tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post1700246290923068253..comments2024-03-29T00:13:22.286+00:00Comments on SCOT goes POP!: A primer for the forthcoming TNS-BMRB pollJames Kellyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01516007141763230886noreply@blogger.comBlogger54125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-37355975475333266562014-09-08T19:51:16.696+01:002014-09-08T19:51:16.696+01:00We could all be wrong and they have done the field...We could all be wrong and they have done the fieldwork relatively sooner than before? I am expecting a large no lead though. Based on skiers common sense theories.chalksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-60028692116883881602014-09-08T19:41:49.729+01:002014-09-08T19:41:49.729+01:00It is official and it is 49/51 or 50/50 depending ...It is official and it is 49/51 or 50/50 depending how you round up or down.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-24516439156804401352014-09-08T19:25:58.381+01:002014-09-08T19:25:58.381+01:00Tom Crompton has an excellent article on page 14 o...Tom Crompton has an excellent article on page 14 of the latest Transition Free Press ("the what?!") http://issuu.com/transitionfreepress/docs/tfp06_2014-09_issuu where he outlines how social processes are based on values, and how choosing and changing our values can enable us to change the world. Focusing on currency and accumulation (as if they were what really mattered) takes us down a completely different pathway - as a society and as individuals - compared to focusing on care and social justice.<br /><br />Hope that helped the time pass while waiting on the poll!<br /><br />Justin Kenrickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05371269693334856586noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-4728736636554651152014-09-08T19:22:40.233+01:002014-09-08T19:22:40.233+01:00TNS poll images are bound to be real, too time-con...TNS poll images are bound to be real, too time-consuming and not worth faking them.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-74381728604674019352014-09-08T19:03:53.479+01:002014-09-08T19:03:53.479+01:00So if UK government wishes to settle the markets r...So if UK government wishes to settle the markets rather than continue feeding Project Fear, all that's needed is to accept that in a divorce the assets are shared (and the debt): ongoing currency union by another name (to save face) and a firewall along Hadrian's Wall to protect each side from the other losing the plot and spoiling their patch. Yes, that would leave 90% of currency power south of the border, but what's new?<br /><br /><br />This is about so much more than just the currency as one lever of macroeconomic control. For once, those with no currency will have the same power as the magnate on 18th September. <br /><br />"Little by little the night turns around./ Counting the leaves which tremble at dawn." Alastair McIntoshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02057511478889767753noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-61300812740255673682014-09-08T19:01:07.994+01:002014-09-08T19:01:07.994+01:00jimmy, we'd be able to use sterling in the way...jimmy, we'd be able to use sterling in the way a five year old can use a knife - clumsily and under supervision :-)saynotoyesmennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-48655603630400275822014-09-08T18:57:27.327+01:002014-09-08T18:57:27.327+01:00Who is that guy? He's been posting supposed sn...Who is that guy? He's been posting supposed snippets from the poll for the last half hour.keatonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-51226075849752487582014-09-08T18:51:00.317+01:002014-09-08T18:51:00.317+01:00Can this be a legitimate leak?
https://twitter.co...Can this be a legitimate leak?<br /><br />https://twitter.com/tmlbk/status/509033643365658624<br /><br />Best,<br /><br />XabiAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-32778214281209599632014-09-08T18:46:35.593+01:002014-09-08T18:46:35.593+01:00We could all be wrong and they have done the field...We could all be wrong and they have done the fieldwork relatively sooner than before? I am expecting a large no lead though. Based on skiers common sense theories.chalksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-51634262770638696912014-09-08T18:41:14.589+01:002014-09-08T18:41:14.589+01:00according to my cousin's friend's budgie. ...<i>according to my cousin's friend's budgie. He saw it on Facebook</i><br /><br />Are you the budgie didn't tweet it and now its flying around?Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-18155920707149414772014-09-08T18:34:32.269+01:002014-09-08T18:34:32.269+01:00It's 96/4 to Yes, according to my cousin's...It's 96/4 to Yes, according to my cousin's friend's budgie. He saw it on Facebook.keatonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-86406580474201654932014-09-08T18:31:39.105+01:002014-09-08T18:31:39.105+01:00LOL there must be about 20 different rumours on th...LOL there must be about 20 different rumours on this TNS poll currently doing the rounds on twitter. Result night speculation will be manic!<br /><br />Most reliable hints seem to be it being roughly 50/50 on rounded figures, which still represents massive surge to YES and in line with other polls. However, these hints also suggest surprisingly high number of DK's, but this may have something to do with the method of survey. Many people on the door step will just not give an opinion, even when pushed.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-67985615526521234202014-09-08T18:30:37.123+01:002014-09-08T18:30:37.123+01:00After all the crap and lies from No Better Togethe...After all the crap and lies from No Better Together, I think the GIRUY vote will be huge.<br />Nemo me impune laccesit.Jutemanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11061671774494923407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-66604825000423308612014-09-08T18:13:26.853+01:002014-09-08T18:13:26.853+01:00Hearing 41% Y 41 N with 18% undecided. Hearing 41% Y 41 N with 18% undecided. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-87285663049113122192014-09-08T18:08:55.409+01:002014-09-08T18:08:55.409+01:00Expat: as you will know that pain in Spain drivel ...Expat: as you will know that pain in Spain drivel is all based on the assumption that iScotland wouldn't have a currency.<br /><br />I am now certain that you are operating out of NoBetter HQ, they have been punting this dross all day. <br /><br />But keep up trying to tell us we can't use sterling, everyone knows it's lies so massively beneficial to the yes campaign.Jimmur Phympnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-74732947108345449542014-09-08T18:07:49.684+01:002014-09-08T18:07:49.684+01:00Reference the Lady Alba tune, there was a couple o...Reference the Lady Alba tune, there was a couple on the BBC the other day during a referendum programme that did actually think it was a pro-union song. The mind boggles!Boabnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-15916024843515122492014-09-08T18:07:06.379+01:002014-09-08T18:07:06.379+01:00Yeah, markets already aligning to likely YES, thou...Yeah, markets already aligning to likely YES, though there has been gross misrepresentation that only Scottish companies value has fallen. A quick check of a whole range of UK companies shows this to be fallacious.<br /><br />TNS poll seems to be positive. Expect odds on independence to fall further later in. Currently NO at 1.43 on Betfair was 1.2 not so long ago...should hit 1.5-1.6 with another close poll and the nearer we get to next week the odds will narrow further.<br /><br />A lay of no or a back of yes should produce a quick easy profit regardless of final result with a subsequent trade.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-602937545071596602014-09-08T18:01:54.511+01:002014-09-08T18:01:54.511+01:00The way I see it markets are now valuing in the pr...The way I see it markets are now valuing in the prospect of independence. Had there been proper contingency plans from WM the uncertainty would have been smaller, but overall moves are not huge. FBhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01238289529129296353noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-90802432187681039042014-09-08T17:34:06.506+01:002014-09-08T17:34:06.506+01:00Incredibly busy at the Yes shop between campaignin...Incredibly busy at the Yes shop between campaigning. We are, yet again, hitting the problem of running low on posters, stickers, wee blue books, yes wristbands and other materials because they are flying out the shop as soon as they are restocked. Some haggling and logistics to be done in the area but, rest assured, there will be no halt to the supply.<br /><br />Much laughter today at the ROYAL BABY! hysteria. Perhaps the unborn babe knows what on earth Osborne, little Ed and Clegg are proposing on just the same powers or more panic powers, because the No campaign sure as hell don't have a clue. LOL <br /><br />Somewhat unfortunate that that a massive chunk of the older demographic will have almost certainly voted already using their postal votes as that is the 'target market' for Royal Baby hysteria.<br /><br />Those Britnat twits shrieking about financial apocalypse (presumably the Eggpocalype has run it's awesome course) clearly know nothing about the truth of the matter. They would do well to read up on it before spamming this site.<br /><br />http://wingsoverscotland.com/finding-sense-to-make-it-work/ Mick Porknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-57302908388785404152014-09-08T17:29:07.160+01:002014-09-08T17:29:07.160+01:00surely everyone suffers, not just No voters?
That...<i>surely everyone suffers, not just No voters?</i><br /><br />That's what I mean. I know people who planned to vote No, but are now Yes in a large part due to being let down by the UK government. These people have homes and jobs here and wanted both governments to pre-negotiate, particularly as Westminster is still taking their taxes. The fact that Westminster refused here has really angered them. Add in the threats and...Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-31007237150097774212014-09-08T17:23:33.377+01:002014-09-08T17:23:33.377+01:00Scottish Skier
"If you vote for the union (bu...Scottish Skier<br />"If you vote for the union (but Scotland overall votes Yes), we will punish you. Be it border posts or nae poond."<br /><br />Don't quite understand your logic here. If things get really bad for Scotland along the lines suggested in today's New York Times (' the pain of Spain without the sunshine') surely everyone suffers, not just No voters?<br /><br />Expatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-924929232445144222014-09-08T17:21:32.723+01:002014-09-08T17:21:32.723+01:00We could all be wrong and they have done the field...We could all be wrong and they have done the fieldwork relatively sooner than before? I am expecting a large no lead though. Based on skiers common sense theories.chalksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-573082192379504442014-09-08T17:21:10.964+01:002014-09-08T17:21:10.964+01:00Sorry James - is that the TNS result?Sorry James - is that the TNS result?EdinburghPhilhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02607333526580186251noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-61127910554355462752014-09-08T17:18:56.498+01:002014-09-08T17:18:56.498+01:00It was Ewan Macaskel in the Guardian saying TNS po... It was Ewan Macaskel in the Guardian saying TNS poll would 'bring little comfort to Darling' that made me assume that meant another Yes lead. However James Vickers was extremely accurate in his advance leaks before so I quite agree 52 No 48 Yes seems more likely. It will be enough though for that I assume would confirm YouGov's trend is real. Expatnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-930120922627919768.post-13806896239083628682014-09-08T17:14:20.360+01:002014-09-08T17:14:20.360+01:00I know quite a few people from England who've ...I know quite a few people from England who've been swayed to Yes by this, i.e. being threatened by their own (UK) government. Of course that makes them see Holyrood as looking after their interests and not Westminster.Scottish_Skiernoreply@blogger.com