tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post4605030351897693571..comments2024-03-29T05:53:21.060+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: The Scotsman newspaper should be deeply ashamed of lying to its readers - yes, lying - in today's headline about an independence pollJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger40125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-12056894680169764072019-10-23T09:49:59.407+01:002019-10-23T09:49:59.407+01:00Uncle Jim Sillars advised MPs and MSPs not to have...Uncle Jim Sillars advised MPs and MSPs not to have Twitter accounts.Alba Lounnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-40661336514633659672019-10-23T08:31:59.076+01:002019-10-23T08:31:59.076+01:00erm...if the independence poll more votes than the...erm...if the independence poll more votes than the unionists, then it will be automatically above 50%.geacherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00025353543230277683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-28653953323208018912019-10-23T08:14:16.699+01:002019-10-23T08:14:16.699+01:00Herald has now changed it's polling headline, ...Herald has now changed it's polling headline, so well done James.<br />They now say that support for remaining part of the UK is falling in Scotland. <br /><br />Oh, what a wee shame!Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02909484308053039408noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-85876004167061957132019-10-23T08:10:22.220+01:002019-10-23T08:10:22.220+01:00@ Geacher,
Yes doesn't need to be ahead of 50...@ Geacher,<br /><br />Yes doesn't need to be ahead of 50%, it only needs to be ahead of the No vote %.<br />There will always be a reasonably large % of don't knows in these polls, so of course it's very difficult for Yes to get above 50% even when we are a few % points above No.<br /><br />You're clutching at straws mate.Patricknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-35511144660367200922019-10-23T07:50:01.736+01:002019-10-23T07:50:01.736+01:000. Intercourse the penguin0. Intercourse the penguinAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-63892379281204473052019-10-23T05:58:52.589+01:002019-10-23T05:58:52.589+01:00Every mother affection her baby.Listed here are 8 ...Every mother affection her baby.Listed here are 8 methods to dimension upward the child-care choice:<br />1. Appear lower.<br />2. Request dedication.<br />3. Perform a plan examine..<br />4. Visit as well as traveller..<br />5. Maintain speaking.<br />6. Problem-solve pronto.<br />7. Believe in your own stomach.<br />8. Likely be operational to alter. <br />If you looking for babysitter / child-minder in Scotland, find it for free at <br /><br />www.childcare-scotland.com<br /><br />Swarup Nathhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14364313810018179187noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-72237117083880761572019-10-22T23:51:02.873+01:002019-10-22T23:51:02.873+01:00Oh for the love of God, man, will you listen to so...Oh for the love of God, man, will you listen to something other than the sound of your own voice? I've already told you it was conducted in exactly the same way as any other poll. That means, to state the blindingly obvious, that it was NOT "open to anyone and everyone" - you had to be invited to take part, exactly as would be the case for a YouGov or Survation or ComRes poll. It was not a self-selecting internet poll - I've no idea how or why you formed the impression that it was, but I hope you are now clear about that.<br /><br />Lord Ashcroft isn't a member of the BPC because he hasn't applied to join and isn't eligible to join anyway for technical reasons. The BPC don't "recognise" or "not recognise" his polls - he simply isn't a member, and it doesn't go any further than that.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32856079785967526402019-10-22T23:01:05.958+01:002019-10-22T23:01:05.958+01:00There seems to be some confusion, this poll was by...There seems to be some confusion, this poll was by Progress Scotland - Angus Robertson's outfit, and seems to me the main thrust is this:<br /><br />https://www.progressscotland.org/research/major-impact-of-brexit-on-opinions-about-scottish-independence<br /><br />go down to the results where it says:<br /><br />"A series of questions answered by respondents who are undecided or open-minded about Scottish independence indicated the impact that Brexit is having on public opinion amongst key swing voters:"<br /><br />[those who went 3 to 7 on the scale] for instance:<br /><br />"Brexit makes Scottish independence more likely:<br /><br /> Agree: 61%<br /> Disagree: 13%<br /> Neither: 21%<br /> Don’t know: 4%"<br /><br />bearing in mind Progress Scotland's purpose:<br /><br />"Progress Scotland commissions public opinion polling, focus groups and other research to better understand how people’s views are changing in Scotland. Progress Scotland Ltd is a private limited company. Its Managing Director is Angus Robertson and research and polling adviser is Mark Diffley."<br /><br />It's not all about the current state of play:<br /><br />"Should Scotland be an Independent Country?" YES 100% /NO 0%<br /><br />it's actually getting there!yesindyref2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-66999517573760519102019-10-22T22:45:25.818+01:002019-10-22T22:45:25.818+01:00How can you weigh a poll that is open to anyone an...How can you weigh a poll that is open to anyone and everyone?<br />How could you prevent someone with multiple devices voting with each one?<br />Why does the BPC not recognise Lord Ashcroft's polls? geacherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00025353543230277683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-48965700523282692642019-10-22T22:42:38.493+01:002019-10-22T22:42:38.493+01:00Don't think newspapers or the BBC can afford s...Don't think newspapers or the BBC can afford serious analytical journalists any more. They almost always just regurgitate press releases from sources they consider on message...or in the case of the Express whoever thinks doomsday is soonest.<br /><br />The 0 to 10 format of questioning is bizarre we are not comparing margarine and if faced with it I would have been inclined to assume 10 was pro independence...although I would have voted 11. Nevertheless it is a binary question, would you vote Yes or No. One could have a how likely are you to vote question.<br /><br />What it does show is how desperate SiU are for any crumb of comfort and how prepared they are to misrepresent the data. They know the Union is hanging by a thread. HandandShrimpnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32394218761362207692019-10-22T22:28:59.894+01:002019-10-22T22:28:59.894+01:0065 MP's not on twitter.65 MP's not on twitter.Alba for Independencehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02976605539450227099noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-17702690691226474672019-10-22T21:52:56.781+01:002019-10-22T21:52:56.781+01:00I feel that this thread has been shredded. It make...I feel that this thread has been shredded. It makes no more sense than Weetabix.Wick Dodnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-90557513320325311512019-10-22T21:47:56.172+01:002019-10-22T21:47:56.172+01:00James,
This is your big chance to do a piece on &q...James,<br />This is your big chance to do a piece on "Unseasonal Elections [winter or summer] And Their Effects".<br /><br />Not that I'm predicting anything more advanced than eggs for breakfast.Party Fearsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-25158480805414824642019-10-22T21:44:43.242+01:002019-10-22T21:44:43.242+01:00Try wingsTry wingsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-78505939503347831322019-10-22T21:39:52.128+01:002019-10-22T21:39:52.128+01:00Remember No Deal is the default option.Remember No Deal is the default option.Brexitgoespopnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-54803461613301873582019-10-22T21:34:09.068+01:002019-10-22T21:34:09.068+01:00Don't be so bloody ridiculous, it was no such ...Don't be so bloody ridiculous, it was no such thing. It was a correctly conducted, fully weighted poll just like any other, and no, it was not possible "to vote multiple times". If you want to start false rumours of that sort, take it elsewhere.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05264559835025144323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-33072939431947002612019-10-22T21:29:52.017+01:002019-10-22T21:29:52.017+01:00Ah, Ashcroft's was an unregulated, unweighted ...Ah, Ashcroft's was an unregulated, unweighted poll poll in which it was possible to vote multiple times.<br />That is why BPC do not recognise Ashcroft. geacherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00025353543230277683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-36551648760033405322019-10-22T21:24:06.742+01:002019-10-22T21:24:06.742+01:00Juist gaun oot tae dae a few leaflets.
That shuid ...Juist gaun oot tae dae a few leaflets.<br />That shuid push us ower the 50%.<br />Hope I dinnae bump intae the army o NO activists eh! ramstamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10764651142754131538noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-40413586292914157672019-10-22T21:18:58.937+01:002019-10-22T21:18:58.937+01:00It worked for Andrew Neill.It worked for Andrew Neill.Wick Dodnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-55750896740835129352019-10-22T20:56:53.154+01:002019-10-22T20:56:53.154+01:00We were going to offer you peace terms. But then w...We were going to offer you peace terms. But then we thought we'd wait for a few days... or weeks.<br />Meanwhile we've delegated GWC to post an offensive message once he's finished his Carlsberg.<br />It's been that sort of day.SGP Volunteernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-44189865176936226002019-10-22T20:56:03.230+01:002019-10-22T20:56:03.230+01:00Unionists nowhere near 50%. Further away than Yes....Unionists nowhere near 50%. Further away than Yes. Scottish Skierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10584099659760612109noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-49463575080899056672019-10-22T20:53:51.384+01:002019-10-22T20:53:51.384+01:00Strangely enough it would. It doesn't really m...Strangely enough it would. It doesn't really matter for the purpose of asking swing voters(3 to 7 though it should be 1 to 9) whether they're closer to 10 or 0 - whichever way it works out. But it does give the MSM some headlines. Shrug.yesindyref2noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-76315067959729820992019-10-22T20:50:42.609+01:002019-10-22T20:50:42.609+01:00Hey Geach, agree wholeheartedly with your first pa...Hey Geach, agree wholeheartedly with your first paragraph but the last sentence should read and support for independence still not (at least significantly ftsoa) above 50%. Not necessarily down to SNP TO GET support for independence above 50%.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-91232048882280457462019-10-22T20:42:50.713+01:002019-10-22T20:42:50.713+01:00Geacher: The average Yes vote in the last three po...Geacher: The average Yes vote in the last three polls is 50.3%. Please stop playing the silly game of leaving in Don't Knows and Won't Votes to artificially bring the Yes vote below 50%. Those are not the published headline figures, and they're not the published headline figures for a very good reason.James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05264559835025144323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-73717160119321058172019-10-22T20:39:17.578+01:002019-10-22T20:39:17.578+01:00Panelbase: Yes 50%, No 50%
YouGov: Yes 49%, No 51%...Panelbase: Yes 50%, No 50%<br />YouGov: Yes 49%, No 51%<br />Ashcroft: Yes 52%, No 48%<br /><br />AVERAGE: Yes 50.3%, No 49.7%James Kellyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05264559835025144323noreply@blogger.com