tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post1970072968256167206..comments2024-03-28T18:33:36.687+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: My appearance on BBC BreakfastJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger62125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-84368582447352006912014-09-16T14:26:32.267+01:002014-09-16T14:26:32.267+01:00Thanks anonymous.
James, if that was your first t...Thanks anonymous.<br /><br />James, if that was your first time on the telly, you did extremely well!douglas clarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11422060678908705962noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-27442931389920237612014-09-16T00:59:19.252+01:002014-09-16T00:59:19.252+01:00BBC Breakfast bit with James: http://www.youtube.c...BBC Breakfast bit with James: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5k9g9Nwvw0Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-77891505838474382802014-09-15T23:07:44.050+01:002014-09-15T23:07:44.050+01:00We're not doing it in the Borders because we s...We're not doing it in the Borders because we simply don't have the resources. But I'm greatly encouraged to hear that other areas are doing it.Rolfehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17849975010197698907noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32712491208971648422014-09-15T23:00:26.161+01:002014-09-15T23:00:26.161+01:00In reply to the question of was the canvassing car...In reply to the question of was the canvassing cards being used in Yes friendly areas. <br /><br />I stay in what I can best term as a traditional Tory area on the outskirts of Glasgow not Yes heartland. My Father has had the same card and he stays next to the Faslane Naval base (his house isn't easy to get to). This again is not what you would call traditional Yes areas.<br /><br />I would think that if yes have the manpower to do this across Scotland it probably gives a very good pictures of overall levels of support and commitment as well as indication of how they will get out their vote.<br /><br />Be interested to hear from No campaigners how they intend to get their vote out? Also interested to hear from Yes supporters in Dundee etc on if Yes is doing the same approach in what are perceived to be Yes strongholds?<br /><br />Laukatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-31625013240156348052014-09-15T22:02:40.629+01:002014-09-15T22:02:40.629+01:00HAHAHA the only person who works at panelbase but ...HAHAHA the only person who works at panelbase but who can't spell it properly, and we are expected to beliebe you are surreptitiously slipping us confidential information.<br /><br />Sounds very credible. Yes down 8% in a few days...I will believe that when I see it. I will run through my village naked at midday on friday singing "The only way is up" if yes fails to poll at least 47%....<br /><br />Desperate desperate trolling.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-14542365382897878072014-09-15T21:59:01.418+01:002014-09-15T21:59:01.418+01:00But seriously, is there any realistic margin we ca...But seriously, is there any realistic margin we can predict Yes being at right now? I would have assumed 51-53%.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-12220855163713881422014-09-15T21:57:33.053+01:002014-09-15T21:57:33.053+01:00Yes, well I suppose there's a thousand to one ...Yes, well I suppose there's a thousand to one chance that our anonymous friend really does work at Panelbase, but forgive our scepticism.James Kellynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-36675314403776223752014-09-15T21:56:55.366+01:002014-09-15T21:56:55.366+01:0041% for Yes? Sounds convincing...41% for Yes? Sounds convincing...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-64011386045651436892014-09-15T21:54:52.187+01:002014-09-15T21:54:52.187+01:00Sorry I meant Yes!! Not good at allSorry I meant Yes!! Not good at allAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-90987195246185212352014-09-15T21:53:18.857+01:002014-09-15T21:53:18.857+01:00Work at panel base, word in office is No down to 4...Work at panel base, word in office is No down to 41% not good!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-48379478707122359702014-09-15T21:40:18.728+01:002014-09-15T21:40:18.728+01:00Being the poll and GOTV junkie....
Does anyone kn...Being the poll and GOTV junkie....<br /><br />Does anyone know if the "did not vote in 2011 election" numbers used in polling for 2014 is primarily C2DE social grade?<br /><br />Is the current GOTV focused on C2DE? <br /><br />What is the problem with ABC1 voters? Are they just afraid of the future? <br /><br />My family left Scotland as C2DE and I came back (England) as ABC1. With the oil reserves as a back stop, I just can not understand why anyone would be so fearful.<br /><br />Are people at least scratching their heads and asking "why are Westminster politicians and bankrupt bankers so intent on pushing a NO vote?"<br /><br />To be honest, one year ago the talk on this side of the border was that Scotland was such a drain on the welfare budget and the torries would have a majority if not for Scotland. Based on that I thought they would be waving goodbye.....<br /><br />Something does not make sense or should I say it smells like an old newspaper used to wrap fish.Georgenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-85025237806200225482014-09-15T21:27:04.246+01:002014-09-15T21:27:04.246+01:00Laukat/Muscleguy..others;
Thanks for that update....Laukat/Muscleguy..others;<br /><br />Thanks for that update. In some ways that resembles the GOTV used by the US Democrat Party especially and beginning with James Carville for Bill Clinton. <br /><br />I have been trying to draw some conclusions by using US GOTV experience along with historical voting data in Scotland. I know its dangerous to mix data and experiences from across the pond. <br /><br />But I tend to think there might be a 3% advantage to the YES camp. <br /><br />Oh, I stand rightfully corrected that this is not a sole SNP effort, it is indeed cross party and with many not affiliated with a party.<br /><br />On Independence myself and the family all gain automatic Scottish Citizenship for which I am thankful.<br /><br />What amazes me is that so many are frightened from this great opportunity!! And I mean a great opportunity for BOTH Scotland and the rUK. I can only hope that people see through the ridiculous lies that are being bandied about on border checks and a depression!!<br /><br />There is a US expression called "jumping the shark" which you need to look up on Wikipedia. Needless to say, I think BT has jumped the shark. <br /><br />Thanks for your updates and my best wishes for your work in the next few days. Georgenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-75700188512168175222014-09-15T21:24:06.999+01:002014-09-15T21:24:06.999+01:00Is it likely Yes is ahead at this point? I assumed...Is it likely Yes is ahead at this point? I assumed that it would be about 51-53% (excluding DKs) at this point. I really can't see how it's lost any substantial momentum since the YouGov 51% poll on September 6th.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-46274599342520700972014-09-15T21:13:57.462+01:002014-09-15T21:13:57.462+01:00Yeah certainly where I live, which is very very mi...Yeah certainly where I live, which is very very middle class, we haven't had a YES canvasser at the door the whole referendum, though we get leaflets through the door regularly, including today. Even from NO, where we would be seen as a core area, we have only been canvassed once, and that was in February. I wonder how many other little middle class dormitory villages are like this? Where YES don't see the point in wasting precious canvassing time as we are not the main target demographic and NO just take their vote for granted. <br /><br />Sounds like a good idea from YES. I always remember a previous Scottish election when we had a very exhausted young guy at the door at 9pm checking we had voted. He seemed very worried because clearly the vote was looking very tight and was rushing round checking off people from his list. Getting the vote out on the day will be massive and I believe the army of YES people will make a difference. BT don't have the numbers or organisation or good will that we do on the ground. Has to be worth a few extra votes, if not a lot more! But the coverage will not be even. YES canvassing has been very targeted indeed. I have done quite a bit myself, and when I suggested doing some of the middle class areas the local organiser who controlled the inputting of canvas returns and printing out of electoral register etc. was just not interested in these areas. <br /><br />This is going to be one of the interesting factors. Both sides have done a lot of canvassing, but often in very different areas. How this plans out will be fascinating.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-9587188178354428732014-09-15T21:04:12.070+01:002014-09-15T21:04:12.070+01:00I was also at Dundee GOTV meeting, well impressed ...I was also at Dundee GOTV meeting, well impressed by enthusiasm and organisation.<br /><br />If this is bring replicated all over the country then we will do very well.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10678903759314268561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-43543304315151425782014-09-15T20:35:02.941+01:002014-09-15T20:35:02.941+01:00Those are redding cards. They're very labour ...Those are redding cards. They're very labour intensive and can only be used where you have good, recent canvass data. They're helpful as regards getting out the vote and I'm encouraged to hear some areas are using them.<br /><br />It won't be universal, as not all areas are so well-resourced. However it will be the high-Yes areas that will be doing it, so hopefully bang for buck.Rolfehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17849975010197698907noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-33501079333518794572014-09-15T19:57:29.695+01:002014-09-15T19:57:29.695+01:00@George
I've just had a card through the door...@George<br /><br />I've just had a card through the door form Yes Scotland one for each voter in the house. I spoke to the chap who delivered it and they are asking everyone to hand the card to the yes rep at the polling station. If you don't hand it in they will send someone around to your door to remind you to vote.<br /><br />First time I've seen this in any political campaign and assuming its part of a national picture I think it would answer your question.<br /><br />Don't know if the no camp are doing something similar or relying on traditional methods which I don't think will cope given the volume of voters.Laukatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-84362995377675877502014-09-15T19:22:10.517+01:002014-09-15T19:22:10.517+01:00@George
Attended a Yes Scotland 'get the vote...@George<br /><br />Attended a Yes Scotland 'get the vote out' meeting for volunteers here in Dundee on Sunday evening. Standing room only in the hall. <br /><br />You can assume this is being replicated all over Scotland.<br /><br />I'm not sure how 'SNP' this is as I'm not SNP and this is my first campaign. Heard about it on social media and signed up via email. <br /><br />We will get the vote out.Muscleguynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-87902339013993661732014-09-15T18:45:51.877+01:002014-09-15T18:45:51.877+01:00I am a poll junkie and just discovered this blog. ...I am a poll junkie and just discovered this blog. I am a Scot, raised in the US, British Citizen now living in England. <br /><br />I worked with the 2000 Bush campaign in polling. Regret all that now.....<br /><br />Most will be glad to hear that I am a Nat and have been one of the few SNP members south of the border.<br /><br />Can anyone comment on the ability of the SNP to turn out the vote in the ground game on Thursday. <br /><br />In looking at polling and prior election data it does look like the SNP can add another three percent with get out the vote.Georgenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-19570699151976462822014-09-15T18:34:13.993+01:002014-09-15T18:34:13.993+01:00There are few things more annoying than people goi... There are few things more annoying than people going "Ochone! He said fuck on the internet, Millions will now vote NO!Woe, woe and thrice woe!!!!"<br /><br /> WALOFS to the lot of you! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-67192258289926605452014-09-15T18:32:39.640+01:002014-09-15T18:32:39.640+01:00I think we can be fairly sure from the lack of cha...I think we can be fairly sure from the lack of chatter that there will be no new polls this evening, but tomorrow to Wednesday evening will be absolutely manic!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-11659706977766990982014-09-15T18:02:35.802+01:002014-09-15T18:02:35.802+01:00Someone give poor Dave a hug, he looks like he is ...Someone give poor Dave a hug, he looks like he is on the verge of a breakdown.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-236558606664148532014-09-15T17:58:23.728+01:002014-09-15T17:58:23.728+01:00Thanks a lot for the answer. It seems I'll sti...Thanks a lot for the answer. It seems I'll stick around. :)<br /><br />XabiAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-24754182763314093702014-09-15T17:57:02.664+01:002014-09-15T17:57:02.664+01:00I think it will still be same as in the polls, but...I think it will still be same as in the polls, but if there was a time for YES to be ahead it would be now. It would really rally all YES supporters and enthuse them even more as we head towards the line. The NO recriminations would start early, especially from MP's down south who are currently biting their tongues. It would create incredible sense of moment for the last few days.<br /><br />So I'd love to be ahead in the last polls, but realistically given the hammering we have taken from most of the media the last week or so I'd be delighted to go the polls within the margin of error. I believe in the people of Scotland. When it comes down to it we are a nation of dreamers, and we can embrace those dreams for a better Scotland by voting YES on Thursday.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-90176385216352908962014-09-15T17:55:03.570+01:002014-09-15T17:55:03.570+01:00Xabi, I don't know! That Survation phone poll...Xabi, I don't know! That Survation phone poll came completely out of the (Tory) blue on Saturday, so it's probably best to expect a poll when you least expect it. I vaguely remember seeing something last week about an ICM poll in the Scotsman that was due tonight, but I haven't seen anything more about that, so I'm dubious.James Kellynoreply@blogger.com