tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post8911622798900563774..comments2024-03-28T19:31:14.251+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Game-changing Ipsos-Mori poll suggests Scotland would vote for independence in second referendumJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger135125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-24937704708656872182015-09-09T13:05:09.679+01:002015-09-09T13:05:09.679+01:00Who cares about your beliefs Aldo, you're just...Who cares about your beliefs Aldo, you're just a troll, and not really a very annoying one at that, sorry. Your neediness comes through so clearly that it's almost embarrasing.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-15654903718008641572015-09-07T14:16:10.016+01:002015-09-07T14:16:10.016+01:00I've not been on this thread for a while, but ...I've not been on this thread for a while, but I would just like to make a few things clear:<br /><br />1) I am not anti EU. I will vote to stay in. I eat kippers for breakfast - I don't vote for them.<br /><br />2) The poll showing a Yes lead wasn't weighted by 2014 vote. It also has a very low numbers of undecided - 3%. It's usually double that - or more. <br /><br />I suspect those who believe we have reached a crossover point will be somewhat disappointed by polling in the next few months. Aldohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03385445471036440872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-69932686841708791232015-09-06T23:21:45.514+01:002015-09-06T23:21:45.514+01:00James had fun commenting on your blog. One thing i...James had fun commenting on your blog. One thing is clear your devotees do not believe in democracy I wonder if you do! Denying the right of the majority and the rights of minorities is a dangerous game and as we see civil war is an ugly ever present scenario when fundamentalist idiots prevail. Glasgow Working Classnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-8415317199056858302015-09-06T20:51:12.252+01:002015-09-06T20:51:12.252+01:00Yes. See above.Yes. See above.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55471145093662992942015-09-06T20:37:56.367+01:002015-09-06T20:37:56.367+01:00Has the game changed yet?Has the game changed yet?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-79628238986188641882015-09-06T13:25:32.915+01:002015-09-06T13:25:32.915+01:00A while back I did a best fit trend for all the p...A while back I did a best fit trend for all the poll data I could find. I anchored it on the referendum results. It predicted that on data going back 15 odd years that independence would become the majority opinion. The trend indicated a date of around the end of September but these things are vague by nature being biological. But the the trend is slow and steady as lava and seems to be as unstoppable. Just see how it continued despite every tactic last year. <br /><br />I think as it becomes a clearer majority the might accelerate and catch the last unionist by surprise causing them to make some nasty panic decision which could harm a lot of people. The quiet majority they think still exists is quietly dying of old age. Because that seems to be the basis of the change generational. A unionist generation being replaced by a younger one that has a settled will on independence in the future.Tamas Marcuishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07240661716287694320noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-46060227415056480392015-09-06T11:42:38.753+01:002015-09-06T11:42:38.753+01:00To be fair, I don't think I've ever seen a...To be fair, I don't think I've ever seen anybody predict a Corbyn bounce!Stoatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-53154253301919161262015-09-06T10:24:40.583+01:002015-09-06T10:24:40.583+01:00When will you dissappear troll. Have you not got w...When will you dissappear troll. Have you not got work to go to? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-91907726032647131082015-09-06T10:16:19.046+01:002015-09-06T10:16:19.046+01:00Go away troll Go away troll Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-30117972428833705282015-09-06T10:13:21.981+01:002015-09-06T10:13:21.981+01:00Salt and sauce!Salt and sauce!Edinburgh Working Classnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55404698502138338852015-09-06T10:07:47.696+01:002015-09-06T10:07:47.696+01:00Anon 3.24AM is right....let's enjoy...won'...Anon 3.24AM is right....let's enjoy...won't be long till he self destructs like Aldo.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-70896516744131204412015-09-06T09:34:24.348+01:002015-09-06T09:34:24.348+01:00I think Gwc is secretly Cathy Jameston.I think Gwc is secretly Cathy Jameston.November13https://www.blogger.com/profile/03249463580152897462noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-17846911473880610182015-09-06T08:38:20.073+01:002015-09-06T08:38:20.073+01:00Do you think the Glasgow WC is helping the unionis...Do you think the Glasgow WC is helping the unionist cause by calling independence supporters Nazis?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-515603470465605182015-09-06T03:24:17.872+01:002015-09-06T03:24:17.872+01:00James,this is the first time I have commented on y...James,this is the first time I have commented on your column and I must admit it is because of your resident troll,Glasgow Working Class. This guy is hilarious.His grammatical errors,punctuation,spelling and all-round massacre of the English language make him an almost National Treasure.I love this guy,please do not discourage him.Reading his mince makes my day.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-63550071591129055752015-09-06T00:08:32.113+01:002015-09-06T00:08:32.113+01:00How many Scots Nat sis would move to England or el...How many Scots Nat sis would move to England or elswhere in the event of Nazi lism. How many who voted for Nazi lism would admit to voting for it. Why do Nat sis want to hand power to Herman the German? What the F has happened to the Scots. Is the booze contaminated? Glasgow Working Classnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-5376221785289947672015-09-05T23:44:51.490+01:002015-09-05T23:44:51.490+01:00Westminster VI:
55% SNP, 6% Green, 15% Lab, 13% Co...Westminster VI:<br />55% SNP, 6% Green, 15% Lab, 13% Con<br /><br />On average, Tories still well ahead UK-wide and increasing their lead. No sign of any Corbyn bounce certainly!Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-43158505501002487472015-09-05T23:19:03.402+01:002015-09-05T23:19:03.402+01:00Survation EU referendum poll for The Mail on Sunda...Survation EU referendum poll for The Mail on Sunday:<br /><br />Stay: 49<br />Leave: 51<br /><br />Scottish subsample (83 people, for what it's worth):<br /><br />Stay: 53<br />Leave: 47Stoatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-91144619724853141292015-09-05T22:24:47.709+01:002015-09-05T22:24:47.709+01:00I wonder if the Bookies would be paying out on a Y...I wonder if the Bookies would be paying out on a Yes vote the day before a Referendum on this poll or a series of Yes polls. Didn't some of them pay out on a No vote a day before the last Referendum?<br /><br />It is just a poll and I still don't trust any of them. How many of them predicted a Tory majority at Brit GE? Health warnings apply especially if we get another Indy Referendum with some 800,000 postal votes cast. Perhaps Ipsos Mori didn't use vote recall for that reason as the Postal voters have vanished and they have trouble finding a lot of Naw voters?.Iain Morenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-63098005308780407472015-09-05T22:23:25.351+01:002015-09-05T22:23:25.351+01:00Another referendum will be a bonus for the Nat sis...Another referendum will be a bonus for the Nat sis. Another two years without policy discussion and indeed no discussion from them while they adopt failed Tory education policy. And wee King Jum Eck only likes the company of the faithful. Bring back the Enlightenment and get the Nat sis oot. SAVE SCOTLAND.<br />Glasgow Working Classnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-15034407996608576362015-09-05T22:19:04.680+01:002015-09-05T22:19:04.680+01:00"Colour me sceptical. I still can't see m..."Colour me sceptical. I still can't see much reason for a No voter to have turned into a Yes since the referendum. What do we know now that we didn't then?" says Keaton.<br /><br />See Pantone 300 above: "Cruel tory austerity, EVEL, attacks on disabled, trident renewal, New Labour and media attacks on Corbyn, EU referendum, bombing Syria, Abolishing welfare state, Peers and MPs raping and murdering children, stealth privatisation of NHS and other public services, TTIP, erosion of human rights, increased inequality, promotion of aristocracy as ruling elite, no new powers of any significance, treats Scotland like a colony." Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-5909404642255802552015-09-05T19:53:19.965+01:002015-09-05T19:53:19.965+01:00I think we may, over the next year or so, be witne...I think we may, over the next year or so, be witness to the Mother of all Buyer's Remorse. These new converts to YES will be the loudest voices screaming for IndyRef 2.Luiginoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-37912786131586482912015-09-05T18:17:42.113+01:002015-09-05T18:17:42.113+01:00The academic 'Scottish Referendum Study' a...The academic 'Scottish Referendum Study' also showed that the belief significant more devolution would come with a No shot up 10% after the vow. This was undoubtedly a factor in the last minute swing back to No. Of course it was all a lie; something everyone can see now.Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-88042182631316043752015-09-05T18:07:52.688+01:002015-09-05T18:07:52.688+01:00There's a common misconception that those '...There's a common misconception that those 'doing ok' voted No to protect that. However, that's not true; people in full time work and so 'doing ok' voted Yes. It was those more reliant on the welfare state that voted No. Now they are reaping that whirlwind sadly.<br /><br />The destruction of the welfare state by the Tories marks the end of all British things in Scotland; this process starting in 1979. All we are left with is the discredited BBC.Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-88353576185493218892015-09-05T18:03:16.079+01:002015-09-05T18:03:16.079+01:00No has been in decline since early 2013; this poll...No has been in decline since early 2013; this poll is just a natural progression of this rather than any sudden big swing. Steady No to Yes rather than any big jump.<br /><br />At the same time, DKs have been moving to Yes equally steadily. These have mainly come from the over 65's who had a large DK group. They seem to be catching up with the under 65's who back independence in majority and have done for some time.<br /><br />This is also our first post-budget poll. There is evidence that many of the new Yes are coming from C2DE groups, e.g. those getting some form of welfare.<br /><br />In the referendum, people in full time work voted Yes in majority. Those receiving some form of welfare, be they pensioners or those working part-time and getting tax credits, housing benefits...voted No (see MORI tables). They are now seeing these slashed, leaving them desperate. George destroying the union...Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-9496674083325709602015-09-05T17:20:57.217+01:002015-09-05T17:20:57.217+01:00Further cuts to the welfare state? No actual usefu...Further cuts to the welfare state? No actual useful powers for Scotland? Trident renewal? House of Lords expansion? Large Oil discoveries in the North Sea? Torys trying to kill our green industry? A skewed electricty market for Scottish producers? Shall I go on? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com