tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post6221174161711327656..comments2024-03-28T14:15:36.649+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: More statistical proof that Yes can win (courtesy of Fraser Nelson)James Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-12662548267631765682014-01-17T18:02:31.497+00:002014-01-17T18:02:31.497+00:00Re the AV Referendum in May 2011, I am convinced t...Re the AV Referendum in May 2011, I am convinced that the motivations at play at that time were very much to do with giving Nick Clegg a bloody nose, even from those like myself, who want to see revolutionary changes in democracy,viz. Scottish Independence. Bill McDermotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04055702175033124777noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-48098334696312637882014-01-16T23:32:10.789+00:002014-01-16T23:32:10.789+00:00We are still 8 months away from the Referendum and...We are still 8 months away from the Referendum and as can be seen from the polls most of the population haven't really engaged with what is about to happen. People like you and me, James, who are Indy anoraks think everyone is agog with the debate but they are not, nor will they be until the last few weeks of the campaign. <br /><br />My view for what it is worth is that the vote in the Referendum will in the end come down to what is in peoples' hearts. All the rest about the EU, Currency, better off or not, et al is just so much noise which is over ordinary peoples' heads. Thus the best pointer to the outcome can be found in whether they think they are Scots or not. And as the majority in Scotland think they are Scots first and foremost so the vote will be YES.James Colemannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-65909656665871397452014-01-16T17:24:57.485+00:002014-01-16T17:24:57.485+00:00Yes, it's the swing in opinion after those deb...Yes, it's the swing in opinion after those debates that is so encouraging - I believe there was a whopping 12% swing to Yes after the Prestwick Academy debate the other day. Not much sign of "settled" public opinion there!<br /><br />I'm certainly not aware of any convincing evidence that young people are breaking disproportionately for No. The opinion polls present a conflicting picture (as is to be expected with small sub-samples for each age group). The last YouGov poll actually suggested that young people (18-24 year olds) are the most pro-independence group.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-81194636027360078382014-01-16T15:58:05.563+00:002014-01-16T15:58:05.563+00:00Nice one James, Have you noticed that the universi...Nice one James, Have you noticed that the university debates who take a poll before and after, show a somewhat different story to the one we are constantly told by the MSM.<br /><br />They tell us that the young people in Scotland are polling at something like 25% Yes and 70% No, yet in the latest debate 'Yes' was 33% and No was 44% before the debate! <br /><br />An 11% lead for No in one of the groups who they claim are most behind them. <br /><br />Me thinks it's yet more lies from BT/MSMPatrick Rodennoreply@blogger.com