But the Tories were second in Aberdeen North last time. And then there's Perth and Kinross-shire: Labour tell me to vote tactically for them, but then that lovely Stephen Daisley tells me only the Tories can win. I'm so confused, David. WHAT DO I DO WITH MY PRO-UK TACTICAL VOTE? https://t.co/RYXPD4a1b0
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) July 2, 2024
Hi James, I'm the #ScottishLabour candidate for #AberdeenNorth. I've posted a recent poll tracker from the Financial Times below - it's a two horse race between the SNP and Labour here. The Conservatives and LibDems are too far behind. pic.twitter.com/8HO6fwBXdo
— Councillor Lynn Thomson (@LTLabour) July 2, 2024
Thanks Lynn, but I've checked Wikipedia, and it says the Tories were 2500 votes ahead of Labour in 2019. Doesn't that mean Aberdeen North is a two-horse race between the SNP and the Tories? It's so confusing, people could accidentally HELP the SNP with their pro-UK tactical vote.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) July 2, 2024
Hi James, Aberdeen North was Labour from 1935 until 2015. We were not doing well in 2019 so our vote was lower than usual. We've spoken to thousands of people since the start of this year and what we're finding on the doorstep reflects the FT tracker.
— Councillor Lynn Thomson (@LTLabour) July 2, 2024
That's interesting but I've heard from the Tories that they're also getting a great response on the Aberdeen North doorstep and that they may be the choice for the discerning pro-UK tactical voter. So confusing.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) July 2, 2024
UPDATE: A few hours later, the Tory candidate for Aberdeen North turned up and joined in the chat too. Lesson: if you want to grab the attention of our imperial masters, just mention the words "pro-UK tactical voting" to them. Works every time. The Lib Dem will be along shortly.
Yes, lend me your vote, & you get the added bonus of a local candidate focused on your priorities. Lived in North for 20 years & ready to serve! 🗳️🇬🇧
— Gillian Tebberen 🇬🇧 (@gilltebberen4N) July 2, 2024
* * *
I've written three more constituency profiles for The National - Orkney & Shetland, Paisley & Renfrewshire North and Paisley & Renfrewshire South.
All joking aside, James, it looks like you may be right that the Tories are the only hope of defeating the SNP in Aberdeen North. Don't let Kirsty Blackman in through the back door by voting Labour.
ReplyDeleteIf the answer is voting Tory then it was a bloody stupid question.
DeleteDon't do it, you have to live with yourself afterwards. Just say No to Conservatives...M'Kay.
This seat is a guaranteed SNP because of the Unionist vote split. I would suggest Unionists get behind Labour and give them a solid second place showing to serve as a springboard and make it more clear cut for the next WM election.
ReplyDeleteIncidentally, Kirsty Blackman is as thick as mince and lot or more worthy SNP MPs will lose their seats while she is guaranteed to hold on.
For the life of me, why would any Labour voter tactically vote Tory to keep the SNP out?
ReplyDeleteProbably because a big Labour win is all but guaranteed in the GE, and one Tory seat isn’t going to make a jot of difference, and they’re as sick fed up of the SNP as they are the Tories.
DeleteKC strikes again @ 6.49pm.
DeleteWhy?
DeleteBecause for Labour Tories the Great British union is the most important consideration. Just as it is for the Conservative Tories.
And next to no difference on policy and ideology.
Conservatives all the way to stop the SNP in Aberdeen North. Not even a contest. The Labour candidate says otherwise, but then she wouldn't, wouldn't she?
ReplyDeleteIn your dreams Dougie the linesman.
DeleteI would have thought that Conservative is probably the tactical vote here.
ReplyDeleteYeah, certainly looks like it. 2500 is a big gap.
DeleteSo glad I don’t live in Aberdeen North , there’s no way in hell I could vote for Blackman. She is the ultimate caricature of everything that’s gone wrong with the SNP. Absolute hateful character
ReplyDeleteLuckily I can hold my head high whilst voting for Graham Leadbitter in Moray West where I think he will win
Yes, if a unionist wants to vote tactically to ensure independence doesn't happen then they should vote for Blackman.
DeleteHate is a bad emotion. Control your impulses as a unionist
DeleteYou....sir... are not a supporter of Scottish Independence.
DeleteBlackman the blue haired shocker.
ReplyDeleteYoon
DeleteYes Blackman is incredibly stupid. She is the prime example of the daft wing that took over a good party. I left because of dimwits like her. But still better SNP than any unionist eejit who insist on having union Jack emoji. I detest that flag.
ReplyDeleteThe saltire is a third of the Union Jack.
DeleteDefinitely the worst bit
DeleteSome would say the turd of the Union Jack.
DeleteEspecially the Irish.
DeleteAnon@9:27,
DeleteSo sad and pathetic.
anon 729 sounds like ifs. Insulting britnat
DeleteSurvation MRP with SNP on just 10 seats. Based on an 11 point Labour lead in Scotland. They have their own data of course. But it seems out of step
ReplyDeletePretty grim I have to say.
DeleteHowever one small crumb of comfort, the SNP predicted to take 2 of the 6 Tory seats.
It is grim indeed.
DeleteHere's the forecast:
LAB 484
CON 64
LD 61
SNP 10
RFM 7
PC 3
GRN 3
Sample size was 34,558
That's actually at the lower end of my 8-15 seats prediction for the SNP.
I hope that it's wrong, especially since there seemed to be a wee up tick for the SNP in the regular polls and downward trend for Labour at UK level.
Hiya Tom Harris (still not over 2015).
DeleteIf Blackman were to lose I would put good money on her jumping on any available Labour bandwagon that has the correct blend of batshit crazy idealism and micro minority appeal. Independence is the thinnest of red lines for her.
ReplyDeleteGrin
ReplyDeleteAnon 9.06 an 9.17= fud
ReplyDeleteSwinney says he won’t campaign with Salmond. Not surprising as Salmond campaigns for independence and Swinney campaigns for a strong voice for
ReplyDeleteScotland and other such meaningless guff.
Salmonella is a busted flush.
ReplyDeleteI don't know what ALBA hope to achieve by having a leader who looks like a puff pastry but good luck to them.
ReplyDeleteApart from split the pro indy vote and potentially hand seats to unionist parties, they ain’t going to achieve anything.
DeleteAnon at 10:33 pm ... and what do you look like?
DeleteHave just printed off the “SNP wipe out” bingo card from Silvio Tattiesconnie on X” can’t wait to repost on Friday completely blank. Go SNP!
ReplyDelete