tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post7102109380052575620..comments2024-03-29T11:59:17.118+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Boost for SNP in Holyrood voting intention figures from YouGovJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-5374308522138921302014-03-28T11:51:56.392+00:002014-03-28T11:51:56.392+00:00The huge effort seems to have had only minimal imp...The huge effort seems to have had only minimal impact. In my mind this is an exceptionally good result at this stage of the referendum campaign and the lifetime of the current Parliament. I'm very heartened by it. Incidentally the winning candidate is the partner of the former councillor. Michaelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02872454975859620507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-64788648094701995642014-03-28T09:49:08.877+00:002014-03-28T09:49:08.877+00:00If you look at the hashtag for this bye-election t...If you look at the hashtag for this bye-election that I stumbled on when looking for the result, you will see the huge effort Labour made in this election. Mp's, MSP etc etc visitng the ward. #Kilmarnocknorth<br /><br />I didn't know there was a bye-election taking place.Marcianoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32199350176840226452014-03-28T07:10:21.542+00:002014-03-28T07:10:21.542+00:00Helen Coffey has a huge personal vote. She polled ...Helen Coffey has a huge personal vote. She polled around 1450 first prefs to the late councillor's 250 or so. Michaelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02872454975859620507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-74979531343682714202014-03-28T06:44:56.541+00:002014-03-28T06:44:56.541+00:00If Helen Coffey has a very strong personal vote, t...If Helen Coffey has a very strong personal vote, that would be encouraging, because of course the swing is measured from the combined first preference vote for both councillors last time around. It was a 7.6% drop in the SNP vote, of which a maximum of 2.1% can be explained by voters switching direct to the Greens.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-56910307625861504532014-03-28T06:31:08.301+00:002014-03-28T06:31:08.301+00:00First SNP win at a local by-election since 2011. I...First SNP win at a local by-election since 2011. It looks like a good solid result to me. The late SNP councillor had benefitted from a huge transfer of votes from the very popular Nationalist councillor, Helen Coffey. Some SNP votes are likely to have gone to the Greens who didn't contest last time. Michaelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02872454975859620507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-18752286276073542752014-03-28T00:50:18.980+00:002014-03-28T00:50:18.980+00:00Bit of a drop in the vote, though. It's alway...Bit of a drop in the vote, though. It's always difficult to make much sense of a single result, because there may have been local factors, loss of a personal vote from last time, etc. The European elections will hopefully tell us something more definitive.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-3661613760933462382014-03-27T23:55:23.779+00:002014-03-27T23:55:23.779+00:00SNP have held Kilmarnock North. SNP have held Kilmarnock North. Marcianoreply@blogger.com