So a couple of 'quick notes' for you today, because I have two new articles on The National's website. First up is the constituency profile of Aberdeen Donside, which you can read HERE. I've also done some analysis of the Stonehaven MRP poll for the Times showing the SNP on course for an overall majority, which you can read HERE.
Incidentally, I can't remember previously being aware of Stonehaven, despite them enthusiastically billing themselves as "the most accurate pollster in the 2024 general election". I checked the British Polling Council's website, and they aren't listed as a member. I then double-checked with Grok, who to my surprise told me they are a BPC member. I asked for an explanation of the discrepancy, and Grok said it might be due to Stonehaven's acquisition of the BPC member Public First, ie. they might have decided Public First's membership was enough to cover both firms. All very confusing, and it leaves me a bit unsure as to whether Stonehaven are bound by BPC disclosure rules or not.
There's a bit of chaos going on at home at the moment, so I'm not sure whether I'll be able to make proper videos for a little while. (I know some of you will regard that as a great relief!). So it'll probably be either audio commentaries to tide things over, or a brief return to conventional blogging.
If Swinney reads this he will be asking his SPADS to tell him what he can do to get the vote down.
ReplyDeleteGive it a rest, ifs.
DeleteYou really are a sad wee numpty.
DeleteVery True. His London Wokist Masters will be giving him orders.
DeleteSNP alone majority isn’t happening.
ReplyDeleteFrom previous thread -
ReplyDelete'I don't even need to mention their 'names' on here, as we all know who they are.'
Enough said.
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10.15 Is the name anonymous?
DeleteDeeply worrying comments on WGD by two posters Cybernat and Dr Jim. One of them likens the list vote to an entirely different system. Neither of them seem aware of the division applied to SNP list votes depending upon constituency wins. No idea why WGD doesn’t correct them. Hopefully they are a tiny minority. If not we’re throwing away Indy list votes and list seats.
ReplyDeleteAnon 1025pm -we come on here and bleat. Text wgd direct or are you really just want to mix it. Don't answer that we know.
DeleteWho is it ‘deeply worrying’ to if SNP supporters vote SNP 1&2? Unionists? Or just fakes like you!!!
DeleteAnons at 11.08 and 1.42. Both incapable of constructing a sentence. Both ignorant of how the electoral system in Holyrood works. Explains so much. They make my point for me.
DeleteI totally agree with your assessment concerning the assumptions of the pollsters and I think that the findings of this poll should be ignored. All of the political parties contesting constituencies in this election will be asking for both votes and I don't see why there is such a big hullabaloo about the SNP doing the same. No assumptions should be made regarding how the constituency vote will go and the best way to get SNP MSPs into Holyrood is for the party to fight for every vote - constituency and list - that it can get.
ReplyDeleteI really do enjoy reading your blog posts
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