgeon and so given the poison brief of education to, not surprisingly, fail in it. Swinney in education? That'd be like me as a brian surgeon. But McAllan could very well thrive in it, if she listens enough.

    Swinney keeps Independence for himself - quite right, it's his first priority with, perhaps, and very strangely, Greer keeping Swinney's feet to the fire over day one Section 30 development motion.

    Previously in Peyton Place, my MSP Kenneth Gibson was voted in as Presiding Officer, a very sound choice as I've read about him taking no nonsense from the ScotGov in the finance committee. He's strong, no doubt of it. And the strange thing is Independence might need all his strength if the Parliament of Scotland is to exert its full electorate given authority.

    We may at last be living in interesting times again, after a 12 year break.

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