tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post466439570298417663..comments2024-03-28T13:11:21.938+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: Explaining the difference between TNS-BMRB and the online pollstersJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-2674798667546656062014-03-25T17:18:18.091+00:002014-03-25T17:18:18.091+00:00Good analysis work you've been doing, James.
...Good analysis work you've been doing, James.<br /><br />The point about people who use the internet a lot being better-informed is a very good one, and food for thought for yes. The biggest risk for us arguably comes from two groups who aren't big internet users - the elderly and the working poor.<br /><br />When canvassing we've found that areas with high unemployment / casual employment rates lean more to yes, and people have more time on their hands to mess about on the internet. A broadband connection is cheaper entertainment than Sky telly.<br /><br />We have a much tougher time in areas where people are working long hours to barely make ends meet. Those people feel they have more to lose, have often bought their council homes, and don't have the spare time to read hunners of blogs.<br /><br />The extent to which we take the campaign off the internet and onto the streets during the summer will be a huge factor in the result, in my opinion.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-19431604169040863622014-03-25T16:19:22.342+00:002014-03-25T16:19:22.342+00:00Well, ICM and Panelbase both ask how people will v...Well, ICM and Panelbase both ask how people will vote on the actual referendum date as well. Of the three Yes-friendly online pollsters, Survation are the only one who ask how people would vote in a hypothetical referendum now.<br /><br />You're right that TNS are finding that Labour voters are more likely to say they're undecided (27% compared to 23% of SNP voters, 12% of Tory voters and 12% of Lib Dem voters).James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-30062944196903392512014-03-25T16:06:20.870+00:002014-03-25T16:06:20.870+00:00Could some of it be down to the question, TNS aski...Could some of it be down to the question, TNS asking how people would vote in September rather than tomorrow? If Yes-leaning Labour voters are more likely to say "don't know" then they'll have been omitted from your figures about. What doesn't make sense is why that same group would say "Yes" rather than "No" if asked how they'd vote tomorrow.Sandy Brownleenoreply@blogger.com