Just a quick note to let you know that I have a new article at The National about the freshly-released More In Common poll, which has the SNP on course for 64 seats - the same as in 2021, but on a significantly lower share of the vote. You can read the article
HERE.
Has Wee Stewie made his choice between Reform UK and Restore Britain yet? Suddenly the lad is positively spoilt for choice!
ReplyDeleteI hae ma doots about 64 seats on those figures, more like 59. But messing with the predictors to get those seats, it gives 62 constituency and 2 list seats. Then "just" transferring 2% from Reform to the SNP on the constituency would give the SNP an extra 2 seats for 66.
ReplyDeleteIf the Greens then kindly gave the SNP 4% of their 9% on the list, the SNP would then get 3 on the list for a total of 67.
Boring Swinney will ensure a low turnout.
ReplyDeleteAs does shifting the goalposts to "nah, you didnae vote Yes enough."
DeleteThe thing that interests me is what happens after he's re-elected, gets his excuse to do nothing, and it's now inevitable that we're strapped into the Nigel Farage disaster scenario as the general election creeps ever closer. What's the plan besides kicking the can? "Only we can submit to Reform?"